ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium
Midland
Match Timeline
Patronato
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
J. Camano
Midland
🟨
25'
R. Reynaga
Patronato
🔄
46'
R. Luna ↔ M. Abruzzese
Midland
🔄
46'
J. Camano ↔ J. Perales
Midland
🔄
63'
R. Reynaga ↔ J. P. Barinaga
Patronato
🔄
63'
L. Pacco ↔ G. Salega
Patronato
🔄
67'
M. Flores ↔ D. Aguilar
Midland
🟨
68'
F. Evangelista
Patronato
72'
L. Diaz Laharque · Assist: D. Bulacio
Midland
🔄
78'
A. Picco ↔ V. Villarreal
Patronato
🔄
78'
V. L. Pereyra ↔ F. Soldano
Patronato
🔄
78'
A. Miro ↔ H. Rivero
Patronato
🔄
84'
D. Bulacio ↔ M. Olavarria
Midland
🔄
90'
F. Marin ↔ V. Madalon
Midland

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 19.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.9%
-
BTTS Yes
54.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
19.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Midland Win 72.9%
Draw 4.9%
Patronato Win 22.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Midland0.99
Patronato0.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Midland Midland
WWDLW
24 GF / 17 GA
Patronato Patronato
WLDWL
13 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
0.65
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
10
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Midland Midland 22 matches
Patronato Patronato 20 matches
Midland Statistic Patronato
9 Wins 4
7 Draws 10
6 Losses 6
24 Goals For 13
17 Goals Against 17
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 0.65
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
10 BTTS Yes 7
13 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 0
8 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Midland's more proactive style and Patronato's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Patronato. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Patronato having the stronger overall control. Midland arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 30 points compared to Patronato in 16 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Midland Analysis

Placed 5 with 30 points from 20 outings, Midland continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 21:15 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Patronato Analysis

Patronato sit 16 with 22 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 13:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Midland won 1 times, Patronato won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Midland's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
H2H summary: Midland wins 1, draws 1, Patronato wins 0

Lineups

Midland
Formation
Patronato
M. Leguiza
M. Leguiza
L. Diaz Laharque
L. Diaz Laharque
G. Cepeda
G. Cepeda
L. Recalde
L. Recalde
P. Casarico
P. Casarico
R. Luna
R. Luna
N. Violini
N. Violini
J. Camano
J. Camano
M. Flores
M. Flores
D. Bulacio
🎯
D. Bulacio
F. Marin
F. Marin
A. Sosa
A. Sosa
W. Rueda
W. Rueda
F. Moreyra
F. Moreyra
G. Diaz
G. Diaz
F. Evangelista
F. Evangelista
L. Pacco
L. Pacco
A. Picco
A. Picco
R. Reynaga
R. Reynaga
A. Miro
A. Miro
D. Diaz
D. Diaz
V. L. Pereyra
V. L. Pereyra
Midland 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Leguiza
4
L. Diaz Laharque
⚽ 72'
2
G. Cepeda
6
L. Recalde
3
P. Casarico
10
R. Luna
↓ 46'
5
N. Violini
8
J. Camano
↓ 46' 🟨 25'
7
M. Flores
↓ 67'
9
D. Bulacio
🎯 72' ↓ 84'
11
F. Marin
↓ 90'
Substitutes
20
M. Abruzzese
↑ 46'
15
D. Aguilar
↑ 67'
19
R. Cao
14
P. Castorani
16
M. Frattini
12
S. Garcia Rossi
17
V. Madalon
↑ 90'
13
M. Olavarria
↑ 84'
18
J. Perales
↑ 46'
Patronato 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Sosa
4
W. Rueda
6
F. Moreyra
2
G. Diaz
3
F. Evangelista
🟨 68'
10
L. Pacco
↓ 63'
5
A. Picco
↓ 78'
7
R. Reynaga
↓ 63' 🟨 25'
8
A. Miro
↓ 78'
9
D. Diaz
11
V. L. Pereyra
↓ 78'
Substitutes
12
F. Rivasseau
14
V. Villarreal
↑ 78'
15
L. Strey
16
F. Heredia
17
J. P. Barinaga
↑ 63'
18
F. Soldano
↑ 78'
19
G. Salega
↑ 63'
20
H. Rivero
↑ 78'
13
F. N. Diaz
Last matches: Midland
23.08.26
Pri
Midland
Temperley
1
2
L
19.08.26
Cop
Midland
Banfield
2
2
D
14.08.26
Pri
Midland
Acassuso
1
1
D
07.08.26
Pri
Midland
Deportivo Maipu
2
0
W
01.08.26
Pri
Midland
Almagro
1
1
D
12.07.26
Pri
Midland
Quilmes
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
21.06.26
Pri
Midland
Patronato
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
Midland
Atlanta
1
2
L
06.06.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
31.05.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin Tucuman
2
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Midland
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Midland
Agropecuario
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Midland
Tristan Suarez
3
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Midland
Club Atlético Güemes
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Midland
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
23.04.26
Cop
Midland
Deportivo Moron
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin S.J.
0
1
L
13.04.26
Pri
Midland
Nueva Chicago
2
2
D
08.04.26
Pri
Midland
Acassuso
1
0
W
Last matches: Patronato
26.08.26
Pri
Patronato
Atlanta
2
0
W
22.08.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Jujuy
3
3
D
15.08.26
Pri
Patronato
Colon Santa Fe
0
3
L
09.08.26
Pri
Patronato
Colegiales
2
2
D
01.08.26
Pri
Patronato
Quilmes
3
3
D
12.07.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
05.07.26
Pri
Patronato
San Martin Tucuman
0
1
L
21.06.26
Pri
Patronato
Midland
1
1
D
14.06.26
Pri
Patronato
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
07.06.26
Pri
Patronato
Agropecuario
1
1
D
31.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Tristan Suarez
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Club Atlético Güemes
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Chacarita Juniors
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Patronato
San Martin S.J.
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Nueva Chicago
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Temperley
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Deportivo Maipu
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Almagro
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
2
L
29.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Colon Santa Fe
0
2
L
H2H: Midland vs Patronato
26.07.26
H2H
Midland
Patronato
1
0
W
21.06.26
H2H
Patronato
Midland
1
1
D
Last matches: Midland
07.08.26
Pri
Midland
Deportivo Maipu
2
0
W
12.07.26
Pri
Midland
Quilmes
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
Midland
Atlanta
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin Tucuman
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Midland
Agropecuario
2
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Midland
Club Atlético Güemes
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin S.J.
0
1
L
08.04.26
Pri
Midland
Acassuso
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Midland
Temperley
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Midland
Almagro
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Midland
Colegiales
2
0
W
08.11.25
Pri
Midland
Fénix
4
0
W
18.10.25
Pri
Midland
Liniers
2
1
W
07.10.25
Pri
Midland
Deportivo Armenio
0
0
D
21.09.25
Pri
Midland
Sacachispas
2
1
W
08.09.25
Pri
Midland
Dock Sud
3
0
W
23.08.25
Pri
Midland
Real Pilar
0
1
L
09.08.25
Pri
Midland
Sportivo Italiano
2
0
W
20.07.25
Pri
Midland
Acassuso
2
1
W
H2H at home: Midland
26.07.26
H2H
Midland
Patronato
1
0
W
Last matches: Patronato
15.08.26
Pri
Patronato
Colon Santa Fe
0
3
L
09.08.26
Pri
Patronato
Colegiales
2
2
D
12.07.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
07.06.26
Pri
Patronato
Agropecuario
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Club Atlético Güemes
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Patronato
San Martin S.J.
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Temperley
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Almagro
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Quilmes
0
3
L
03.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Atlanta
0
0
D
15.02.26
Pri
Patronato
San Martin Tucuman
0
0
D
H2H away: Patronato
26.07.26
H2H
Midland
Patronato
1
0
L

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 13 9 3 28:13 15 48
W W W W W
2 26 13 6 7 39:32 7 45
D W L L L
3 26 11 10 5 29:22 7 43
W W L L W
4 25 13 3 9 31:25 6 42
W L W L L
5 25 10 8 7 27:19 8 38
L D W D W
6 26 11 5 10 34:27 7 38
W W L W L
7 26 10 8 8 27:25 2 38
L D W W W
8 26 9 9 8 18:19 -1 36
D D W D W
9 26 8 11 7 26:23 3 35
W D D L L
10 26 8 8 10 27:22 5 32
L W D W D
11 24 8 8 8 26:24 2 32
W D D D L
12 25 8 7 10 23:25 -2 31
D L D W W
13 26 8 7 11 21:29 -8 31
D L D L D
14 25 7 8 10 20:24 -4 29
L L L W L
15 26 7 8 11 22:30 -8 29
L W W L W
16 26 7 6 13 19:28 -9 27
L D L L W
17 25 4 13 8 21:29 -8 25
D L D D L
18 26 5 7 14 21:43 -22 22
D D D L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation