ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium
Midland
Match Timeline
Deportivo Maipu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
D. Bulacio · Assist: M. Roseti
Midland
🔄
10'
G. Mansilla ↔ T. Ferreyra
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
58'
J. Perales ↔ R. Luna
Midland
🔄
67'
F. Marin ↔ M. Penepil
Midland
🔄
67'
M. Roseti ↔ M. Flores
Midland
🔄
73'
J. Giacone ↔ L. Cabrera
Deportivo Maipu
75'
D. Bulacio · Assist: P. Casarico
Midland
🟨
79'
A. R. Aguero Gimenez
Deportivo Maipu
🟨
79'
M. Penepil
Midland
🔄
82'
L. Diaz Laharque ↔ T. Muia
Midland
🔄
82'
D. Bulacio ↔ R. Cao
Midland
🟨
83'
P. Casarico
Midland
🔄
83'
T. Silva ↔ V. Barrera
Deportivo Maipu
🟨
90+1'
T. Ferreyra
Deportivo Maipu
🟨
90+3'
L. Cabrera
Deportivo Maipu

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.8%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Midland Win 56.8%
Draw 4.9%
Deportivo Maipu Win 38.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Midland1.05
Deportivo Maipu1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Midland Midland
WWDLW
26 GF / 18 GA
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu
WLDWL
32 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.28
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1
11
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Midland Midland 24 matches
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 25 matches
Midland Statistic Deportivo Maipu
10 Wins 10
8 Draws 5
6 Losses 10
26 Goals For 32
18 Goals Against 25
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1
11 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 11
2 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Maipu. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Maipu having the stronger overall control.

Midland Analysis

Midland arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 33 points after 21 matches. The record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 22:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Maipu Analysis

So far, Deportivo Maipu have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 29 points from 22 matches. The record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 27:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Midland won 2 times, Deportivo Maipu won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:0 from Midland's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
H2H summary: Midland wins 2, draws 0, Deportivo Maipu wins 0

Lineups

Midland
Formation
Deportivo Maipu
M. Leguiza
M. Leguiza
L. Diaz Laharque
L. Diaz Laharque
P. Castorani
P. Castorani
L. Recalde
L. Recalde
P. Casarico
🎯
P. Casarico
M. Roseti
🎯
M. Roseti
N. Violini
N. Violini
J. Camano
J. Camano
F. Marin
F. Marin
J. Perales
J. Perales
D. Bulacio
⚽ 2
D. Bulacio
N. Galardi
N. Galardi
M. Ortale
M. Ortale
S. Paulini
S. Paulini
A. R. Aguero Gimenez
A. R. Aguero Gimenez
J. de la Reta
J. de la Reta
J. Vera
J. Vera
G. Mansilla
G. Mansilla
F. Saccone
F. Saccone
M. Bonfigli
M. Bonfigli
T. Silva
T. Silva
J. Giacone
J. Giacone
Midland 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Leguiza
4
L. Diaz Laharque
↓ 82'
2
P. Castorani
6
L. Recalde
3
P. Casarico
🎯 75' 🟨 83'
10
M. Roseti
🎯 7' ↓ 67'
5
N. Violini
8
J. Camano
11
F. Marin
↓ 67'
9
J. Perales
↓ 58'
7
D. Bulacio
⚽ 7' ⚽ 75' ↓ 82'
Substitutes
12
S. Garcia Rossi
13
T. Muia
↑ 82'
14
M. Penepil
↑ 67' 🟨 79'
15
D. Aguilar
16
M. Abruzzese
17
V. Madalon
18
R. Cao
↑ 82'
19
R. Luna
↑ 58'
20
M. Flores
↑ 67'
Deportivo Maipu 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
N. Galardi
4
M. Ortale
2
S. Paulini
6
A. R. Aguero Gimenez
🟨 79'
3
J. de la Reta
11
J. Vera
5
G. Mansilla
↓ 10'
7
F. Saccone
8
M. Bonfigli
10
T. Silva
↓ 83'
9
J. Giacone
↓ 73'
Substitutes
12
L. Peraggini
13
T. Ferreyra
↑ 10' 🟨 90+1'
14
M. Leiva
15
N. Fernandez
16
J. Nazar
17
I. Sambueza
18
D. Yavante Gaitan
19
L. Cabrera
↑ 73' 🟨 90+3'
20
V. Barrera
↑ 83'
Last matches: Midland
23.08.26
Pri
Midland
Temperley
1
2
L
19.08.26
Cop
Midland
Banfield
2
2
D
14.08.26
Pri
Midland
Acassuso
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
Midland
Almagro
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
Midland
Patronato
1
0
W
12.07.26
Pri
Midland
Quilmes
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
21.06.26
Pri
Midland
Patronato
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
Midland
Atlanta
1
2
L
06.06.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
31.05.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin Tucuman
2
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Midland
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Midland
Agropecuario
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Midland
Tristan Suarez
3
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Midland
Club Atlético Güemes
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Midland
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
23.04.26
Cop
Midland
Deportivo Moron
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin S.J.
0
1
L
13.04.26
Pri
Midland
Nueva Chicago
2
2
D
08.04.26
Pri
Midland
Acassuso
1
0
W
Last matches: Deportivo Maipu
23.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Quilmes
1
0
W
15.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Godoy Cruz
2
1
W
02.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Atlanta
4
2
W
26.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
17.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
San Martin Tucuman
0
0
D
11.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Atletico DE Rafaela
3
1
W
05.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Agropecuario
2
0
W
21.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
0
D
14.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
07.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Club Atlético Güemes
0
1
L
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Chacarita Juniors
3
2
W
23.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
San Martin S.J.
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Nueva Chicago
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Temperley
5
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Almagro
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Patronato
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Colegiales
3
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Quilmes
1
2
L
29.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Godoy Cruz
0
1
L
H2H: Midland vs Deportivo Maipu
07.08.26
H2H
Midland
Deportivo Maipu
2
0
W
22.03.26
H2H
Deportivo Maipu
Midland
0
1
W
Last matches: Midland
26.07.26
Pri
Midland
Patronato
1
0
W
12.07.26
Pri
Midland
Quilmes
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
Midland
Atlanta
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin Tucuman
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Midland
Agropecuario
2
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Midland
Club Atlético Güemes
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin S.J.
0
1
L
08.04.26
Pri
Midland
Acassuso
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Midland
Temperley
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Midland
Almagro
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Midland
Colegiales
2
0
W
08.11.25
Pri
Midland
Fénix
4
0
W
18.10.25
Pri
Midland
Liniers
2
1
W
07.10.25
Pri
Midland
Deportivo Armenio
0
0
D
21.09.25
Pri
Midland
Sacachispas
2
1
W
08.09.25
Pri
Midland
Dock Sud
3
0
W
23.08.25
Pri
Midland
Real Pilar
0
1
L
09.08.25
Pri
Midland
Sportivo Italiano
2
0
W
20.07.25
Pri
Midland
Acassuso
2
1
W
H2H at home: Midland
07.08.26
H2H
Midland
Deportivo Maipu
2
0
W
Last matches: Deportivo Maipu
15.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Godoy Cruz
2
1
W
26.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
11.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Atletico DE Rafaela
3
1
W
07.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Club Atlético Güemes
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
San Martin S.J.
1
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Temperley
5
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Patronato
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Quilmes
1
2
L
17.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Atlanta
1
3
L
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
San Martin Tucuman
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Agropecuario
1
2
L
05.02.26
Cop
Deportivo Maipu
Deportivo Riestra
0
1
L
25.01.26
Fri
Deportivo Maipu
Rangers de Talca
1
0
W
H2H away: Deportivo Maipu
07.08.26
H2H
Midland
Deportivo Maipu
2
0
L

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 13 9 3 28:13 15 48
W W W W W
2 26 13 6 7 39:32 7 45
D W L L L
3 26 11 10 5 29:22 7 43
W W L L W
4 25 13 3 9 31:25 6 42
W L W L L
5 25 10 8 7 27:19 8 38
L D W D W
6 26 11 5 10 34:27 7 38
W W L W L
7 26 10 8 8 27:25 2 38
L D W W W
8 26 9 9 8 18:19 -1 36
D D W D W
9 26 8 11 7 26:23 3 35
W D D L L
10 26 8 8 10 27:22 5 32
L W D W D
11 24 8 8 8 26:24 2 32
W D D D L
12 25 8 7 10 23:25 -2 31
D L D W W
13 26 8 7 11 21:29 -8 31
D L D L D
14 25 7 8 10 20:24 -4 29
L L L W L
15 26 7 8 11 22:30 -8 29
L W W L W
16 26 7 6 13 19:28 -9 27
L D L L W
17 25 4 13 8 21:29 -8 25
D L D D L
18 26 5 7 14 21:43 -22 22
D D D L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation