Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
80.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
60.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Millwall
Oxford United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Millwall
46 matches
Oxford United
47 matches
| Millwall | Statistic | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wins | 11 |
| 11 | Draws | 15 |
| 12 | Losses | 21 |
| 63 | Goals For | 46 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 59 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.98 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 37 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 19 |
| 4.2 | Shots On Goal | 3.51 |
| 12.76 | Total Shots | 12.19 |
| 5.48 | Corners | 4.11 |
| 46.2% | Ball Possession | 40.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Millwall's more proactive style and Oxford United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Millwall arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 80 points compared to Oxford United in 22 on 47, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Oxford United. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Millwall come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 80 points from 45 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 23 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses, while the 62:49 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Azeez (9 goals), Josh Coburn (9 goals), M. Ivanovic (9 goals), with creative support from F. Azeez (7 assists), T. Crama (6 assists), T. Ballo (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Oxford United sit 22 with 47 points after 45 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 11 wins, 14 draws, and 20 defeats with a 45:57 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on W. Lankshear (11 goals), C. Brannagan (6 goals), M. Peart-Harris (4 goals), with creative support from B. De Keersmaecker (5 assists), M. Helik (4 assists), C. Brannagan (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Millwall won 3 times, Oxford United won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from Millwall's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.44 goals per game.
Millwall
8
1
7
3
6
1
Lineups
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Leicester
Millwall
Stoke City
Millwall
QPR
Millwall
West Brom
Millwall
Norwich
Millwall
Middlesbrough
Millwall
Ipswich
Millwall
Blackburn
Millwall
Derby
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Preston
Millwall
Birmingham
Millwall
Portsmouth
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
Millwall
Wrexham
Millwall
Sheffield Utd
Millwall
Charlton
Millwall
Coventry
Oxford United
Sheffield Wednesday
Oxford United
Wrexham
Oxford United
Derby
Oxford United
Watford
Oxford United
Portsmouth
Oxford United
Hull City
Oxford United
Southampton
Oxford United
Charlton
Oxford United
Blackburn
Oxford United
Preston
Oxford United
West Brom
Oxford United
Stoke City
Oxford United
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
Sunderland
Oxford United
Norwich
Oxford United
Coventry
Oxford United
Sheffield Utd
Oxford United
Birmingham
Oxford United
Leicester
Oxford United
QPR
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
QPR
Millwall
Norwich
Millwall
Blackburn
Millwall
Derby
Millwall
Birmingham
Millwall
Portsmouth
Millwall
Sheffield Utd
Millwall
Charlton
Millwall
Swansea
Millwall
Bristol City
Millwall
Ipswich
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Southampton
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
Millwall
Preston
Millwall
Leicester
Millwall
Stoke City
Millwall
West Brom
Millwall
Coventry
Oxford United
Derby
Oxford United
Portsmouth
Oxford United
Southampton
Oxford United
Preston
Oxford United
Stoke City
Oxford United
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
Coventry
Oxford United
Sheffield Utd
Oxford United
Leicester
Oxford United
Milton Keynes Dons
Oxford United
Ipswich
Oxford United
Charlton
Oxford United
Blackburn
Oxford United
Swansea
Oxford United
Norwich
Oxford United
West Brom
Oxford United
Sheffield Wednesday
Oxford United
Wrexham
Oxford United
Watford
Oxford United
QPR
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Millwall
Home
|
46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 |
Oxford United
Away
|
46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|