🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Allianz Field
Referee: C. Penso
Minnesota United FC
Match Timeline
Austin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
M. Uzuni
Austin
27'
Kelvin Yeboah
Minnesota United FC
🟨
29'
Jefferson Díaz
Minnesota United FC
🟨
40'
Nectarios Triantis
Minnesota United FC
🟨
42'
Tomás Chancalay
Minnesota United FC
🔄
44'
B. Hines-Ike ↔ J. Bell
Austin
🟨
45+11'
Joaquín Pereyra
Minnesota United FC
🟨
45+12'
Jon Gallagher
Austin
🟨
45+2'
Facundo Torres
Austin
🟨
47'
Owen Gene
Minnesota United FC
🔄
63'
T. Chancalay ↔ J. Rodriguez
Minnesota United FC
🔄
63'
N. Triantis ↔ W. Trapp
Minnesota United FC
69'
A. Markanich · Assist: J. Rodriguez
Minnesota United FC
🔄
70'
I. Sanchez ↔ D. Pereira
Austin
🔄
70'
J. Gallagher ↔ O. Wolff
Austin
77'
J. Pereyra · Assist: J. Rodriguez
Minnesota United FC
79'
C. Ramirez · Assist: F. Torres
Austin
🔄
82'
D. Padelford ↔ M. Boxall
Minnesota United FC
🔄
84'
C. Ramirez ↔ B. Vazquez
Austin
🔄
88'
O. Gene ↔ M. Gonzalez
Minnesota United FC
🔄
90+3'
↔ Z. Kolmanic
Austin

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Minnesota United FC Win 83.5%
Draw 0%
Austin Win 16.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Minnesota United FC1.39
Austin1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
WWDLW
18 GF / 18 GA
Austin Austin
WLDWL
19 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
6
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
8
4.64
Shots on Goal
4.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 14 matches
Austin Austin 17 matches
Minnesota United FC Statistic Austin
7 Wins 4
3 Draws 6
4 Losses 7
18 Goals For 19
18 Goals Against 26
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
6 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 5
4.64 Shots On Goal 4.09
13.27 Total Shots 10.91
4.91 Corners 4.73
43.6% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Austin. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Minnesota United FC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Minnesota United FC expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Austin in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Austin having the stronger overall control. Minnesota United FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 20 points compared to Austin in 11 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Minnesota United FC Analysis

Minnesota United FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 20 points after 11 matches. With 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 14:16, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by K. Yeboah (7 goals), Anthony Markanich (3 goals), Kyle Duncan (1 goals), with creative support from J. Pereyra (4 assists), T. Chancalay (3 assists), Anthony Markanich (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Austin Analysis

Austin are currently 11 in the standings with 13 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 16:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Uzuni (4 goals), C. Ramirez (3 goals), M. Agyemang (3 goals), with creative support from F. Torres (4 assists), C. Ramirez (1 assists), J. Rosales (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota United FC won 5 times, Austin won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:18 from Minnesota United FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Minnesota United FC 3-4-2-1 / Austin 4-4-2
Missing players: Minnesota United FC 5, Austin 1
H2H summary: Minnesota United FC wins 5, draws 3, Austin wins 6
Stats
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
Austin Austin
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
11
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
5
3 Corner Kicks 4
15 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 5
11 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 5
14 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
510 Total passes 423
433 Passes accurate 345
2.20 expected_goals 1.32
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Minnesota United FC
Formation
Austin
D. Callender
D. Callender
J. Diaz
J. Diaz
M. Duggan
M. Duggan
N. Romero
N. Romero
A. Markanich
A. Markanich
N. Triantis
N. Triantis
O. Gene
O. Gene
D. Padelford
D. Padelford
J. Pereyra
J. Pereyra
T. Chancalay
T. Chancalay
K. Yeboah
K. Yeboah
B. Stuver
B. Stuver
M. Desler
M. Desler
O. Svatok
O. Svatok
B. Hines-Ike
B. Hines-Ike
Guilherme Biro
Guilherme Biro
J. Rosales
J. Rosales
I. Sanchez
I. Sanchez
F. Torres
🎯
F. Torres
M. Uzuni
M. Uzuni
J. Gallagher
J. Gallagher
C. Ramirez
C. Ramirez
Minnesota United FC 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
12
D. Callender
G
28
J. Diaz
🟨 29'
D
23
M. Duggan
D
5
N. Romero
D
13
A. Markanich
⚽ 69'
M
25
N. Triantis
↓ 63' 🟨 40'
M
30
O. Gene
↓ 88' 🟨 47'
M
2
D. Padelford
↓ 82'
M
26
J. Pereyra
⚽ 77' 🟨 45+11'
F
8
T. Chancalay
↓ 63' 🟨 42'
F
9
K. Yeboah
⚽ 27'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Smir
G
10
J. Rodriguez
🎯 69' 🎯 77' ↑ 63'
M
15
M. Boxall
↑ 82'
D
20
W. Trapp
↑ 63'
M
7
D. Fitz
M
33
K. Chandler
D
27
D. Taylor
D
18
M. Gonzalez
↑ 88'
F
29
M. Dieng
F
Austin 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
B. Stuver
G
3
M. Desler
D
5
O. Svatok
D
4
B. Hines-Ike
↓ 44'
D
29
Guilherme Biro
D
30
J. Rosales
M
6
I. Sanchez
↓ 70'
M
11
F. Torres
🎯 79' 🟨 45+2'
M
10
M. Uzuni
⚽ 14'
M
17
J. Gallagher
↓ 70' 🟨 45+12'
M
21
C. Ramirez
⚽ 79' ↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
12
D. Las
G
15
J. Bell
↑ 44'
D
19
C. Fodrey
M
14
B. Sabovic
M
9
B. Vazquez
↑ 84'
F
23
Z. Kolmanic
↑ 90+3'
D
8
D. Pereira
↑ 70'
M
33
O. Wolff
↑ 70'
M
20
N. Dubersarsky
M
Last matches: Minnesota United FC
23.07.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
1
2
L
23.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
16.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
New England Revolution
1
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
02.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
25.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
23.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Dallas
1
0
W
19.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
12.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
2
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Seattle Sounders
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
6
L
08.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Nashville SC
1
3
L
28.02.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
1
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
Charlotte
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
DC United
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
3
0
W
Last matches: Austin
23.07.26
Maj
Austin
Seattle Sounders
3
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Austin
Sporting JAX
4
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Austin
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
23.05.26
Maj
Austin
St. Louis City
0
3
L
17.05.26
Maj
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
1
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Austin
San Diego
0
5
L
03.05.26
Maj
Austin
St. Louis City
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
Austin
Houston Dynamo
2
0
W
23.04.26
Maj
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
1
5
L
18.04.26
Maj
Austin
Toronto FC
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
Austin
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
Austin
Inter Miami
2
2
D
22.03.26
Maj
Austin
Los Angeles FC
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
Austin
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
Austin
Charlotte
1
3
L
01.03.26
Maj
Austin
DC United
1
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Austin
Minnesota United FC
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Austin
Chicago Fire
2
2
D
07.02.26
Fri
Austin
St. Louis City
0
1
L
H2H: Minnesota United FC vs Austin
10.05.26
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
22.02.26
H2H
Austin
Minnesota United FC
2
2
D
18.09.25
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
1
2
L
25.05.25
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
1
1
D
04.05.25
H2H
Austin
Minnesota United FC
0
3
W
23.06.24
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
0
1
L
25.02.24
H2H
Austin
Minnesota United FC
1
2
W
09.07.23
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
1
4
L
01.06.23
H2H
Austin
Minnesota United FC
2
1
L
21.08.22
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
1
W
10.04.22
H2H
Austin
Minnesota United FC
1
0
L
17.10.21
H2H
Austin
Minnesota United FC
0
1
W
24.06.21
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
0
W
02.05.21
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
0
1
L
Last matches: Minnesota United FC
23.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
14.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
25.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
19.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Seattle Sounders
0
0
D
28.02.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
1
0
W
H2H at home: Minnesota United FC
10.05.26
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
18.09.25
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
1
2
L
25.05.25
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
1
1
D
23.06.24
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
0
1
L
09.07.23
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
1
4
L
21.08.22
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
1
W
24.06.21
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
0
W
02.05.21
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
0
1
L
Last matches: Austin
23.05.26
Maj
Austin
St. Louis City
0
3
L
14.05.26
Maj
Austin
San Diego
0
5
L
23.04.26
Maj
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
1
5
L
18.04.26
Maj
Austin
Toronto FC
3
3
D
04.04.26
Maj
Austin
Inter Miami
2
2
D
15.03.26
Maj
Austin
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
Austin
Charlotte
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Austin
St. Louis City
0
1
L
01.02.26
Fri
Austin
New York City FC
0
2
L
H2H away: Austin
10.05.26
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
18.09.25
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
1
2
W
25.05.25
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
1
1
D
23.06.24
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
0
1
W
09.07.23
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
1
4
W
21.08.22
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
1
L
24.06.21
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
0
L
02.05.21
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Austin
0
1
W

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 10 2 3 37:16 21 32
L W L W D
2 16 10 2 4 34:19 15 32
L W L L D
3 17 9 3 5 30:18 12 30
W W W L L
4 15 8 2 5 27:22 5 26
L D W W L
5 16 7 5 4 32:24 8 26
D W W L W
6 15 7 3 5 19:19 0 24
L L L L W
7 15 7 2 6 20:24 -4 23
D D W L W
8 16 6 4 6 22:23 -1 22
W W W D W
9 16 6 4 6 19:24 -5 22
L D L L D
10 17 5 5 7 23:28 -5 20
L L D W L
11 16 6 1 9 26:24 2 19
W L L W L
12 16 5 3 8 29:31 -2 18
D W L L D
13 16 4 5 7 30:28 2 17
L L D W D
14 16 4 5 7 22:32 -10 17
W L L L D
15 16 4 2 10 18:40 -22 14
W L L W W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Minnesota United FC 5 missing
-
P. Stroud
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
J. Gressel
Missing Fixture Toe Injury
OUT
-
J. Rodriguez
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
C. Harvey
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
B. Hlongwane
Missing Fixture Personal Reasons
OUT
Austin 1 missing
-
R. Taylor
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT