Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
BTTS No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
89.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
79.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
91.5%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Migori Youth Win 51.5%
Draw 10.2%
Nzoia Sugar Win 38.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Migori Youth1.23
Nzoia Sugar0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Migori Youth
WWDLW
45 GF / 25 GA
Nzoia Sugar
WLDWL
29 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
13
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Migori Youth
29 matches
Nzoia Sugar
29 matches
| Migori Youth | Statistic | Nzoia Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 10 |
| 4 | Draws | 12 |
| 6 | Losses | 7 |
| 45 | Goals For | 29 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.76 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Migori Youth won 2 times, Nzoia Sugar won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:2 from Migori Youth's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.8%)
H2H summary: Migori Youth wins 2, draws 0, Nzoia Sugar wins 2
Last matches: Migori Youth
13.06.26
Sup
Migori Youth
3K
1
1
D
07.06.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Equity Bank
2
1
W
01.06.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
27.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
MCF
2
1
W
23.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
10.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
MOFA
1
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
0
0
D
18.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Naivas
1
0
W
05.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
3
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
0
1
L
23.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Talanta
3
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
3
2
W
08.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Vihiga United FC
2
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
22.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Gucha Stars
0
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
0
0
D
25.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
4
0
W
Last matches: Nzoia Sugar
13.06.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
07.06.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
01.06.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Fortune Sacco
3
1
W
27.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Talanta
0
2
L
24.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Naivas
0
1
L
17.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
MCF
0
1
L
09.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Luanda Villa
3
3
D
03.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Darajani Gogo
2
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Soy United
1
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
0
2
L
29.03.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
3K
1
3
L
21.03.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Mwatate United
3
1
W
14.03.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
0
1
L
08.03.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Nairobi City Stars
0
0
D
20.02.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Vihiga United FC
4
0
W
15.02.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Gucha Stars
0
2
L
31.01.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
1
1
D
H2H: Migori Youth vs Nzoia Sugar
26.04.26
H2H
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
4
0
W
22.12.25
H2H
Nzoia Sugar
Migori Youth
1
0
L
21.06.25
H2H
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
20.10.24
H2H
Nzoia Sugar
Migori Youth
1
0
L
Last matches: Migori Youth
07.06.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Equity Bank
2
1
W
27.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
MCF
2
1
W
23.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
MOFA
1
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Naivas
1
0
W
23.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Talanta
3
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
3
2
W
01.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
15.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
4
0
W
11.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
12.12.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
3
2
W
04.12.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Fortune Sacco
1
0
W
23.11.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Vihiga United FC
1
1
D
09.11.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
29.10.25
Sup
Migori Youth
3K
1
1
D
12.10.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
W
28.09.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
1
0
W
H2H at home: Migori Youth
26.04.26
H2H
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
4
0
W
21.06.25
H2H
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
Last matches: Nzoia Sugar
07.06.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
27.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Talanta
0
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
MCF
0
1
L
03.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
12.04.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Soy United
1
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
3K
1
3
L
08.03.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
20.02.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Vihiga United FC
4
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
1
1
D
12.01.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Darajani Gogo
4
1
W
17.12.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Luanda Villa
0
0
D
07.12.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Naivas
1
0
W
29.11.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
15.11.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Gucha Stars
1
2
L
29.10.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Kibera Black Stars
0
0
D
12.10.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Fortune Sacco
0
0
D
04.10.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Mwatate United
2
2
D
H2H away: Nzoia Sugar
26.04.26
H2H
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
4
0
L
21.06.25
H2H
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
L
Standings
Super League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Migori Youth
Home
|
38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | 28 | 81 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | 36 | 77 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | 19 | 76 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 74 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | 21 | 64 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | 20 | 63 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | 17 | 61 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | 12 | 57 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | -1 | 53 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | 4 | 52 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 |
Nzoia Sugar
Away
|
38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 50 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | -6 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | -21 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | -20 | 39 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | -24 | 39 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | -12 | 39 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | -21 | 38 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | -18 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | -26 | 30 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | -37 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation