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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Millwall
FT
1 - 0
Derby
The Den
Referee: M. Donohue
Millwall
Match Timeline
Derby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
43'
J. Coburn · Assist: T. Crama
Millwall
🔄
46'
D. Ozoh ↔ B. Clark
Derby
🟨
55'
Bobby Clark
Derby
🟨
58'
Dion Sanderson
Derby
🔄
60'
R. Brewster ↔ C. Morris
Derby
🔄
60'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ J. Banel
Derby
🟨
62'
Carlton Morris
Derby
🔄
72'
B. Bannan ↔ L. Cundle
Millwall
🔄
73'
M. Ivanovic ↔ M. Langstaff
Millwall
🔄
84'
L. Travis ↔ O. Fraulo
Derby
🔄
86'
J. Vickers ↔ R. O'Donnell
Derby
🔄
89'
B. Mitchell ↔ W. Smallbone
Millwall
🔄
89'
F. Azeez ↔ T. Watson
Millwall
🔄
90+1'
J. Coburn ↔ D. Mazou-Sacko
Millwall

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Millwall Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Millwall1.37
Derby1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Millwall Millwall
WWDLW
51 GF / 46 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
55 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.49
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
18
BTTS Yes
26
19
Over 2.5
20
4.3
Shots on Goal
3.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Millwall Millwall 37 matches
Derby Derby 37 matches
Millwall Statistic Derby
19 Wins 15
8 Draws 9
10 Losses 13
51 Goals For 55
46 Goals Against 50
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.49
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
18 BTTS Yes 26
30 Over 1.5 30
19 Over 2.5 20
10 Over 3.5 10
14 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 3
4.3 Shots On Goal 3.43
12.73 Total Shots 10.24
5.32 Corners 4.65
46.4% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Millwall won 7 times, Derby won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:15 from Millwall's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Millwall 4-4-2 / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Millwall wins 7, draws 5, Derby wins 3
Stats
Millwall Millwall
Derby Derby
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
6
6 Corner Kicks 2
7 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 3
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Goal 1
7 Shots off Goal 7
4 Blocked Shots 6
10 Shots insidebox 9
5 Shots outsidebox 5
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
341 Total passes 354
241 Passes accurate 258
1.68 expected_goals 1.25
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Millwall
Formation
Derby
A. Patterson
A. Patterson
D. McNamara
D. McNamara
T. Crama
🎯
T. Crama
J. Cooper
J. Cooper
Z. Sturge
Z. Sturge
F. Azeez
↓
F. Azeez
B. Bannan
↓
B. Bannan
B. Mitchell
↓
B. Mitchell
C. Neghli
C. Neghli
M. Ivanovic
↓
M. Ivanovic
J. Coburn
⚽ ↓
J. Coburn
J. Vickers
↓
J. Vickers
J. Ward
J. Ward
D. Sanderson
D. Sanderson
M. Clarke
M. Clarke
D. Murkin
D. Murkin
D. Ozoh
↓
D. Ozoh
L. Travis
↓
L. Travis
B. Brereton Diaz
↓
B. Brereton Diaz
S. Szmodics
S. Szmodics
R. Brewster
↓
R. Brewster
P. Agyemang
P. Agyemang
Millwall 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
A. Patterson
G
2
D. McNamara
D
4
T. Crama
🎯 43'
D
5
J. Cooper
D
3
Z. Sturge
D
11
F. Azeez
↓ 89'
M
67
B. Bannan
↓ 72'
M
8
B. Mitchell
↓ 89'
M
10
C. Neghli
M
9
M. Ivanovic
↓ 73'
F
19
J. Coburn
⚽ 43' ↓ 90+1'
F
Substitutes
15
M. Crocombe
G
39
W. Smallbone
↑ 89'
M
25
L. Cundle
↑ 72'
M
49
D. Mazou-Sacko
↑ 90+1'
M
23
J. Bryan
D
7
T. Ballo
F
17
M. Langstaff
↑ 73'
F
22
T. Watson
↑ 89'
F
31
R. Bangura-Williams
F
Derby 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
J. Vickers
↓ 86'
G
23
J. Ward
D
28
D. Sanderson
🟨 58'
D
5
M. Clarke
D
2
D. Murkin
D
18
D. Ozoh
↓ 46'
M
27
L. Travis
↓ 84'
M
25
B. Brereton Diaz
↓ 60'
M
19
S. Szmodics
M
10
R. Brewster
↓ 60'
M
7
P. Agyemang
F
Substitutes
12
R. O'Donnell
↑ 86'
G
9
C. Morris
↑ 60' 🟨 62'
F
34
J. Banel
↑ 60'
M
37
O. Eames
M
3
C. Forsyth
D
29
O. Fraulo
↑ 84'
M
42
B. Clark
↑ 46' 🟨 55'
M
54
C. Allen
44
I. Gordon
D
Last matches: Millwall
01.08.26
Fri
Millwall
Antwerp
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Bromley
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Stevenage
0
1
L
21.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Gillingham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Eldense
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Millwall
FC Andorra
1
2
L
11.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
2
L
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Oxford United
2
0
W
24.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
3
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Millwall
QPR
2
0
W
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Norwich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
1
2
L
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Preston
2
0
W
25.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Birmingham
3
0
W
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
H2H: Millwall vs Derby
10.03.26
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
0
W
10.12.25
H2H
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
22.02.25
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
W
19.10.24
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
23.02.22
H2H
Derby
Millwall
1
2
W
06.11.21
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
13.03.21
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
W
05.12.20
H2H
Millwall
Derby
0
1
L
20.06.20
H2H
Millwall
Derby
2
3
L
14.12.19
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
W
20.02.19
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
W
18.08.18
H2H
Millwall
Derby
2
1
W
30.01.18
H2H
Millwall
Derby
0
0
D
23.12.17
H2H
Derby
Millwall
3
0
L
25.04.15
H2H
Millwall
Derby
3
3
D
Last matches: Millwall
01.08.26
Fri
Millwall
Antwerp
1
0
W
11.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.04.26
Cha
Millwall
QPR
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Norwich
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
1
2
L
25.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Birmingham
3
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Portsmouth
1
3
L
31.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
24.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Charlton
4
0
W
04.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Swansea
2
1
W
29.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Bristol City
2
1
W
26.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
0
0
D
13.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
1
3
L
29.11.25
Cha
Millwall
Southampton
3
2
W
26.11.25
Cha
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
08.11.25
Cha
Millwall
Preston
1
1
D
25.10.25
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
2
0
W
04.10.25
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
3
0
W
H2H at home: Millwall
10.03.26
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
06.11.21
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
05.12.20
H2H
Millwall
Derby
0
1
L
20.06.20
H2H
Millwall
Derby
2
3
L
18.08.18
H2H
Millwall
Derby
2
1
W
30.01.18
H2H
Millwall
Derby
0
0
D
25.04.15
H2H
Millwall
Derby
3
3
D
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Derby
Preston
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
15.12.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
29.11.25
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
25.11.25
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
1
W
H2H away: Derby
10.03.26
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
06.11.21
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
05.12.20
H2H
Millwall
Derby
0
1
W
20.06.20
H2H
Millwall
Derby
2
3
W
18.08.18
H2H
Millwall
Derby
2
1
L
30.01.18
H2H
Millwall
Derby
0
0
D
25.04.15
H2H
Millwall
Derby
3
3
D

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall Home
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Away
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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