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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
29.08.2026 11:30
Riverside Stadium
Referee: Paul Tierney, England
Middlesbrough
Match Timeline
West Brom
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
40'
J. Sarmiento ↔ M. Arfsten
Middlesbrough
🔄
46'
M. Peart-Harris ↔ S. Berhalter
Middlesbrough
⚽
48'
W. Lankshear
Middlesbrough
🟨
61'
Ousmane Diakité
West Brom
⚽
65'
J. Morgan · Assist: I. Price
West Brom
🔄
69'
M. Whittaker ↔ A. Jones
Middlesbrough
🔄
69'
R. McGree ↔ K. Joseph
Middlesbrough
🔄
70'
H. Whitwell ↔ R. Nzingoula
West Brom
⚽
73'
W. Lankshear
Middlesbrough
🔄
77'
F. Myhre ↔ A. Heggebo
West Brom
🔄
77'
J. Molumby ↔ K. Tunde
West Brom
🔄
86'
W. Lankshear ↔ T. Conway
Middlesbrough
🔄
86'
J. Morgan ↔ B. Stewart
West Brom
⚽
87'
A. Jones · Assist: L. Ayling
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough vs West Brom Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Middlesbrough Win 38.2%
Draw 7.1%
West Brom Win 54.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middlesbrough1.23
West Brom2.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WWDLW
8 GF / 10 GA
West Brom West Brom
WLDWL
18 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
3
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
5
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
5
5
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 5 matches
West Brom West Brom 6 matches
Middlesbrough Statistic West Brom
1 Wins 6
2 Draws 0
2 Losses 0
8 Goals For 18
10 Goals Against 4
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 3
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
5 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 0
5 Shots On Goal 5.5
22.5 Total Shots 10
7.5 Corners 2.5
73.5% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough won 10 times, West Brom won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:16 from Middlesbrough's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.9%)
Predicted formations: Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1 / West Brom -
Missing players: Middlesbrough 2, West Brom 1
H2H summary: Middlesbrough wins 10, draws 2, West Brom wins 3

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 15:7 8 20
W W W L D
2 9 5 3 1 17:12 5 18
W D D W W
3 9 4 4 1 23:12 11 16
D D W W W
4 9 5 1 3 15:13 2 16
W W W D W
5 8 4 2 2 15:11 4 14
L W W D L
6 9 3 5 1 11:8 3 14
D D D D L
7 9 3 5 1 13:11 2 14
W D W L D
8 9 4 2 3 16:15 1 14
W D D L W
9 9 4 2 3 10:9 1 14
L L D W W
10 9 4 2 3 12:13 -1 14
D W L L W
11 9 5 2 2 20:10 10 13
W L W W D
12 9 3 4 2 8:11 -3 13
D L D D L
13 9 3 3 3 14:13 1 12
W D W L L
14 9 3 3 3 12:11 1 12
W L L W L
15 9 2 5 2 10:13 -3 11
D W L D D
16 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
L L W W D
17 9 3 1 5 12:17 -5 10
L W W L L
18 9 3 0 6 17:19 -2 9
L L L W W
19 8 2 2 4 9:11 -2 8
L D D W L
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
L L L W L
21 9 1 4 4 11:14 -3 7
L W L D L
22 9 1 4 4 13:17 -4 7
W D L D L
23 9 1 3 5 8:15 -7 6
D D L L L
24 9 1 1 7 8:16 -8 4
L D L L W
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One