Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
65%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
71.1%
|
- |
Middlesbrough
Watford
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Middlesbrough
45 matches
Watford
45 matches
| Middlesbrough | Statistic | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 14 |
| 13 | Draws | 15 |
| 11 | Losses | 16 |
| 66 | Goals For | 53 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 61 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 36 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 4.87 | Shots On Goal | 4.4 |
| 15.96 | Total Shots | 13.8 |
| 6.82 | Corners | 5.04 |
| 59.4% | Ball Possession | 51.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Watford. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Middlesbrough expected to line up in 4-2-2-2 and Watford in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Watford having the stronger overall control. Watford arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Middlesbrough arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 76 points compared to Watford in 15 on 57, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Middlesbrough arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 76 points after 44 matches. Their overall return of 21 wins, 13 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 62:42 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Whittaker (12 goals), Tommy Conway (10 goals), D. Strelec (6 goals), with creative support from H. Hackney (7 assists), M. Whittaker (6 assists), Tommy Conway (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. Although they are without A. Jones, D. Lenihan, H. Hackney, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
Watford sit 15 with 57 points after 44 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 15 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 52:51 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Kjerrumgaard (9 goals), I. Louza (7 goals), Mamadou Doumbia (5 goals), with creative support from I. Louza (9 assists), N. Irankunda (4 assists), Jeremy Ngakia (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with H. Kyprianou, R. Vata, J. Grieves unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough won 4 times, Watford won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:19 from Middlesbrough's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Middlesbrough
9
3
5
6
6
3
Lineups
Middlesbrough
Celtic
Middlesbrough
Hull City
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
Middlesbrough
Swansea
Middlesbrough
Millwall
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
Charlton
Middlesbrough
QPR
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
Leicester
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
Middlesbrough
Coventry
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Utd
Middlesbrough
Norwich
Watford
Barnet
Watford
Boreham Wood
Watford
Coventry
Watford
West Brom
Watford
Sheffield Utd
Watford
Oxford United
Watford
Charlton
Watford
QPR
Watford
Leicester
Watford
Wrexham
Watford
Stoke City
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
Watford
Bristol City
Watford
Ipswich
Watford
Derby
Watford
Preston
Watford
Southampton
Watford
Hull City
Watford
Swansea
Watford
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
Middlesbrough
Millwall
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
Charlton
Middlesbrough
Leicester
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
Middlesbrough
Norwich
Middlesbrough
Preston
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Hull City
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
QPR
Middlesbrough
Derby
Middlesbrough
Coventry
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
Watford
Barnet
Watford
Boreham Wood
Watford
West Brom
Watford
Oxford United
Watford
QPR
Watford
Stoke City
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
Watford
Bristol City
Watford
Preston
Watford
Southampton
Watford
Hull City
Watford
Blackburn
Watford
Bristol City
Watford
Norwich
Watford
Leicester
Watford
Wrexham
Watford
Birmingham
Watford
Derby
Watford
Ipswich
Watford
Coventry
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 |
Middlesbrough
Home
|
46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 |
Watford
Away
|
46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|