ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO

26.12.2025 15:00

Milton Keynes Dons

1 - 0

Swindon Town

Stadium MK

Referee: Ben Atkinson, England

Milton Keynes Dons

Match Timeline

Swindon Town

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

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Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis

Probability Distribution

Milton Keynes Dons Win 0%

Draw 0%

Swindon Town Win 0%

Expected Goals (xG)

Milton Keynes Dons1.71

Swindon Town1.54

Recent Form (Last 5)

Milton Keynes Dons

WWDLW

48 GF / 27 GA

Swindon Town

WLDWL

41 GF / 26 GA

Key Stats

2.09

Average Goals Scored

1.78

1.17

Average Goals Conceded

1.13

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.32

Shots on Goal

4.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Milton Keynes Dons 23 matches

Swindon Town 23 matches

Milton Keynes Dons	Statistic	Swindon Town
12	Wins	14
6	Draws	4
5	Losses	5
48	Goals For	41
27	Goals Against	26
2.09	Avg Goals Scored	1.78
1.17	Avg Goals Conceded	1.13
16	BTTS Yes	13
21	Over 1.5	19
16	Over 2.5	16
11	Over 3.5	8
6	Clean Sheets	7
2	Failed To Score	4
4.32	Shots On Goal	4.35
11.32	Total Shots	11.39
4.23	Corners	4.39
48.5%	Ball Possession	48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Milton Keynes Dons won 10 times, Swindon Town won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:18 from Milton Keynes Dons's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Milton Keynes Dons 3-5-2 / Swindon Town 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Milton Keynes Dons wins 10, draws 3, Swindon Town wins 2

Standings

League Two

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Bromley	46	24	15	7	71:46	25	87	W L D L W
2	Milton Keynes Dons Home	46	24	14	8	86:45	41	86	D W W W D
3	Cambridge United	46	22	16	8	66:33	33	82	D W L D W
4	Salford City	46	25	6	15	61:51	10	81	L D W D W
5	Notts County	46	24	8	14	74:52	22	80	W D W D W
6	Chesterfield	46	21	16	9	71:56	15	79	D L W W D
7	Grimsby	46	22	12	12	74:50	24	78	D L D W W
8	Barnet	46	21	13	12	70:53	17	76	W W W W W
9	Swindon Town Away	46	22	9	15	70:59	11	75	L L D L W
10	Oldham	46	18	14	14	60:44	16	68	W L L L L
11	Crewe	46	19	10	17	64:58	6	67	D L L L W
12	Colchester	46	18	12	16	62:49	13	66	W L L W W
13	Walsall	46	18	11	17	56:56	0	65	L L W L L
14	Bristol Rovers	46	19	5	22	56:65	-9	62	D W W W W
15	Fleetwood Town	46	15	16	15	57:58	-1	61	D D D W L
16	Accrington ST	46	14	11	21	47:58	-11	53	L D D L L
17	Gillingham	46	13	14	19	53:72	-19	53	W L L L D
18	Cheltenham	46	14	10	22	53:79	-26	52	L L L W W
19	Shrewsbury	46	13	10	23	42:69	-27	49	L D D W L
20	Newport County	46	12	7	27	48:77	-29	43	W W L W L
21	Tranmere	46	10	11	25	54:79	-25	41	D L W L D
22	Crawley Town	46	8	16	22	44:68	-24	40	D D D L L
23	Harrogate Town	46	10	9	27	39:68	-29	39	L W W L L
24	Barrow	46	9	9	28	45:78	-33	36	L L L W L

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