WORLD WORLD CUP
19.06.2026 01:00
Estadio Akron
Referee: Gustavo Tejera, Uruguay
Mexico
Match Timeline
South Korea
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Kang-in Lee
South Korea
50'
L. Romo
Mexico
🔄
57'
Lee Jae-Sung ↔ Hwang Hee-Chan
South Korea
🔄
57'
Son Heung-Min ↔ Oh Hyeon-Gyu
South Korea
🟨
58'
Seung Ho Paik
South Korea
🔄
71'
L. Romo ↔ O. Vargas
Mexico
🔄
71'
B. Gutierrez ↔ O. Pineda
Mexico
🔄
71'
Kim Moon-Hwan ↔ Eom Ji-Sung
South Korea
🔄
71'
Seol Young-Woo ↔ Yang Hyun-Jun
South Korea
🔄
77'
Paik Seung-Ho ↔ Cho Gue-Sung
South Korea
🔄
80'
R. Alvarado ↔ I. Reyes
Mexico
🔄
80'
R. Jimenez ↔ S. Gimenez
Mexico
🔄
84'
J. Quinones ↔ C. S. Huerta Valera
Mexico

Mexico vs South Korea Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.6%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mexico Win 82.6%
Draw 12%
South Korea Win 5.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mexico1.61
South Korea1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mexico Mexico
WWDLW
17 GF / 2 GA
South Korea South Korea
WLDWL
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.6
0.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
2
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
3
4.67
Shots on Goal
5.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mexico Mexico 9 matches
South Korea South Korea 5 matches
Mexico Statistic South Korea
7 Wins 3
2 Draws 0
0 Losses 2
17 Goals For 8
2 Goals Against 6
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
0.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
2 BTTS Yes 1
5 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
4.67 Shots On Goal 5.4
12.78 Total Shots 14
5.22 Corners 6
56.8% Ball Possession 60.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Mexico won 3 times, South Korea won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from Mexico's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Mexico 4-3-3 / South Korea 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Mexico wins 3, draws 1, South Korea wins 0

Standings

Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 6:0 6 9
L W W W W
2 3 1 1 1 2:3 -1 4
L W D L
3 3 1 0 2 2:3 -1 3
L L W
4 3 0 1 2 2:6 -4 1
L D L
Round of 32