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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
10.10.2026 19:30
Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium
Midland
Match Timeline
Atletico DE Rafaela
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
D. Bulacio · Assist: F. Marin
Midland
⚽
25'
F. Marin · Assist: M. Roseti
Midland
🟨
28'
A. Rodriguez
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
46'
A. Rodriguez ↔ M. Moreno
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
68'
N. Cainelli ↔ M. Pardo
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
70'
J. Perales ↔ D. Guzman
Midland
🔄
70'
R. Luna ↔ J. Camano
Midland
🟨
70'
T. Rojas
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
78'
F. Soloa ↔ J. Capurro
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
78'
F. Marin ↔ V. Madalon
Midland
🔄
78'
N. Ramos ↔ L. Flores
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
78'
J. Bonifacio ↔ M. Quiroga
Atletico DE Rafaela
⚽
78'
L. Recalde
Midland
🔄
86'
N. Violini ↔ R. Cao
Midland
🔄
86'
D. Bulacio ↔ M. Abruzzese
Midland
⚽
90+2'
M. Abruzzese
Midland

Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82%
Odds 1.78
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.78
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82%
1.78 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.75 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.78 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.54 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Midland Win 82%
Draw 5.5%
Atletico DE Rafaela Win 12.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Midland1.07
Atletico DE Rafaela0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Midland Midland
WWDLW
39 GF / 30 GA
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
WLDWL
27 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
0.82
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1
15
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Midland Midland 35 matches
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 33 matches
Midland Statistic Atletico DE Rafaela
14 Wins 11
11 Draws 9
10 Losses 13
39 Goals For 27
30 Goals Against 33
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1
15 BTTS Yes 11
22 Over 1.5 16
10 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 4
14 Clean Sheets 15
9 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Midland's more proactive style and Atletico DE Rafaela's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atletico DE Rafaela having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Atletico DE Rafaela arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Atletico DE Rafaela.

Midland Analysis

Midland arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 48 points after 32 matches. The record of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 34:26 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Atletico DE Rafaela Analysis

Atletico DE Rafaela approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 42 points from 32 matches. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 27:30 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Midland won 0 times, Atletico DE Rafaela won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from Midland's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
H2H summary: Midland wins 0, draws 0, Atletico DE Rafaela wins 1

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 15 13 4 32:15 17 58
D W D D D
2 32 15 11 6 38:26 12 56
W L W D W
3 32 17 4 11 38:30 8 55
W W D W W
4 32 15 9 8 48:40 8 54
L D D W W
5 32 13 9 10 34:26 8 48
D L W W L
6 32 13 9 10 32:28 4 48
L W L D W
7 32 13 8 11 39:31 8 47
W W D D D
8 32 13 7 12 32:31 1 46
W W L W L
9 32 12 9 11 34:32 2 45
L L W D L
10 32 10 13 9 35:32 3 43
W D L W L
11 32 11 9 12 27:30 -3 42
L L W L L
12 32 10 9 13 30:27 3 39
D W L W L
13 32 10 8 14 28:38 -10 38
W L L D L
14 32 9 10 13 26:35 -9 37
D L W L W
15 32 9 9 14 23:30 -7 36
L W D L W
16 32 6 16 10 27:32 -5 34
L W D D D
17 32 9 6 17 24:33 -9 33
W L W L L
18 32 5 8 19 23:54 -31 23
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation