Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
58.9%
|
4.04 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.9%
|
1.44 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
1.47 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.21 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
9.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.50 |
Minnesota United FC
Orlando City SC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Minnesota United FC
24 matches
Orlando City SC
25 matches
| Minnesota United FC | Statistic | Orlando City SC |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 8 |
| 8 | Draws | 4 |
| 8 | Losses | 13 |
| 31 | Goals For | 41 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 61 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.64 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.44 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.76 | Shots On Goal | 4.55 |
| 13.24 | Total Shots | 11.4 |
| 5.57 | Corners | 3.55 |
| 46.2% | Ball Possession | 44.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Orlando City SC. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Minnesota United FC expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Orlando City SC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orlando City SC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
From their first 20 matches, Minnesota United FC have collected 25 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 22:28 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kelvin Yeboah (6 goals), Anthony Markanich (4 goals), Joaquín Pereyra (1 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Pereyra (4 assists), Tomás Chancalay (3 assists), James Rodríguez (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 20 matches, Orlando City SC have collected 21 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, while the 32:50 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Martín Ojeda (9 goals), Tyrese Spicer (2 goals), Griffin Dorsey (2 goals), with creative support from Justin Ellis (3 assists), Adrián Marín (3 assists), Eduard Atuesta (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota United FC won 3 times, Orlando City SC won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:14 from Minnesota United FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Minnesota United FC
9
5
7
1
4
1
Lineups
Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
Atlanta United FC
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
New England Revolution
Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
Minnesota United FC
Austin
Minnesota United FC
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC
Minnesota United FC
FC Dallas
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
Minnesota United FC
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
Nashville SC
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
Real Salt Lake
Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
DC United
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
Orlando City SC
Houston Dynamo
Orlando City SC
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
Los Angeles FC
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
Minnesota United FC
Atlanta United FC
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
Minnesota United FC
Austin
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
DC United
Orlando City SC
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
Los Angeles FC
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 45:18 | 27 | 40 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 33 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 38:34 | 4 | 33 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30:27 | 3 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 30:28 | 2 | 28 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 28 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 28 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
Home
|
21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 27:29 | -2 | 28 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
| 11 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 27 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 26 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27:32 | -5 | 26 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 26:40 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20:51 | -31 | 15 |
L
D
L
L
L
|