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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
10.10.2026 14:00
Riverside Stadium
Referee: Farai Hallam, England
Middlesbrough
Match Timeline
Wolves
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Sebastian Berhalter
Middlesbrough
🟨
12'
Nasser Djiga
Wolves
🟨
40'
Neto Borges
Middlesbrough
🔄
51'
R. Gomes ↔ R. Said
Wolves
🟨
53'
Rafiki Saïd
Wolves
⚽
57'
W. Lankshear · Assist: T. Conway
Middlesbrough
🔄
61'
T. Doyle ↔ J. Bellegarde
Wolves
🔄
61'
M. Munetsi ↔ J. James
Wolves
🔄
61'
M. Mane ↔ F. Lopez
Wolves
🟨
66'
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
Wolves
🔄
70'
S. Berhalter ↔ L. Ayling
Middlesbrough
🔄
70'
T. Conway ↔ M. Peart-Harris
Middlesbrough
🔄
80'
R. McGree ↔ J. Sarmiento
Middlesbrough
🔄
82'
Andre ↔ S. Neave
Wolves
🔄
87'
W. Lankshear ↔ K. Joseph
Middlesbrough
🔄
87'
A. Cozier-Duberry ↔ M. Arfsten
Middlesbrough
🟨
90+4'
Myles Peart-Harris
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough vs Wolves Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 45.3%
Odds 2.12
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.64
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
45.3%
2.12 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.64 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.14 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Middlesbrough Win 45.3%
Draw 16%
Wolves Win 38.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middlesbrough1.58
Wolves1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WWDLW
21 GF / 19 GA
Wolves Wolves
WLDWL
22 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.91
Average Goals Scored
2
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
10
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
7
5.13
Shots on Goal
4.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 11 matches
Wolves Wolves 11 matches
Middlesbrough Statistic Wolves
4 Wins 7
5 Draws 2
2 Losses 2
21 Goals For 22
19 Goals Against 12
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
10 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 5
0 Failed To Score 0
5.13 Shots On Goal 4.57
17.5 Total Shots 16
5.75 Corners 6.29
60.1% Ball Possession 53.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Middlesbrough expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Wolves in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wolves having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Wolves. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Middlesbrough Analysis

Middlesbrough arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 15 points after 8 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 16:12 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by W. Lankshear (6 goals), A. Cozier-Duberry (2 goals), S. Berhalter (2 goals), with creative support from L. Ayling (2 assists), T. Conway (2 assists), A. Cozier-Duberry (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Wolves Analysis

Wolves approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 14 points after 7 outings. The return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 15:10, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Fer López (3 goals), R. Jiménez (3 goals), Rodrigo Gomes (2 goals), with creative support from Fer López (2 assists), André (2 assists), Rodrigo Gomes (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough won 5 times, Wolves won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:11 from Middlesbrough's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.89 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84%)
Predicted formations: Middlesbrough 3-4-2-1 / Wolves 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Middlesbrough 1, Wolves 4
H2H summary: Middlesbrough wins 5, draws 0, Wolves wins 4

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 15:7 8 20
W W W L D
2 9 5 3 1 17:12 5 18
W D D W W
3 9 4 4 1 23:12 11 16
D D W W W
4 9 5 1 3 15:13 2 16
W W W D W
5 8 4 2 2 15:11 4 14
L W W D L
6 9 3 5 1 11:8 3 14
D D D D L
7 9 3 5 1 13:11 2 14
W D W L D
8 9 4 2 3 16:15 1 14
W D D L W
9 9 4 2 3 10:9 1 14
L L D W W
10 9 4 2 3 12:13 -1 14
D W L L W
11 9 5 2 2 20:10 10 13
W L W W D
12 9 3 4 2 8:11 -3 13
D L D D L
13 9 3 3 3 14:13 1 12
W D W L L
14 9 3 3 3 12:11 1 12
W L L W L
15 9 2 5 2 10:13 -3 11
D W L D D
16 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
L L W W D
17 9 3 1 5 12:17 -5 10
L W W L L
18 9 3 0 6 17:19 -2 9
L L L W W
19 8 2 2 4 9:11 -2 8
L D D W L
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
L L L W L
21 9 1 4 4 11:14 -3 7
L W L D L
22 9 1 4 4 13:17 -4 7
W D L D L
23 9 1 3 5 8:15 -7 6
D D L L L
24 9 1 1 7 8:16 -8 4
L D L L W
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One