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WORLD › WORLD CUP
--.--.---- --:--
Mexico
FT
1 - 0
South Korea
Estadio Akron
Referee: Gustavo Tejera, Uruguay
Mexico
Match Timeline
South Korea
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Kang-in Lee
South Korea
⚽
50'
L. Romo
Mexico
🔄
57'
Lee Jae-Sung ↔ Hwang Hee-Chan
South Korea
🔄
57'
Son Heung-Min ↔ Oh Hyeon-Gyu
South Korea
🟨
58'
Seung Ho Paik
South Korea
🔄
71'
L. Romo ↔ O. Vargas
Mexico
🔄
71'
B. Gutierrez ↔ O. Pineda
Mexico
🔄
71'
Kim Moon-Hwan ↔ Eom Ji-Sung
South Korea
🔄
71'
Seol Young-Woo ↔ Yang Hyun-Jun
South Korea
🔄
77'
Paik Seung-Ho ↔ Cho Gue-Sung
South Korea
🔄
80'
R. Alvarado ↔ I. Reyes
Mexico
🔄
80'
R. Jimenez ↔ S. Gimenez
Mexico
🔄
84'
J. Quinones ↔ C. S. Huerta Valera
Mexico

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Mexico Win 82.6%
Draw 12%
South Korea Win 5.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mexico1.61
South Korea1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mexico Mexico
WWDLW
17 GF / 2 GA
South Korea South Korea
WLDWL
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.6
0.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
2
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
3
4.67
Shots on Goal
5.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mexico Mexico 9 matches
South Korea South Korea 5 matches
Mexico Statistic South Korea
7 Wins 3
2 Draws 0
0 Losses 2
17 Goals For 8
2 Goals Against 6
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
0.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
2 BTTS Yes 1
5 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
4.67 Shots On Goal 5.4
12.78 Total Shots 14
5.22 Corners 6
56.8% Ball Possession 60.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Mexico won 3 times, South Korea won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from Mexico's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Mexico 4-3-3 / South Korea 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Mexico wins 3, draws 1, South Korea wins 0
Stats
Mexico Mexico
South Korea South Korea
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
0 Corner Kicks 2
9 Fouls 7
3 Offsides 6
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
427 Total passes 578
349 Passes accurate 488
0.53 expected_goals 0.91
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Mexico
Formation
South Korea
R. Rangel
R. Rangel
J. Sanchez
J. Sanchez
E. Alvarez
E. Alvarez
J. Vasquez
J. Vasquez
J. Gallardo
J. Gallardo
B. Gutierrez
↓
B. Gutierrez
E. Lira
E. Lira
L. Romo
⚽ ↓
L. Romo
R. Alvarado
↓
R. Alvarado
R. Jimenez
↓
R. Jimenez
J. Quinones
↓
J. Quinones
Kim Seung-Gyu
Kim Seung-Gyu
Lee Han-Beom
Lee Han-Beom
Kim Min-Jae
Kim Min-Jae
Lee Gi-Hyuk
Lee Gi-Hyuk
Kim Moon-Hwan
↓
Kim Moon-Hwan
Hwang In-Beom
Hwang In-Beom
Paik Seung-Ho
↓
Paik Seung-Ho
Seol Young-Woo
↓
Seol Young-Woo
Lee Kang-In
Lee Kang-In
Lee Jae-Sung
↓
Lee Jae-Sung
Son Heung-Min
↓
Son Heung-Min
Mexico 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
R. Rangel
G
2
J. Sanchez
D
4
E. Alvarez
D
5
J. Vasquez
D
23
J. Gallardo
D
26
B. Gutierrez
↓ 71'
M
6
E. Lira
M
7
L. Romo
⚽ 50' ↓ 71'
M
25
R. Alvarado
↓ 80'
F
9
R. Jimenez
↓ 80'
F
16
J. Quinones
↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
13
G. Ochoa
G
12
C. Acevedo
G
22
G. Martinez
F
24
L. Chavez
M
15
I. Reyes
↑ 80'
D
18
O. Vargas
↑ 71'
M
20
M. Chavez Garcia
D
17
O. Pineda
↑ 71'
M
8
A. Fidalgo
M
10
A. Vega
F
11
S. Gimenez
↑ 80'
F
21
C. S. Huerta Valera
↑ 84'
M
14
A. Gonzalez
F
19
G. Mora
M
South Korea 3-4-3 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Kim Seung-Gyu
G
2
Lee Han-Beom
D
4
Kim Min-Jae
D
3
Lee Gi-Hyuk
D
15
Kim Moon-Hwan
↓ 71'
M
6
Hwang In-Beom
M
8
Paik Seung-Ho
↓ 77' 🟨 58'
M
22
Seol Young-Woo
↓ 71'
M
19
Lee Kang-In
🟨 4'
F
10
Lee Jae-Sung
↓ 57'
F
7
Son Heung-Min
↓ 57'
F
Substitutes
21
Jo Hyeon-Woo
G
12
Song Bum-Keun
G
11
Hwang Hee-Chan
↑ 57'
F
24
Kim Jin-Gyu
M
16
Park Jin-Seob
M
26
Lee Dong-Gyeong
M
9
Cho Gue-Sung
↑ 77'
F
18
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
↑ 57'
F
25
Eom Ji-Sung
↑ 71'
F
23
J. Castrop
M
5
Kim Tae-Hyeon
D
13
Lee Tae-Seok
D
20
Yang Hyun-Jun
↑ 71'
F
17
Bae Jun-Ho
M
14
Cho Wi-Je
Last matches: Mexico
06.07.26
Wor
Mexico
England
2
3
L
01.07.26
Wor
Mexico
Ecuador
2
0
W
25.06.26
Wor
Mexico
Czechia
3
0
W
11.06.26
Wor
Mexico
South Africa
2
0
W
05.06.26
Fri
Mexico
Serbia
5
1
W
31.05.26
Fri
Mexico
Australia
1
0
W
23.05.26
Fri
Mexico
Ghana
2
0
W
01.04.26
Fri
Mexico
Belgium
1
1
D
29.03.26
Fri
Mexico
Portugal
0
0
D
26.02.26
Fri
Mexico
Iceland
4
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Mexico
Bolivia
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Mexico
Panama
1
0
W
Last matches: South Korea
25.06.26
Wor
South Korea
South Africa
0
1
L
12.06.26
Wor
South Korea
Czechia
2
1
W
04.06.26
Fri
South Korea
El Salvador
1
0
W
31.05.26
Fri
South Korea
Trinidad and Tobago
5
0
W
31.03.26
Fri
South Korea
Austria
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
South Korea
Ivory Coast
0
4
L
H2H: Mexico vs South Korea
19.06.26
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
1
0
W
10.09.25
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
2
2
D
14.11.20
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
3
2
W
23.06.18
H2H
South Korea
Mexico
1
2
W
Last matches: Mexico
06.07.26
Wor
Mexico
England
2
3
L
01.07.26
Wor
Mexico
Ecuador
2
0
W
11.06.26
Wor
Mexico
South Africa
2
0
W
05.06.26
Fri
Mexico
Serbia
5
1
W
31.05.26
Fri
Mexico
Australia
1
0
W
23.05.26
Fri
Mexico
Ghana
2
0
W
01.04.26
Fri
Mexico
Belgium
1
1
D
29.03.26
Fri
Mexico
Portugal
0
0
D
26.02.26
Fri
Mexico
Iceland
4
0
W
H2H at home: Mexico
19.06.26
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
1
0
W
10.09.25
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
2
2
D
14.11.20
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
3
2
W
Last matches: South Korea
25.06.26
Wor
South Korea
South Africa
0
1
L
31.03.26
Fri
South Korea
Austria
0
1
L
H2H away: South Korea
19.06.26
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
1
0
L
10.09.25
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
2
2
D
14.11.20
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
3
2
L

Standings

Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Mexico Home
3 3 0 0 6:0 6 9
L W W W W
2
South Africa
3 1 1 1 2:3 -1 4
L W D L
3
South Korea Away
3 1 0 2 2:3 -1 3
L L W
4
Czechia
3 0 1 2 2:6 -4 1
L D L
Round of 32