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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Middlesbrough
FT
2 - 1
Birmingham
Riverside Stadium
Referee: Sam Allison, England
Middlesbrough
Match Timeline
Birmingham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
5'
Paik Seung-Ho ↔ M. Leonard
Birmingham
⚽
17'
D. Fry · Assist: C. Brittain
Middlesbrough
🔄
25'
D. Fry ↔ S. Silvera
Middlesbrough
⚽
29'
D. Gray
Birmingham
🟨
30'
Luke Ayling
Middlesbrough
⚽
45'
H. Hackney · Assist: A. Morris
Middlesbrough
🔄
57'
D. Gray ↔ K. Anderson
Birmingham
🔄
57'
M. Ducksch ↔ K. Furuhashi
Birmingham
🔄
60'
M. Targett ↔ G. McCormick
Middlesbrough
🔄
61'
R. McGree ↔ S. Nypan
Middlesbrough
🔄
61'
M. Whittaker ↔ M. K. Sene
Middlesbrough
🔄
80'
T. Iwata ↔ L. Dykes
Birmingham
🔄
80'
P. Roberts ↔ L. Koumas
Birmingham
🔄
86'
T. Conway ↔ D. Burgzorg
Middlesbrough
🟨
90+3'
James Beadle
Birmingham

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Draw 0%
Birmingham Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middlesbrough1.15
Birmingham1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WWDLW
17 GF / 12 GA
Birmingham Birmingham
WLDWL
19 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.36
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
7
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
6
3.93
Shots on Goal
3.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 14 matches
Birmingham Birmingham 14 matches
Middlesbrough Statistic Birmingham
7 Wins 6
5 Draws 3
2 Losses 5
17 Goals For 19
12 Goals Against 15
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
7 BTTS Yes 5
9 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 4
3.93 Shots On Goal 3.43
12.64 Total Shots 13.64
5.29 Corners 5.36
53.1% Ball Possession 55.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough won 11 times, Birmingham won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:11 from Middlesbrough's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1 / Birmingham 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Middlesbrough wins 11, draws 1, Birmingham wins 3
Stats
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Birmingham Birmingham
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 5
9 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 3
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 5
2 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 8
3 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
353 Total passes 454
272 Passes accurate 371
0.61 expected_goals 1.20
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Middlesbrough
Formation
Birmingham
S. Brynn
S. Brynn
C. Brittain
🎯
C. Brittain
L. Ayling
L. Ayling
D. Fry
⚽ ↓
D. Fry
M. Targett
↓
M. Targett
A. Morris
🎯
A. Morris
A. Browne
A. Browne
R. McGree
↓
R. McGree
H. Hackney
⚽
H. Hackney
M. Whittaker
↓
M. Whittaker
T. Conway
↓
T. Conway
J. Beadle
J. Beadle
T. Iwata
↓
T. Iwata
P. Neumann
P. Neumann
C. Klarer
C. Klarer
A. Cochrane
A. Cochrane
T. Doyle
T. Doyle
Paik Seung-Ho
↓
Paik Seung-Ho
P. Roberts
↓
P. Roberts
J. Stansfield
J. Stansfield
D. Gray
⚽ ↓
D. Gray
M. Ducksch
↓
M. Ducksch
Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
S. Brynn
G
2
C. Brittain
🎯 17'
D
12
L. Ayling
🟨 30'
D
6
D. Fry
⚽ 17' ↓ 25'
D
3
M. Targett
↓ 60'
D
18
A. Morris
🎯 45'
M
16
A. Browne
M
8
R. McGree
↓ 61'
M
7
H. Hackney
⚽ 45'
M
11
M. Whittaker
↓ 61'
M
9
T. Conway
↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
33
J. McLaughlin
G
24
A. Bangura
D
40
G. McCormick
↑ 60'
D
19
S. Nypan
↑ 61'
M
10
D. Burgzorg
↑ 86'
F
14
A. Gilbert
F
22
S. Silvera
↑ 25'
F
13
D. Strelec
F
20
M. K. Sene
↑ 61'
F
Birmingham 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
J. Beadle
🟨 90+3'
G
24
T. Iwata
↓ 80'
D
5
P. Neumann
D
4
C. Klarer
D
20
A. Cochrane
D
7
T. Doyle
M
8
Paik Seung-Ho
↓ 5'
M
16
P. Roberts
↓ 80'
M
28
J. Stansfield
M
10
D. Gray
⚽ 29' ↓ 57'
M
33
M. Ducksch
↓ 57'
F
Substitutes
21
R. Allsop
G
41
E. Cashin
D
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
D
6
J. Robinson
D
14
K. Anderson
↑ 57'
M
12
M. Leonard
↑ 5'
M
17
L. Dykes
↑ 80'
F
9
K. Furuhashi
↑ 57'
F
30
L. Koumas
↑ 80'
F
Last matches: Middlesbrough
15.08.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Lincoln
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
Last matches: Birmingham
15.08.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
0
0
D
31.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Barcelona
2
2
D
25.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Crewe
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Burton Albion
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Huddersfield
3
1
W
02.05.26
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
1
1
D
25.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Preston
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
1
1
D
12.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Wrexham
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Blackburn
0
1
L
21.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
02.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
H2H: Middlesbrough vs Birmingham
02.03.26
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
W
08.11.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
2
1
W
12.03.24
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
0
1
W
21.10.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
1
0
W
02.01.23
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
W
05.10.22
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
1
0
W
15.03.22
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
0
2
W
30.10.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
0
2
L
16.01.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
0
1
L
19.12.20
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
4
W
21.01.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
1
1
D
04.10.19
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
2
1
L
12.01.19
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
2
W
11.08.18
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
1
0
W
06.03.18
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
0
1
W
Last matches: Middlesbrough
15.08.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Lincoln
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Norwich
1
0
W
24.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Preston
4
0
W
04.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
4
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
26.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
13.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
3
1
W
29.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Derby
2
1
W
25.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
2
4
L
H2H at home: Middlesbrough
08.11.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
2
1
W
21.10.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
1
0
W
05.10.22
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
1
0
W
30.10.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
0
2
L
16.01.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
0
1
L
21.01.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
1
1
D
11.08.18
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
1
0
W
Last matches: Birmingham
15.08.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Crewe
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Burton Albion
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
1
1
D
18.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
31.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Oxford United
2
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
17.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Swansea
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Birmingham
Cambridge United
3
2
W
01.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Watford
0
3
L
20.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
0
3
L
09.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
2
L
06.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Southampton
1
3
L
26.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
West Brom
1
1
D
H2H away: Birmingham
08.11.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
2
1
L
21.10.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
1
0
L
05.10.22
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
1
0
L
30.10.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
0
2
W
16.01.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
0
1
W
21.01.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
1
1
D
11.08.18
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
1
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough Home
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham Away
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation