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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
04.01.2026 15:00
Middlesbrough
FT
4 - 0
Southampton
Riverside Stadium
Referee: Oliver Langford, England
Middlesbrough
Match Timeline
Southampton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
6'
A. Bangura ↔ A. Browne
Middlesbrough
⚽
54'
M. Whittaker · Assist: M. Targett
Middlesbrough
🔄
61'
C. Jander ↔ C. Bragg
Southampton
⚽
61'
S. Silvera · Assist: L. Ayling
Middlesbrough
🟨
64'
Ryan Manning
Southampton
⚽
66'
M. Whittaker
Middlesbrough
🟨
68'
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
Southampton
🔄
74'
R. Manning ↔ Welington
Southampton
🔄
74'
T. Fellows ↔ E. Jelert
Southampton
🔄
74'
A. Armstrong ↔ C. Archer
Southampton
⚽
76'
A. Browne
Middlesbrough
🟨
81'
Joshua Quarshie
Southampton
🔄
82'
D. Burgzorg ↔ A. Gilbert
Middlesbrough
🔄
85'
J. Quarshie ↔ R. Stewart
Southampton
🔄
90'
H. Hackney ↔ M. Hamilton
Middlesbrough
🔄
90'
M. Whittaker ↔ S. Nypan
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough vs Southampton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Draw 0%
Southampton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middlesbrough1.34
Southampton1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WWDLW
33 GF / 26 GA
Southampton Southampton
WLDWL
38 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
14
BTTS Yes
20
12
Over 2.5
16
4.08
Shots on Goal
5.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 25 matches
Southampton Southampton 25 matches
Middlesbrough Statistic Southampton
12 Wins 8
7 Draws 9
6 Losses 8
33 Goals For 38
26 Goals Against 34
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
14 BTTS Yes 20
17 Over 1.5 22
12 Over 2.5 16
4 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 4
4.08 Shots On Goal 5.2
14.28 Total Shots 14.6
6.28 Corners 5.56
57.4% Ball Possession 58.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough won 3 times, Southampton won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from Middlesbrough's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1 / Southampton 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Middlesbrough wins 3, draws 3, Southampton wins 4

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton Away
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough Home
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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