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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
29.11.2025 15:00
Middlesbrough
FT
2 - 1
Derby
Riverside Stadium
Referee: James Linington, England
Middlesbrough
Match Timeline
Derby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
P. Agyemang · Assist: L. Salvesen
Derby
🟨
22'
Bobby Clark
Derby
🔄
54'
A. Browne ↔ R. McGree
Middlesbrough
🔄
54'
S. Hansen ↔ D. Strelec
Middlesbrough
🟨
67'
Callum Elder
Derby
🔄
71'
D. Burgzorg ↔ S. Nypan
Middlesbrough
🔄
71'
T. Conway ↔ M. K. Sene
Middlesbrough
⚽
75'
M. Targett · Assist: H. Hackney
Middlesbrough
🔄
80'
L. Salvesen ↔ K. Jackson
Derby
🔄
80'
J. Ward ↔ R. Nyambe
Derby
⚽
84'
M. Whittaker · Assist: H. Hackney
Middlesbrough
🔄
88'
S. Langas ↔ C. Blackett-Taylor
Derby
🔄
88'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ A. Weimann
Derby
🔄
88'
B. Clark ↔ L. Thompson
Derby
🔄
89'
M. Whittaker ↔ A. Baptiste
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough vs Derby Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middlesbrough1.31
Derby1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WWDLW
22 GF / 18 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
24 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
10
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
8
3.76
Shots on Goal
2.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 17 matches
Derby Derby 17 matches
Middlesbrough Statistic Derby
8 Wins 7
6 Draws 5
3 Losses 5
22 Goals For 24
18 Goals Against 23
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
10 BTTS Yes 12
12 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
3.76 Shots On Goal 2.94
12.65 Total Shots 8.76
5.47 Corners 4.47
53.9% Ball Possession 40.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough won 6 times, Derby won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:16 from Middlesbrough's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1 / Derby 3-5-2
H2H summary: Middlesbrough wins 6, draws 4, Derby wins 5

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough Home
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Away
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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