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24.11.2026 19:45
Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough vs Swansea Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Draw 0%
Swansea Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middlesbrough1.8
Swansea1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
W W D W W
14 GF / 5 GA
Swansea Swansea
L W L L W
6 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2.19
Average Goals Scored
1.37
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
13
BTTS Yes
7
12
Over 2.5
11
6.62
Shots on Goal
4.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 16 matches
Swansea Swansea 19 matches
Middlesbrough Statistic Swansea
8 Wins 10
6 Draws 3
2 Losses 6
35 Goals For 26
24 Goals Against 23
2.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
13 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 11
9 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 8
0 Failed To Score 6
6.62 Shots On Goal 4.57
19.77 Total Shots 12.07
6.46 Corners 4.14
59.5% Ball Possession 60.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough won 8 times, Swansea won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:19 from Middlesbrough's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1 / Swansea 4-3-3
H2H summary: Middlesbrough wins 8, draws 2, Swansea wins 5

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 4 1 30:17 13 28
W W D W W
2 14 7 5 2 26:13 13 26
W W L W W
3 14 8 2 4 22:17 5 26
W W D W L
4 14 8 2 4 21:16 5 26
L W L L W
5 14 7 4 3 20:15 5 25
D W D W W
6 14 8 4 2 29:14 15 24
D W W D W
7 13 7 3 3 23:16 7 24
W W D W L
8 13 6 4 3 33:18 15 22
L L W W D
9 14 6 4 4 20:17 3 22
W W D W L
10 14 6 4 4 19:16 3 22
W D W D W
11 14 5 6 3 22:17 5 21
D L W L W
12 14 6 0 8 27:24 3 18
W W W L L
13 14 5 3 6 23:24 -1 18
L W L D L
14 14 5 3 6 20:22 -2 18
L L W L W
15 13 5 3 5 15:17 -2 18
W D L L D
16 14 5 2 7 19:26 -7 17
W L L D W
17 14 4 3 7 14:24 -10 15
L L W D L
18 13 3 5 5 19:20 -1 14
L W D W L
19 13 3 5 5 15:19 -4 14
L L W L D
20 14 4 2 8 13:23 -10 14
W L L W L
21 14 3 5 6 11:22 -11 14
L L L L D
22 14 1 7 6 18:26 -8 10
D D L L D
23 14 1 4 9 11:29 -18 7
L L D L L
24 14 1 2 11 12:30 -18 5
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One