ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium
Midland
Match Timeline
Atlanta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
F. Castro · Assist: A. Quintana
Atlanta
29'
M. Rogoski · Assist: M. Penepil
Midland
🟥
30'
D. Arguello
Atlanta
🔄
46'
J. Puch ↔ R. Sosa
Atlanta
🟨
48'
N. Violini
Midland
🔄
56'
L. Diaz Laharque ↔ E. Porro
Midland
🟨
57'
L. Gigli
Midland
🔄
62'
B. Rivero ↔ C. Bernardi
Atlanta
🔄
63'
F. Castro ↔ F. Alvarez
Atlanta
🔄
66'
A. I. Campana ↔ M. Abruzzese
Midland
🔄
66'
N. Violini ↔ M. Frattini
Midland
🔄
83'
J. Perales ↔ R. Cao
Midland
🔄
83'
M. Penepil ↔ V. Madalon
Midland
🔄
85'
A. Quintana ↔ I. Rodriguez
Atlanta
90'
I. Rodriguez
Atlanta

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.6%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Midland Win 45.6%
Draw 12.4%
Atlanta Win 42.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Midland0.95
Atlanta1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Midland Midland
WWDLW
20 GF / 13 GA
Atlanta Atlanta
WLDWL
21 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.24
0.72
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
7
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Midland Midland 18 matches
Atlanta Atlanta 17 matches
Midland Statistic Atlanta
8 Wins 9
5 Draws 3
5 Losses 5
20 Goals For 21
13 Goals Against 12
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
0.72 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
7 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atlanta. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atlanta having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Midland Analysis

Midland arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 25 points after 16 matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 17:11 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Atlanta Analysis

Atlanta arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 30 points after 16 matches. The record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 21:10 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Midland won 0 times, Atlanta won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Midland's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
H2H summary: Midland wins 0, draws 0, Atlanta wins 1

Lineups

Midland
Formation
Atlanta
M. Leguiza
M. Leguiza
G. Cepeda
G. Cepeda
M. Penepil
🎯
M. Penepil
L. Gigli
L. Gigli
L. Diaz Laharque
L. Diaz Laharque
N. Violini
N. Violini
M. Rogoski
M. Rogoski
J. Camano
J. Camano
A. I. Campana
A. I. Campana
M. Roseti
M. Roseti
J. Perales
J. Perales
F. Rago
F. Rago
R. Moreira
R. Moreira
D. Arguello
D. Arguello
M. Garcia
M. Garcia
T. Rojas
T. Rojas
N. Previtali
N. Previtali
B. Rivero
B. Rivero
T. Castro Ponce
T. Castro Ponce
J. Puch
J. Puch
A. Quintana
🎯
A. Quintana
F. Castro
F. Castro
Midland 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Leguiza
2
G. Cepeda
3
M. Penepil
🎯 29' ↓ 83'
6
L. Gigli
🟨 57'
4
L. Diaz Laharque
↓ 56'
5
N. Violini
↓ 66' 🟨 48'
7
M. Rogoski
⚽ 29'
8
J. Camano
11
A. I. Campana
↓ 66'
10
M. Roseti
9
J. Perales
↓ 83'
Substitutes
12
S. Garcia Rossi
13
P. Casarico
14
E. Porro
↑ 56'
20
M. Abruzzese
↑ 66'
19
M. Flores
16
M. Frattini
↑ 66'
18
R. Cao
↑ 83'
15
D. Guzman
17
V. Madalon
↑ 83'
Atlanta 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
F. Rago
2
R. Moreira
3
D. Arguello
🟥 30'
4
M. Garcia
6
T. Rojas
5
N. Previtali
7
B. Rivero
↓ 62'
8
T. Castro Ponce
10
J. Puch
↓ 46'
9
A. Quintana
🎯 3' ↓ 85'
11
F. Castro
⚽ 3' ↓ 63'
Substitutes
16
C. Bernardi
↑ 62'
13
L. Galeano
17
M. Ibarra
12
L. Lopez Kaleniuk
15
G. Mendoza
14
P. Ostachuk
20
I. Rodriguez
⚽ 90' ↑ 85'
18
R. Sosa
↑ 46'
19
F. Alvarez
↑ 63'
Last matches: Midland
12.07.26
Pri
Midland
Quilmes
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
21.06.26
Pri
Midland
Patronato
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
31.05.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin Tucuman
2
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Midland
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Midland
Agropecuario
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Midland
Tristan Suarez
3
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Midland
Club Atlético Güemes
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Midland
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
23.04.26
Cop
Midland
Deportivo Moron
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin S.J.
0
1
L
13.04.26
Pri
Midland
Nueva Chicago
2
2
D
08.04.26
Pri
Midland
Acassuso
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Midland
Temperley
0
0
D
22.03.26
Pri
Midland
Deportivo Maipu
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Midland
Almagro
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Midland
Colegiales
2
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Midland
Quilmes
0
0
D
16.02.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
2
L
Last matches: Atlanta
04.07.26
Pri
Atlanta
Quilmes
1
2
L
20.06.26
Pri
Atlanta
Almagro
0
2
L
06.06.26
Pri
Atlanta
Gimnasia Jujuy
3
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
San Martin Tucuman
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Agropecuario
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Tristan Suarez
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
21.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Chacarita Juniors
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
San Martin S.J.
2
1
W
08.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Nueva Chicago
1
2
L
02.04.26
Cop
Atlanta
Instituto Cordoba
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Temperley
1
2
L
17.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Deportivo Maipu
3
1
W
03.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Patronato
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Atlanta
Colegiales
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pri
Atlanta
Quilmes
1
0
W
H2H: Midland vs Atlanta
13.06.26
H2H
Midland
Atlanta
1
2
L
Last matches: Midland
12.07.26
Pri
Midland
Quilmes
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
31.05.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin Tucuman
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Midland
Agropecuario
2
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Midland
Club Atlético Güemes
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin S.J.
0
1
L
08.04.26
Pri
Midland
Acassuso
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Midland
Temperley
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Midland
Almagro
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Midland
Colegiales
2
0
W
H2H at home: Midland
13.06.26
H2H
Midland
Atlanta
1
2
L
Last matches: Atlanta
04.07.26
Pri
Atlanta
Quilmes
1
2
L
20.06.26
Pri
Atlanta
Almagro
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
San Martin Tucuman
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Agropecuario
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
San Martin S.J.
2
1
W
02.04.26
Cop
Atlanta
Instituto Cordoba
0
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Temperley
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
Atlanta
Colegiales
0
1
L
H2H away: Atlanta
13.06.26
H2H
Midland
Atlanta
1
2
W

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 11 5 4 32:22 10 38
D D W W W
2 19 10 3 6 24:15 9 33
L L W W D
3 20 8 9 3 17:11 6 33
W L D W D
4 20 7 10 3 19:17 2 31
D W D W W
5 20 8 6 6 21:15 6 30
W D D L L
6 20 7 8 5 19:15 4 29
W W D L D
7 20 8 4 8 27:21 6 28
W W D L L
8 20 7 6 7 15:16 -1 27
L L D D W
9 19 7 5 7 20:19 1 26
W L W L
10 19 6 7 6 17:17 0 25
L W D L W
11 20 6 7 7 19:21 -2 25
D W D L W
12 20 7 4 9 16:22 -6 25
L W W W D
13 20 6 6 8 18:16 2 24
L W L W D
14 19 6 5 8 18:19 -1 23
L W W L D
15 20 6 5 9 16:21 -5 23
D W D L L
16 20 4 10 6 13:17 -4 22
D L D D D
17 20 4 7 9 14:24 -10 19
D L L L D
18 20 5 4 11 18:34 -16 19
L L L L W
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation