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04.11.2026 23:30
Estadio Brigido Iriarte

Metropolitanos FC vs Carabobo FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 75%
Odds 1.62
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.85
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
75%
1.62 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.85 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Metropolitanos FC Win 51.3%
Draw 23.7%
Carabobo FC Win 25%
Expected Goals (xG)
Metropolitanos FC1.3
Carabobo FC1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Metropolitanos FC Metropolitanos FC
D D D D W
9 GF / 5 GA
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC
D W W D W
10 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.55
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
17
BTTS Yes
21
15
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Metropolitanos FC Metropolitanos FC 35 matches
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 40 matches
Metropolitanos FC Statistic Carabobo FC
19 Wins 19
11 Draws 14
5 Losses 7
55 Goals For 62
31 Goals Against 36
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
17 BTTS Yes 21
23 Over 1.5 25
15 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 10
15 Clean Sheets 16
6 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 4
0 Total Shots 13.75
0 Corners 5
0% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Carabobo FC. Metropolitanos FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 57 points compared to Carabobo FC in 4 on 41, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Metropolitanos FC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Metropolitanos FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Carabobo FC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Carabobo FC having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Metropolitanos FC Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 57 points from 26 games, Metropolitanos FC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 17 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 47:21, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, which underlines an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Carabobo FC Analysis

Carabobo FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 41 points after 26 matches. With 10 wins, 11 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 38:24, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Metropolitanos FC won 0 times, Carabobo FC won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:8 from Metropolitanos FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.3%)
Predicted formations: Metropolitanos FC 4-2-3-1 / Carabobo FC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Metropolitanos FC wins 0, draws 3, Carabobo FC wins 2

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 6 0 15:6 9 27
W D W D W
2 13 7 4 2 17:10 7 25
W W D L W
3 13 7 3 3 17:12 5 24
W D L W W
4 13 7 2 4 24:20 4 23
L D L W L
5 13 5 5 3 20:12 8 20
W D W L D
6 13 6 2 5 21:18 3 20
L W W W L
7 13 4 7 2 23:14 9 19
L W W D D
8 13 4 5 4 16:14 2 17
D W L L D
9 13 4 5 4 14:14 0 17
D D D W W
10 13 3 6 4 15:17 -2 15
W D L W D
11 13 4 2 7 13:23 -10 14
L L L W D
12 13 3 2 8 14:22 -8 11
D L W L D
13 13 2 3 8 15:25 -10 9
D L W L L
14 13 0 4 9 9:26 -17 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)