Millwall vs Burnley Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Millwall Win 0%
Draw 0%
Burnley Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Millwall1.71
Burnley1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Millwall
WWDLW
20 GF / 21 GA
Burnley
WLDWL
15 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
2.14
7
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
9
4.13
Shots on Goal
3.75
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Millwall
14 matches
Burnley
14 matches
| Millwall | Statistic | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 0 |
| 3 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 8 |
| 20 | Goals For | 15 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.07 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.14 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.13 | Shots On Goal | 3.75 |
| 14.88 | Total Shots | 13.38 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 4.88 |
| 44% | Ball Possession | 49.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Millwall won 2 times, Burnley won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:24 from Millwall's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Millwall 4-2-3-1 / Burnley 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Millwall wins 2, draws 3, Burnley wins 7
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 15 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 15 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 14 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 12 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 |
Millwall
Home
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 11 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 22 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 4 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 |
Burnley
Away
|
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One