ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
17.10.2026 11:30
Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough vs Cardiff Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Draw 0%
Cardiff Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middlesbrough1.85
Cardiff1.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WWDLW
21 GF / 19 GA
Cardiff Cardiff
WLDWL
25 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.91
Average Goals Scored
2.08
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
10
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
8
5.13
Shots on Goal
6.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 11 matches
Cardiff Cardiff 12 matches
Middlesbrough Statistic Cardiff
4 Wins 4
5 Draws 4
2 Losses 4
21 Goals For 25
19 Goals Against 21
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 2.08
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
10 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 3
5.13 Shots On Goal 6.63
17.5 Total Shots 18.88
5.75 Corners 7.88
59% Ball Possession 64.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough won 7 times, Cardiff won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:15 from Middlesbrough's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Middlesbrough 3-4-2-1 / Cardiff 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Middlesbrough wins 7, draws 3, Cardiff wins 5

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 13:6 7 17
W W L D W
2 8 4 3 1 22:11 11 15
D W W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 15:10 5 14
W W D L W
5 8 4 2 2 10:8 2 14
L D W W D
6 8 3 4 1 10:7 3 13
D D D L W
7 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
8 8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
W L L W W
9 8 3 3 2 7:10 -3 12
L D D L D
10 8 2 5 1 12:11 1 11
D W L D D
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 8 3 1 4 11:15 -4 10
W W L L L
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 8 3 0 5 16:17 -1 9
L L W W L
18 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
19 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
20 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
21 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One