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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Middlesbrough
FT
3 - 1
QPR
Riverside Stadium
Referee: Josh Smith, England
Middlesbrough
Match Timeline
QPR
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
30'
D. Strelec · Assist: H. Hackney
Middlesbrough
🟨
32'
Riley McGree
Middlesbrough
⚽
36'
M. Whittaker · Assist: S. Brynn
Middlesbrough
⚽
50'
T. Conway
Middlesbrough
🔄
60'
J. Clarke-Salter ↔ S. Cook
QPR
🔄
60'
K. Saito ↔ K. Dembele
QPR
🔄
61'
R. Norrington-Davies ↔ Esquerdinha
QPR
🔄
64'
R. McGree ↔ A. Gilbert
Middlesbrough
🔄
64'
D. Strelec ↔ M. K. Sene
Middlesbrough
🔄
65'
T. Conway ↔ D. Burgzorg
Middlesbrough
⚽
70'
N. Madsen
QPR
🔄
72'
R. Kone ↔ M. Frey
QPR
🔄
78'
A. S. Mbengue ↔ K. Morgan
QPR
🔄
83'
M. Whittaker ↔ S. Silvera
Middlesbrough
🔄
90+4'
H. Hackney ↔ M. Hamilton
Middlesbrough

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Draw 0%
QPR Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middlesbrough1.5
QPR1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WWDLW
30 GF / 21 GA
QPR QPR
WLDWL
27 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
13
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
12
4
Shots on Goal
3.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 20 matches
QPR QPR 20 matches
Middlesbrough Statistic QPR
11 Wins 9
6 Draws 4
3 Losses 7
30 Goals For 27
21 Goals Against 30
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
13 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 3.95
12.95 Total Shots 13.5
5.6 Corners 5.1
55.5% Ball Possession 47.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough won 7 times, QPR won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:20 from Middlesbrough's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Middlesbrough 4-2-2-2 / QPR 4-4-2
H2H summary: Middlesbrough wins 7, draws 3, QPR wins 5
Stats
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
QPR QPR
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
4
9 Corner Kicks 4
13 Fouls 8
3 Offsides 4
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Goal 5
2 Shots off Goal 4
9 Blocked Shots 4
13 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
496 Total passes 289
424 Passes accurate 221
2.29 expected_goals 1.30
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Middlesbrough
Formation
QPR
S. Brynn
🎯
S. Brynn
C. Brittain
C. Brittain
L. Ayling
L. Ayling
A. Jones
A. Jones
M. Targett
M. Targett
A. Browne
A. Browne
H. Hackney
🎯 ↓
H. Hackney
M. Whittaker
⚽ ↓
M. Whittaker
R. McGree
↓
R. McGree
D. Strelec
⚽ ↓
D. Strelec
T. Conway
⚽ ↓
T. Conway
P. Nardi
P. Nardi
A. S. Mbengue
↓
A. S. Mbengue
J. Dunne
J. Dunne
J. Clarke-Salter
↓
J. Clarke-Salter
R. Norrington-Davies
↓
R. Norrington-Davies
P. Smyth
P. Smyth
J. Varane
J. Varane
N. Madsen
⚽
N. Madsen
K. Saito
↓
K. Saito
R. Kone
↓
R. Kone
R. Burrell
R. Burrell
Middlesbrough 4-2-2-2
Starting XI
31
S. Brynn
🎯 36'
G
2
C. Brittain
D
12
L. Ayling
D
5
A. Jones
D
3
M. Targett
D
16
A. Browne
M
7
H. Hackney
🎯 30' ↓ 90+4'
M
11
M. Whittaker
⚽ 36' ↓ 83'
M
8
R. McGree
↓ 64' 🟨 32'
M
13
D. Strelec
⚽ 30' ↓ 64'
F
9
T. Conway
⚽ 50' ↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
33
J. McLaughlin
G
10
D. Burgzorg
↑ 65'
F
14
A. Gilbert
↑ 64'
F
17
M. Hamilton
↑ 90+4'
F
19
S. Nypan
M
20
M. K. Sene
↑ 64'
F
22
S. Silvera
↑ 83'
F
24
A. Bangura
D
25
G. Edmundson
D
QPR 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
P. Nardi
G
27
A. S. Mbengue
↓ 78'
D
3
J. Dunne
D
6
J. Clarke-Salter
↓ 60'
D
18
R. Norrington-Davies
↓ 61'
D
11
P. Smyth
M
40
J. Varane
M
24
N. Madsen
⚽ 70'
M
14
K. Saito
↓ 60'
M
22
R. Kone
↓ 72'
F
16
R. Burrell
F
Substitutes
29
B. Hamer
G
5
S. Cook
↑ 60'
D
7
K. Dembele
↑ 60'
M
12
M. Frey
↑ 72'
F
15
I. Hayden
M
17
K. Poku
M
21
K. Morgan
↑ 78'
D
23
D. Bennie
F
28
Esquerdinha
↑ 61'
D
Last matches: Middlesbrough
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
0
0
D
Last matches: QPR
01.08.26
Fri
QPR
AFC Wimbledon
3
2
W
31.07.26
Fri
QPR
Bromley
7
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
W
21.07.26
Fri
QPR
Wycombe
1
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
QPR
SC Wiener Neustadt
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
QPR
First Vienna
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
0
3
L
25.04.26
Cha
QPR
Derby
2
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
QPR
Swansea
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
QPR
Millwall
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
QPR
Bristol City
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
QPR
Preston
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
6
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
QPR
Leicester
3
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
QPR
Southampton
0
5
L
21.02.26
Cha
QPR
Hull City
3
1
W
H2H: Middlesbrough vs QPR
08.03.26
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
W
13.12.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
3
1
W
11.03.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
2
1
W
05.11.24
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
1
4
W
09.03.24
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
2
W
02.09.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
0
2
L
18.02.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
3
1
W
06.08.22
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
3
2
L
09.02.22
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
18.08.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
2
3
L
17.04.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
1
2
L
26.09.20
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
05.07.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
0
1
L
09.11.19
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
23.02.19
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
2
0
W
Last matches: Middlesbrough
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Norwich
1
0
W
24.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Preston
4
0
W
04.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
4
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
26.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
29.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Derby
2
1
W
25.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
2
4
L
08.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
1
1
D
H2H at home: Middlesbrough
13.12.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
3
1
W
11.03.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
2
1
W
02.09.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
0
2
L
18.02.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
3
1
W
18.08.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
2
3
L
17.04.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
1
2
L
05.07.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
0
1
L
23.02.19
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
2
0
W
Last matches: QPR
01.08.26
Fri
QPR
AFC Wimbledon
3
2
W
31.07.26
Fri
QPR
Bromley
7
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
QPR
SC Wiener Neustadt
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
QPR
First Vienna
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
QPR
Millwall
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
QPR
Preston
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
QPR
Leicester
3
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
QPR
Southampton
0
5
L
21.02.26
Cha
QPR
Hull City
3
1
W
06.02.26
Cha
QPR
Charlton
0
0
D
20.01.26
Cha
QPR
Oxford United
0
0
D
17.01.26
Cha
QPR
Stoke City
0
0
D
11.01.26
FA
QPR
West Ham
1
2
L
29.12.25
Cha
QPR
West Brom
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
1
1
D
29.11.25
Cha
QPR
Norwich
1
3
L
26.11.25
Cha
QPR
Blackburn
1
0
W
08.11.25
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
0
D
H2H away: QPR
13.12.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
3
1
L
11.03.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
2
1
L
02.09.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
0
2
W
18.02.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
3
1
L
18.08.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
2
3
W
17.04.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
1
2
W
05.07.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
0
1
W
23.02.19
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
2
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough Home
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR Away
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation