ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
29.08.2026 11:30
Riverside Stadium
Referee: Paul Tierney, England
Middlesbrough
Match Timeline
West Brom
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
40'
J. Sarmiento ↔ M. Arfsten
Middlesbrough
🔄
46'
M. Peart-Harris ↔ S. Berhalter
Middlesbrough
48'
W. Lankshear
Middlesbrough
🟨
61'
Ousmane Diakité
West Brom
65'
J. Morgan · Assist: I. Price
West Brom
🔄
69'
M. Whittaker ↔ A. Jones
Middlesbrough
🔄
69'
R. McGree ↔ K. Joseph
Middlesbrough
🔄
70'
H. Whitwell ↔ R. Nzingoula
West Brom
73'
W. Lankshear
Middlesbrough
🔄
77'
F. Myhre ↔ A. Heggebo
West Brom
🔄
77'
J. Molumby ↔ K. Tunde
West Brom
🔄
86'
W. Lankshear ↔ T. Conway
Middlesbrough
🔄
86'
J. Morgan ↔ B. Stewart
West Brom
87'
A. Jones · Assist: L. Ayling
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough vs West Brom Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.7%
Odds 4.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.86
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.7%
4.40
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.86
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69.9%
1.37
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
9.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Middlesbrough Win 38.2%
Draw 7.1%
West Brom Win 54.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middlesbrough1.23
West Brom2.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WWDLW
8 GF / 10 GA
West Brom West Brom
WLDWL
18 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
3
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
5
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
5
5
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 5 matches
West Brom West Brom 6 matches
Middlesbrough Statistic West Brom
1 Wins 6
2 Draws 0
2 Losses 0
8 Goals For 18
10 Goals Against 4
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 3
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
5 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 0
5 Shots On Goal 5.5
22.5 Total Shots 10
7.5 Corners 2.5
73.5% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough won 10 times, West Brom won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:16 from Middlesbrough's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.9%)
Predicted formations: Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1 / West Brom 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Middlesbrough 2, West Brom 1
H2H summary: Middlesbrough wins 10, draws 2, West Brom wins 3

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 4 2 1 20:9 11 14
W W W W D
2 7 4 2 1 11:5 6 14
W L D W W
3 7 4 2 1 10:7 3 14
D W W D L
4 6 4 1 1 12:8 4 13
W W D W L
5 7 3 3 1 8:5 3 12
D D L W W
6 7 3 3 1 6:7 -1 12
D D L D W
7 6 3 2 1 14:10 4 11
W D L W W
8 7 4 2 1 18:8 10 10
W W D D W
9 7 2 4 1 10:9 1 10
W L D D W
10 7 3 1 3 11:11 0 10
W D W W L
11 6 3 1 2 10:11 -1 10
L W W W D
12 7 3 0 4 13:13 0 9
L W W L W
13 6 3 0 3 11:11 0 9
L W L L W
14 7 2 3 2 8:9 -1 9
L W L W D
15 7 2 2 3 10:10 0 8
W L L D L
16 6 2 2 2 5:6 -1 8
W D D W L
17 7 2 2 3 7:9 -2 8
L W L L D
18 6 2 1 3 7:8 -1 7
D W L L W
19 7 1 4 2 7:11 -4 7
L D D W L
20 7 2 1 4 7:12 -5 7
W L L L L
21 7 0 4 3 7:11 -4 4
L D L L D
22 7 1 1 5 6:13 -7 4
L L L W L
23 7 1 0 6 6:13 -7 3
L L W L L
24 7 0 3 4 8:16 -8 3
L D L D L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One