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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Middlesbrough
FT
2 - 1
Derby
Riverside Stadium
Referee: James Linington, England
Middlesbrough
Match Timeline
Derby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
P. Agyemang · Assist: L. Salvesen
Derby
🟨
22'
Bobby Clark
Derby
🔄
54'
A. Browne ↔ R. McGree
Middlesbrough
🔄
54'
S. Hansen ↔ D. Strelec
Middlesbrough
🟨
67'
Callum Elder
Derby
🔄
71'
D. Burgzorg ↔ S. Nypan
Middlesbrough
🔄
71'
T. Conway ↔ M. K. Sene
Middlesbrough
⚽
75'
M. Targett · Assist: H. Hackney
Middlesbrough
🔄
80'
L. Salvesen ↔ K. Jackson
Derby
🔄
80'
J. Ward ↔ R. Nyambe
Derby
⚽
84'
M. Whittaker · Assist: H. Hackney
Middlesbrough
🔄
88'
S. Langas ↔ C. Blackett-Taylor
Derby
🔄
88'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ A. Weimann
Derby
🔄
88'
B. Clark ↔ L. Thompson
Derby
🔄
89'
M. Whittaker ↔ A. Baptiste
Middlesbrough

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middlesbrough1.31
Derby1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WWDLW
22 GF / 18 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
24 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
10
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
8
3.76
Shots on Goal
2.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 17 matches
Derby Derby 17 matches
Middlesbrough Statistic Derby
8 Wins 7
6 Draws 5
3 Losses 5
22 Goals For 24
18 Goals Against 23
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
10 BTTS Yes 12
12 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
3.76 Shots On Goal 2.94
12.65 Total Shots 8.76
5.47 Corners 4.47
53.9% Ball Possession 40.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough won 6 times, Derby won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:16 from Middlesbrough's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1 / Derby 3-5-2
H2H summary: Middlesbrough wins 6, draws 4, Derby wins 5
Stats
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Derby Derby
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
2
9 Corner Kicks 8
9 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
74% Ball Possession 26%
21 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Goal 1
10 Shots off Goal 3
7 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 6
11 Shots outsidebox 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
536 Total passes 180
455 Passes accurate 111
1.53 expected_goals 0.92
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Middlesbrough
Formation
Derby
S. Brynn
S. Brynn
C. Brittain
C. Brittain
A. Jones
A. Jones
M. Targett
⚽
M. Targett
A. Bangura
A. Bangura
A. Browne
↓
A. Browne
H. Hackney
🎯
H. Hackney
M. Whittaker
⚽ ↓
M. Whittaker
S. Hansen
↓
S. Hansen
D. Burgzorg
↓
D. Burgzorg
T. Conway
↓
T. Conway
J. Widell Zetterstrom
J. Widell Zetterstrom
S. Langas
↓
S. Langas
D. Sanderson
D. Sanderson
M. Clarke
M. Clarke
J. Ward
↓
J. Ward
B. Brereton Diaz
↓
B. Brereton Diaz
E. Adams
E. Adams
B. Clark
↓
B. Clark
C. Elder
C. Elder
L. Salvesen
🎯 ↓
L. Salvesen
P. Agyemang
⚽
P. Agyemang
Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
S. Brynn
G
2
C. Brittain
D
5
A. Jones
D
3
M. Targett
⚽ 75'
D
24
A. Bangura
D
16
A. Browne
↓ 54'
M
7
H. Hackney
🎯 75' 🎯 84'
M
11
M. Whittaker
⚽ 84' ↓ 89'
M
27
S. Hansen
↓ 54'
M
10
D. Burgzorg
↓ 71'
M
9
T. Conway
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
33
J. McLaughlin
G
8
R. McGree
↑ 54'
M
13
D. Strelec
↑ 54'
F
14
A. Gilbert
F
17
M. Hamilton
F
19
S. Nypan
↑ 71'
M
20
M. K. Sene
↑ 71'
F
22
S. Silvera
F
47
A. Baptiste
↑ 89'
Derby 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
G
6
S. Langas
↓ 88'
D
28
D. Sanderson
D
5
M. Clarke
D
23
J. Ward
↓ 80'
M
25
B. Brereton Diaz
↓ 88'
M
32
E. Adams
M
42
B. Clark
↓ 88' 🟨 22'
M
20
C. Elder
🟨 67'
M
15
L. Salvesen
🎯 2' ↓ 80'
F
7
P. Agyemang
⚽ 2'
F
Substitutes
31
J. Vickers
G
3
C. Forsyth
D
11
C. Blackett-Taylor
↑ 88'
F
14
A. Weimann
↑ 88'
F
16
L. Thompson
↑ 88'
M
19
K. Jackson
↑ 80'
F
24
R. Nyambe
↑ 80'
D
35
C. Nelson
D
37
O. Eames
M
Last matches: Middlesbrough
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
0
0
D
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
H2H: Middlesbrough vs Derby
01.01.26
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
L
29.11.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
2
1
W
01.03.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
1
0
W
17.08.24
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
L
12.02.22
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
4
1
W
21.08.21
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
13.02.21
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
2
1
L
25.11.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
3
0
W
11.01.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
2
2
D
02.11.19
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
2
0
L
01.01.19
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
27.10.18
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
1
1
D
21.04.18
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
2
W
25.11.17
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
0
3
L
02.01.16
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
2
0
W
Last matches: Middlesbrough
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Norwich
1
0
W
24.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Preston
4
0
W
04.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
4
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
26.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
13.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
3
1
W
25.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
2
4
L
08.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
1
1
D
H2H at home: Middlesbrough
29.11.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
2
1
W
01.03.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
1
0
W
12.02.22
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
4
1
W
25.11.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
3
0
W
11.01.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
2
2
D
27.10.18
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
1
1
D
25.11.17
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
0
3
L
02.01.16
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
2
0
W
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Derby
Preston
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
15.12.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
25.11.25
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
1
W
H2H away: Derby
29.11.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
2
1
L
01.03.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
1
0
L
12.02.22
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
4
1
L
25.11.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
3
0
L
11.01.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
2
2
D
27.10.18
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
1
1
D
25.11.17
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
0
3
W
02.01.16
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
2
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough Home
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Away
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation