KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 96.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
96.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
87.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Migori Youth Win 75.1%
Draw 0%
MOFA Win 24.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Migori Youth1.26
MOFA1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Migori Youth Migori Youth
WWDLW
49 GF / 25 GA
MOFA MOFA
WLDWL
46 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.48
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
0.77
13
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Migori Youth Migori Youth 31 matches
MOFA MOFA 31 matches
Migori Youth Statistic MOFA
20 Wins 15
5 Draws 12
6 Losses 4
49 Goals For 46
25 Goals Against 24
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77
13 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 18
13 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 8
14 Clean Sheets 13
6 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward MOFA. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward MOFA having the stronger overall control. Migori Youth come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Migori Youth Analysis

Migori Youth approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 65 points after 31 outings. The return of 20 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 49:25, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

MOFA Analysis

MOFA arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 57 points after 31 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 12 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 46:24 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Migori Youth won 2 times, MOFA won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:5 from Migori Youth's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Migori Youth wins 2, draws 1, MOFA wins 1
Last matches: Migori Youth
01.06.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
27.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
MCF
2
1
W
23.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
03.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
0
0
D
26.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
4
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Naivas
1
0
W
05.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
3
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
0
1
L
23.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Talanta
3
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
3
2
W
08.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Vihiga United FC
2
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
22.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Gucha Stars
0
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
0
0
D
25.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
4
0
W
17.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Naivas
4
2
W
11.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
Last matches: MOFA
01.06.26
Sup
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
28.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
24.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
16.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Gucha Stars
2
1
W
02.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Talanta
3
3
D
25.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Mwatate United
3
2
W
18.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Equity Bank
0
0
D
14.04.26
Sup
MOFA
MCF
3
0
W
10.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
04.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
21.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Vihiga United FC
3
2
W
15.03.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Naivas
1
0
W
27.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
15.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Fortune Sacco
1
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
18.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Luanda Villa
4
2
W
11.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Equity Bank
1
1
D
H2H: Migori Youth vs MOFA
10.05.26
H2H
Migori Youth
MOFA
1
0
W
07.12.25
H2H
MOFA
Migori Youth
3
1
L
16.03.25
H2H
Migori Youth
MOFA
1
1
D
17.11.24
H2H
MOFA
Migori Youth
1
2
W
Last matches: Migori Youth
27.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
MCF
2
1
W
23.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
4
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Naivas
1
0
W
23.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Talanta
3
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
3
2
W
01.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
15.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
4
0
W
11.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
12.12.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
3
2
W
04.12.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Fortune Sacco
1
0
W
23.11.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Vihiga United FC
1
1
D
09.11.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
29.10.25
Sup
Migori Youth
3K
1
1
D
12.10.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
W
28.09.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
1
0
W
H2H at home: Migori Youth
10.05.26
H2H
Migori Youth
MOFA
1
0
W
16.03.25
H2H
Migori Youth
MOFA
1
1
D
Last matches: MOFA
28.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
24.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Equity Bank
0
0
D
04.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
15.03.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
0
1
L
27.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
15.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Fortune Sacco
1
0
W
18.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Luanda Villa
4
2
W
21.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Mwatate United
4
0
W
13.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Talanta
0
0
D
03.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Gucha Stars
3
2
W
22.11.25
Sup
MOFA
Naivas
0
0
D
08.11.25
Sup
MOFA
MCF
0
1
L
30.10.25
Sup
MOFA
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
12.10.25
Sup
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
05.10.25
Sup
MOFA
Vihiga United FC
1
0
W
H2H away: MOFA
10.05.26
H2H
Migori Youth
MOFA
1
0
L
16.03.25
H2H
Migori Youth
MOFA
1
1
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 24 5 7 54:27 27 77
W W W L W
2 36 22 7 7 58:25 33 73
W D D W W
3 36 23 3 10 49:31 18 72
L D W W L
4 36 20 11 5 53:26 27 71
W W D D W
5
MOFA Away
36 16 14 6 50:29 21 62
D D L W L
6 36 17 9 10 45:27 18 60
W W W W D
7 36 16 9 11 57:41 16 57
L L L W L
8 36 15 9 12 46:37 9 54
L W W W W
9 36 15 8 13 31:30 1 53
D D L L D
10 36 13 9 14 30:27 3 48
L D W L D
11 36 11 14 11 36:35 1 47
W L L L D
12 36 12 6 18 29:49 -20 42
W L L W D
13 36 11 8 17 32:38 -6 41
W L W L D
14 36 9 12 15 31:36 -5 39
L D D L L
15 36 9 9 18 21:45 -24 36
L D W D D
16 36 9 8 19 29:50 -21 35
W W L L D
17 36 8 8 20 22:47 -25 32
L D W L L
18 36 8 10 18 22:38 -16 31
W L D W L
19 36 9 8 19 28:53 -25 29
L W L W W
20 36 6 7 23 27:59 -32 25
L L L L D