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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Millwall
NS
Derby
The Den

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Millwall Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Millwall1.2
Derby1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Millwall Millwall
WWDLW
2 GF / 1 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
2 GF / 0 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2
1
Average Goals Conceded
0
1
BTTS Yes
0
1
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Millwall Millwall 1 matches
Derby Derby 1 matches
Millwall Statistic Derby
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
2 Goals For 2
1 Goals Against 0
2 Avg Goals Scored 2
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0
1 BTTS Yes 0
1 Over 1.5 1
1 Over 2.5 0
0 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Millwall won 7 times, Derby won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:15 from Millwall's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Millwall 4-2-3-1 / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Millwall wins 7, draws 5, Derby wins 3
Last matches: Millwall
17.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Eldense
2
1
W
11.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
2
L
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Oxford United
2
0
W
24.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
3
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Millwall
QPR
2
0
W
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Norwich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
1
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Derby
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Preston
2
0
W
25.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Birmingham
3
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Portsmouth
1
3
L
14.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Wrexham
2
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
Last matches: Derby
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
H2H: Millwall vs Derby
10.03.26
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
0
W
10.12.25
H2H
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
22.02.25
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
W
19.10.24
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
23.02.22
H2H
Derby
Millwall
1
2
W
06.11.21
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
13.03.21
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
W
05.12.20
H2H
Millwall
Derby
0
1
L
20.06.20
H2H
Millwall
Derby
2
3
L
14.12.19
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
W
20.02.19
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
W
18.08.18
H2H
Millwall
Derby
2
1
W
30.01.18
H2H
Millwall
Derby
0
0
D
23.12.17
H2H
Derby
Millwall
3
0
L
25.04.15
H2H
Millwall
Derby
3
3
D
Last matches: Millwall
11.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.04.26
Cha
Millwall
QPR
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Norwich
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
1
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Derby
1
0
W
25.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Birmingham
3
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Portsmouth
1
3
L
31.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
24.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Charlton
4
0
W
04.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Swansea
2
1
W
29.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Bristol City
2
1
W
26.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
0
0
D
13.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
1
3
L
29.11.25
Cha
Millwall
Southampton
3
2
W
26.11.25
Cha
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
08.11.25
Cha
Millwall
Preston
1
1
D
25.10.25
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
2
0
W
04.10.25
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
3
0
W
H2H at home: Millwall
10.03.26
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
06.11.21
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
05.12.20
H2H
Millwall
Derby
0
1
L
20.06.20
H2H
Millwall
Derby
2
3
L
18.08.18
H2H
Millwall
Derby
2
1
W
30.01.18
H2H
Millwall
Derby
0
0
D
25.04.15
H2H
Millwall
Derby
3
3
D
Last matches: Derby
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Derby
Preston
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
15.12.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
29.11.25
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
25.11.25
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
1
W
08.11.25
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
2
1
W
01.11.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
3
1
W
18.10.25
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
0
1
L
H2H away: Derby
10.03.26
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
06.11.21
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
05.12.20
H2H
Millwall
Derby
0
1
W
20.06.20
H2H
Millwall
Derby
2
3
W
18.08.18
H2H
Millwall
Derby
2
1
L
30.01.18
H2H
Millwall
Derby
0
0
D
25.04.15
H2H
Millwall
Derby
3
3
D

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Birmingham
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2
Blackburn
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3
Bolton
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4
Derby Away
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5
Middlesbrough
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6
Portsmouth
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7
West Ham
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8
Bristol City
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9
Burnley
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10
Cardiff
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11
Charlton
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12
Norwich
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13
Preston
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14
QPR
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15
Sheffield Utd
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16
Stoke City
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17
Watford
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18
West Brom
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19
Wolves
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
20
Millwall Home
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
21
Swansea
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
22
Lincoln
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
23
Wrexham
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
24
Southampton
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
?
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One