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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
10.03.2026 19:45
Millwall
FT
1 - 0
Derby
The Den
Referee: M. Donohue
Millwall
Match Timeline
Derby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
43'
J. Coburn · Assist: T. Crama
Millwall
🔄
46'
D. Ozoh ↔ B. Clark
Derby
🟨
55'
Bobby Clark
Derby
🟨
58'
Dion Sanderson
Derby
🔄
60'
R. Brewster ↔ C. Morris
Derby
🔄
60'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ J. Banel
Derby
🟨
62'
Carlton Morris
Derby
🔄
72'
B. Bannan ↔ L. Cundle
Millwall
🔄
73'
M. Ivanovic ↔ M. Langstaff
Millwall
🔄
84'
L. Travis ↔ O. Fraulo
Derby
🔄
86'
J. Vickers ↔ R. O'Donnell
Derby
🔄
89'
B. Mitchell ↔ W. Smallbone
Millwall
🔄
89'
F. Azeez ↔ T. Watson
Millwall
🔄
90+1'
J. Coburn ↔ D. Mazou-Sacko
Millwall

Millwall vs Derby Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Millwall Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Millwall1.37
Derby1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Millwall Millwall
WWDLW
51 GF / 46 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
55 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.49
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
18
BTTS Yes
26
19
Over 2.5
20
4.3
Shots on Goal
3.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Millwall Millwall 37 matches
Derby Derby 37 matches
Millwall Statistic Derby
19 Wins 15
8 Draws 9
10 Losses 13
51 Goals For 55
46 Goals Against 50
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.49
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
18 BTTS Yes 26
30 Over 1.5 30
19 Over 2.5 20
10 Over 3.5 10
14 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 3
4.3 Shots On Goal 3.43
12.73 Total Shots 10.24
5.32 Corners 4.65
46.4% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Millwall won 7 times, Derby won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:15 from Millwall's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Millwall 4-4-2 / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Millwall wins 7, draws 5, Derby wins 3

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall Home
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Away
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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