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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
31.10.2026 15:00
The Den

Millwall vs Derby Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Millwall Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Millwall1.46
Derby1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Millwall Millwall
WWDLW
21 GF / 22 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
17 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
7
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
9
4
Shots on Goal
3.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Millwall Millwall 16 matches
Derby Derby 16 matches
Millwall Statistic Derby
6 Wins 3
3 Draws 4
7 Losses 9
21 Goals For 17
22 Goals Against 27
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
7 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 4
4 Shots On Goal 3.9
13.9 Total Shots 12.3
5.2 Corners 5.5
45.6% Ball Possession 49.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Millwall won 7 times, Derby won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:15 from Millwall's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Millwall 4-2-3-1 / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Millwall wins 7, draws 5, Derby wins 3

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:7 9 23
W W W W L
2 10 6 3 1 20:14 6 21
W W D D W
3 10 5 4 1 29:12 17 19
W D D W W
4 10 4 5 1 17:11 6 17
W W D W L
5 10 4 5 1 15:9 6 17
W D D D D
6 10 5 2 3 12:10 2 17
W L L D W
7 10 6 2 2 21:10 11 16
W W L W W
8 10 5 1 4 17:16 1 16
L W W W D
9 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
W W D W L
10 9 4 2 3 16:14 2 14
L L W W D
11 10 4 2 4 16:16 0 14
L W D D L
12 10 4 2 4 12:14 -2 14
L D W L L
13 10 3 5 2 10:13 -3 14
D D L D D
14 10 4 1 5 15:18 -3 13
W L W W L
15 10 3 3 4 14:14 0 12
L W L L W
16 9 3 2 4 12:13 -1 11
W L D D W
17 10 2 5 3 11:15 -4 11
L D W L D
18 10 3 2 5 7:17 -10 11
L L L W W
19 10 2 4 4 16:15 1 10
W L W L D
20 10 3 0 7 17:20 -3 9
L L L L W
21 10 1 5 4 15:19 -4 8
D W D L D
22 10 2 2 6 8:19 -11 8
L L L L W
23
Derby Away
10 1 3 6 9:19 -10 6
L D D L L
24 10 1 1 8 8:20 -12 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One