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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
30.09.2025 18:45
Riverside Stadium
Referee: David Webb, England
Middlesbrough
Match Timeline
Stoke City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
7'
G. Edmundson ↔ S. Silvera
Middlesbrough
🟨
13'
Samuel Silvera
Middlesbrough
🟨
32'
Tommy Conway
Middlesbrough
🔄
46'
B. Pearson ↔ T. Rigo
Stoke City
🔄
46'
L. Cisse ↔ M. Manhoef
Stoke City
🔄
65'
D. Strelec ↔ M. K. Sene
Middlesbrough
🔄
65'
A. Morris ↔ S. Hansen
Middlesbrough
🔄
74'
R. Bozenik ↔ D. Mubama
Stoke City
🔄
77'
B. Lawal ↔ J. Tchamadeu
Stoke City
🔄
82'
S. Nypan ↔ D. Fry
Middlesbrough
🔄
82'
T. Conway ↔ A. Kante
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough vs Stoke City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Draw 0%
Stoke City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middlesbrough1.31
Stoke City1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WWDLW
12 GF / 5 GA
Stoke City Stoke City
WLDWL
10 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.43
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
4
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
3
3.71
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 7 matches
Stoke City Stoke City 7 matches
Middlesbrough Statistic Stoke City
5 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
0 Losses 2
12 Goals For 10
5 Goals Against 5
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 2
3.71 Shots On Goal 4.29
10.57 Total Shots 12.43
4.86 Corners 6.43
49.1% Ball Possession 52.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough won 7 times, Stoke City won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from Middlesbrough's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Middlesbrough 4-3-3 / Stoke City 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Middlesbrough wins 7, draws 4, Stoke City wins 4

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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