WORLD WORLD CUP
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Akron
Referee: Gustavo Tejera, Uruguay
Mexico
Match Timeline
South Korea
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Lee Kang-In
South Korea
50'
L. Romo
Mexico
🔄
57'
Lee Jae-Sung ↔ Hwang Hee-Chan
South Korea
🔄
57'
Son Heung-Min ↔ Oh Hyeon-Gyu
South Korea
🟨
58'
Paik Seung-Ho
South Korea
🔄
71'
B. Gutierrez ↔ O. Pineda
Mexico
🔄
71'
L. Romo ↔ O. Vargas
Mexico
🔄
71'
Seol Young-Woo ↔ Yang Hyun-Jun
South Korea
🔄
71'
Kim Moon-Hwan ↔ Eom Ji-Sung
South Korea
🔄
77'
Paik Seung-Ho ↔ Cho Gue-Sung
South Korea
🔄
80'
R. Jimenez ↔ S. Gimenez
Mexico
🔄
80'
R. Alvarado ↔ I. Reyes
Mexico
🔄
84'
J. Quinones ↔ C. S. Huerta Valera
Mexico

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.6%
Odds 2.07
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 2.20
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.6%
2.07
BTTS Yes
58.2%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
2.20
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.55
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Mexico Win 82.6%
Draw 12%
South Korea Win 5.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mexico1.61
South Korea1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mexico Mexico
WWDLW
17 GF / 2 GA
South Korea South Korea
WLDWL
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.6
0.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
2
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
3
4.67
Shots on Goal
5.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mexico Mexico 9 matches
South Korea South Korea 5 matches
Mexico Statistic South Korea
7 Wins 3
2 Draws 0
0 Losses 2
17 Goals For 8
2 Goals Against 6
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
0.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
2 BTTS Yes 1
5 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
4.67 Shots On Goal 5.4
12.78 Total Shots 14
5.22 Corners 6
56.8% Ball Possession 60.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Mexico won 2 times, South Korea won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:5 from Mexico's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Mexico 4-3-3 / South Korea 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Mexico wins 2, draws 1, South Korea wins 0
Stats
Mexico Mexico
South Korea South Korea
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
0 Corner Kicks 2
9 Fouls 7
3 Offsides 6
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
429 Total passes 579
350 Passes accurate 486
0.48 expected_goals 0.69
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Mexico
Formation
South Korea
Raúl Rangel
Raúl Rangel
Jorge Sánchez
Jorge Sánchez
Edson Álvarez
Edson Álvarez
Johan Vásquez
Johan Vásquez
Jesús Gallardo
Jesús Gallardo
Brian Gutiérrez
Brian Gutiérrez
Erik Lira
Erik Lira
Luis Romo
Luis Romo
Roberto Alvarado
Roberto Alvarado
Raúl Jiménez
Raúl Jiménez
Julián Quiñones
Julián Quiñones
Kim Seung-gyu
Kim Seung-gyu
Han-Beom Lee
Han-Beom Lee
Kim Min-jae
Kim Min-jae
Gi-Hyuk Lee
Gi-Hyuk Lee
Kim Moon-hwan
Kim Moon-hwan
Hwang In-beom
Hwang In-beom
Seung Ho Paik
Seung Ho Paik
Young-woo Seol
Young-woo Seol
Kang-in Lee
Kang-in Lee
Jae-sung Lee
Jae-sung Lee
Son Heung-min
Son Heung-min
Mexico 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Raúl Rangel
G
2
Jorge Sánchez
D
4
Edson Álvarez
D
5
Johan Vásquez
D
23
Jesús Gallardo
D
26
Brian Gutiérrez
↓ 71'
M
6
Erik Lira
M
7
Luis Romo
⚽ 50' ↓ 71'
M
25
Roberto Alvarado
↓ 80'
F
9
Raúl Jiménez
↓ 80'
F
16
Julián Quiñones
↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
17
Orbelín Pineda
↑ 71'
M
18
Obed Vargas
↑ 71'
M
15
Israel Reyes
↑ 80'
D
11
Santiago Giménez
↑ 80'
F
21
César Huerta
↑ 84'
M
12
Carlos Acevedo
G
13
Guillermo Ochoa
G
20
Mateo Chávez
D
8
Álvaro Fidalgo
M
19
Gilberto Mora
M
24
Luis Chávez
M
10
Alexis Vega
F
14
Armando González
F
22
Guillermo Martínez
F
South Korea 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Kim Seung-gyu
G
2
Han-Beom Lee
D
4
Kim Min-jae
D
3
Gi-Hyuk Lee
D
15
Kim Moon-hwan
↓ 71'
M
6
Hwang In-beom
M
8
Seung Ho Paik
↓ 77' 🟨 58'
M
22
Young-woo Seol
↓ 71'
M
19
Kang-in Lee
🟨 4'
F
10
Jae-sung Lee
↓ 57'
F
7
Son Heung-min
↓ 57'
F
Substitutes
11
Hwang Hee-chan
↑ 57'
F
18
Hyeon-gyu Oh
↑ 57'
F
25
Ji-sung Eom
↑ 71'
F
20
Yang Hyun-Jun
↑ 71'
F
9
Gue-sung Cho
↑ 77'
F
12
Song Bum-keun
G
21
Jo Hyeonwoo
G
5
Kim Tae-hyeon
D
14
Wi-je Cho
D
13
Lee Tae-seok
D
16
Jin-seob Park
M
23
Jens Castrop
M
17
Jun-Ho Bae
M
24
Jin-gyu Kim
M
26
Dong-gyeong Lee
M
Last matches: Mexico
11.06.26
Wor
Mexico
South Africa
2
0
W
05.06.26
Fri
Mexico
Serbia
5
1
W
31.05.26
Fri
Mexico
Australia
1
0
W
23.05.26
Fri
Mexico
Ghana
2
0
W
01.04.26
Fri
Mexico
Belgium
1
1
D
29.03.26
Fri
Mexico
Portugal
0
0
D
26.02.26
Fri
Mexico
Iceland
4
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Mexico
Bolivia
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Mexico
Panama
1
0
W
Last matches: South Korea
12.06.26
Wor
South Korea
Czechia
2
1
W
04.06.26
Fri
South Korea
El Salvador
1
0
W
31.05.26
Fri
South Korea
Trinidad and Tobago
5
0
W
31.03.26
Fri
South Korea
Austria
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
South Korea
Ivory Coast
0
4
L
H2H: Mexico vs South Korea
10.09.25
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
2
2
D
14.11.20
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
3
2
W
23.06.18
H2H
South Korea
Mexico
1
2
W
Last matches: Mexico
11.06.26
Wor
Mexico
South Africa
2
0
W
05.06.26
Fri
Mexico
Serbia
5
1
W
31.05.26
Fri
Mexico
Australia
1
0
W
23.05.26
Fri
Mexico
Ghana
2
0
W
01.04.26
Fri
Mexico
Belgium
1
1
D
29.03.26
Fri
Mexico
Portugal
0
0
D
26.02.26
Fri
Mexico
Iceland
4
0
W
H2H at home: Mexico
10.09.25
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
2
2
D
14.11.20
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
3
2
W
Last matches: South Korea
31.03.26
Fri
South Korea
Austria
0
1
L
H2H away: South Korea
10.09.25
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
2
2
D
14.11.20
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
3
2
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.07
Draw 3.30
Away 4.21
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.81
Draw 2.18
Away 4.54
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.37
Under 1.5 3.21
Over 1.75 1.46
Under 1.75 2.81
Over 2.0 1.61
Under 2.0 2.43
Over 2.25 1.93
Under 2.25 1.98
Over 2.5 2.20
Under 2.5 1.72
Over 2.75 2.56
Under 2.75 1.54
Over 1.0 1.13
Under 1.0 6.28
Over 1.25 1.24
Under 1.25 4.27
Over 3.0 3.23
Under 3.0 1.36
Over 3.25 3.62
Under 3.25 1.30
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.10
Draw 3.20
Away 3.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.75
Draw 2.05
Away 4.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.38
Draw 2.30
Away 3.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.40
Under 1.5 3.00
Over 2.5 2.30
Under 2.5 1.62
Over 3.5 4.33
Under 3.5 1.22
Over 0.5 1.08
Under 0.5 8.00
Over 4.5 9.00
Under 4.5 1.07
Over 5.5 19.00
Under 5.5 1.02
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.12
Draw 3.32
Away 4.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.75
Draw 2.02
Away 4.72
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.40
Draw 2.42
Away 4.17
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.33
Under 1.5 2.98
Over 1.75 1.44
Under 1.75 2.64
Over 2.0 1.57
Under 2.0 2.29
Over 2.25 1.90
Under 2.25 1.96
Over 2.5 2.16
Under 2.5 1.74
Over 2.75 2.40
Under 2.75 1.52
Over 3.5 3.58
Under 3.5 1.24
Over 0.5 1.03
Under 0.5 7.40
Over 0.75 1.05
Under 0.75 6.95
Over 1.0 1.06
Under 1.0 6.30
Over 1.25 1.20
Under 1.25 3.92
Over 3.0 3.00
Under 3.0 1.35
Over 4.5 7.00
Under 4.5 1.04
Over 3.25 3.30
Under 3.25 1.28
Over 3.75 4.53
Under 3.75 1.14
Over 4.0 6.35
Under 4.0 1.06
Over 4.25 6.64
Under 4.25 1.05
Over 5.0 14.50
Under 5.0 1.02
Over 5.5 18.00
Under 5.5 1.02
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.07
Draw 3.20
Away 3.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.60
Draw 2.15
Away 4.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.40
Draw 2.48
Away 3.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.32
Under 1.5 3.30
Over 1.75 1.41
Under 1.75 2.90
Over 2.0 1.54
Under 2.0 2.48
Over 2.25 1.80
Under 2.25 2.00
Over 2.5 2.05
Under 2.5 1.74
Over 2.75 2.38
Under 2.75 1.58
Over 3.5 3.70
Under 3.5 1.26
Over 0.5 1.05
Under 0.5 9.50
Over 0.75 1.06
Under 0.75 8.00
Over 1.0 1.08
Under 1.0 7.00
Over 1.25 1.23
Under 1.25 4.00
Over 3.0 3.00
Under 3.0 1.38
Over 4.5 8.00
Under 4.5 1.07
Over 3.25 3.35
Under 3.25 1.32
Over 3.75 5.60
Under 3.75 1.13
Over 4.0 8.50
Under 4.0 1.06

Standings

Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 3:0 3 6
W W
2 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
L W
3 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
D L
4 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
D L
Round of 32