Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
68.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
90.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Metz
Lorient
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Metz
34 matches
Lorient
36 matches
| Metz | Statistic | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 13 |
| 7 | Draws | 13 |
| 23 | Losses | 10 |
| 35 | Goals For | 56 |
| 76 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.56 |
| 2.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.26 | Shots On Goal | 4.14 |
| 10.18 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 4.12 | Corners | 3.56 |
| 49.5% | Ball Possession | 46.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Metz expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Lorient in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lorient having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Lorient. Lorient carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 42 points while Metz sit 18 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Metz have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Metz sit 18 with 16 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 22 losses, together with goals at 32:72, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through G. Hein (8 goals), H. Diallo (4 goals), G. Tsitaishvili (3 goals), with creative support from G. Hein (7 assists), G. Tsitaishvili (2 assists), N. Mbala (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Lorient sit 9 with 42 points after 32 league matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 44:49 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Pablo Pagis (10 goals), Ahmadou Bamba Dieng (9 goals), A. Tosin (5 goals), with creative support from A. Kouassi (6 assists), Pablo Pagis (3 assists), Bamo Meïté (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Metz won 4 times, Lorient won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:28 from Metz's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
Metz
2
7
4
5
2
2
Lineups
Metz
Nice
Metz
Monaco
Metz
Seraing United
Metz
Le Havre
Metz
Paris FC
Metz
Marseille
Metz
Nantes
Metz
Rennes
Metz
Toulouse
Metz
Lens
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
Auxerre
Metz
Lille
Metz
Angers
Metz
Lyon
Metz
Strasbourg
Metz
Montpellier
Metz
Lorient
Metz
Biesheim
Lorient
Le Havre
Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
Strasbourg
Lorient
Marseille
Lorient
Lyon
Lorient
Paris FC
Lorient
Toulouse
Lorient
Lens
Lorient
Lille
Lorient
Nice
Lorient
Auxerre
Lorient
Nice
Lorient
Angers
Lorient
Stade Brestois 29
Lorient
Paris FC
Lorient
Nantes
Lorient
Rennes
Lorient
Monaco
Lorient
Hauts Lyonnais
Lorient
Metz
Metz
Monaco
Metz
Paris FC
Metz
Nantes
Metz
Toulouse
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
Metz
Auxerre
Metz
Lille
Metz
Lyon
Metz
Montpellier
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
Rennes
Metz
Nice
Metz
Lens
Metz
Marseille
Metz
Le Havre
Metz
Angers
Metz
Strasbourg
Metz
Reims
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
Lyon
Lorient
Toulouse
Lorient
Lille
Lorient
Nice
Lorient
Stade Brestois 29
Lorient
Rennes
Lorient
Monaco
Lorient
Hauts Lyonnais
Lorient
Gosier
Lorient
Strasbourg
Lorient
Nantes
Lorient
Lens
Lorient
Angers
Lorient
Paris FC
Lorient
Le Havre
Lorient
Marseille
Lorient
Auxerre
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Lorient
Away
|
34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 |
Metz
Home
|
34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|