Mexico
Match Timeline
Ecuador
Mexico vs Ecuador Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
1 agree /
0 disagree
BTTS
No
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
81.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Mexico Win 81.9%
Draw 4.7%
Ecuador Win 13.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mexico1.43
Ecuador0.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mexico
WWDLW
21 GF / 2 GA
Ecuador
WLDWL
9 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.91
Average Goals Scored
1.29
0.18
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
2
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
3
4.64
Shots on Goal
5.14
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mexico
11 matches
Ecuador
7 matches
| Mexico | Statistic | Ecuador |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 21 | Goals For | 9 |
| 2 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 1.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 0.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.64 | Shots On Goal | 5.14 |
| 12.18 | Total Shots | 14.29 |
| 4.36 | Corners | 5.14 |
| 54.6% | Ball Possession | 56% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Mexico won 2 times, Ecuador won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:8 from Mexico's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Mexico 4-1-2-3 / Ecuador 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Mexico wins 2, draws 3, Ecuador wins 2
Standings
Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mexico
Home
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 9 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
L
D
L
|
Round of 32