Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
54.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 10.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Karpaty
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
27 matches
Karpaty
27 matches
| Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Statistic | Karpaty |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 9 |
| 10 | Draws | 10 |
| 5 | Losses | 8 |
| 32 | Goals For | 35 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 0.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 2.6 | Shots On Goal | 2.92 |
| 9.24 | Total Shots | 7.64 |
| 4.36 | Corners | 2.44 |
| 36.2% | Ball Possession | 29.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Karpaty. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Metalist 1925 Kharkiv expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Karpaty in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Karpaty having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 46 points from 27 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 32:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Itodo (9 goals), D. Antyukh (4 goals), C. Mba (3 goals), with creative support from D. Antyukh (4 assists), Vladyslav Kalitvintsev (3 assists), Ilya Krupskyi (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
So far, Karpaty have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 37 points from 27 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, while the 35:27 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Bruninho (7 goals), Igor Krasnopir (6 goals), Yan Kostenko (5 goals), with creative support from Bruninho (3 assists), Igor Krasnopir (3 assists), Jean Pedroso (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv won 2 times, Karpaty won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
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2
6
4
3
2
Lineups
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
FC Schalke 04
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Fagiano Okayama
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Hradec Králové
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
FK Jablonec
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Wolfsberger AC
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Red Bull Salzburg
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
BSC Young Boys
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Qarabag
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Veres Rivne
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Polessya
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Kudrivka
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Veres Rivne
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Dynamo Kyiv
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Kolos Kovalivka
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
SK Poltava
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Ruh Lviv
Karpaty
Veres Rivne
Karpaty
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Karpaty
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Karpaty
Bravo
Karpaty
CFR 1907 Cluj
Karpaty
Nyva Ternopil
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
Veres Rivne
Karpaty
Kryvbas KR
Karpaty
LNZ Cherkasy
Karpaty
Ruh Lviv
Karpaty
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
Oleksandria
Karpaty
Dynamo Kyiv
Karpaty
Obolon'-Brovar
Karpaty
SK Poltava
Karpaty
Kudrivka
Karpaty
Kolos Kovalivka
Karpaty
Shakhtar Donetsk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
FC Schalke 04
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Fagiano Okayama
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Hradec Králové
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
BSC Young Boys
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Polessya
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Kudrivka
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Veres Rivne
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Dynamo Kyiv
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
SK Poltava
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Oleksandria
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Kryvbas KR
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Jeonbuk Motors
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Hammarby FF
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Seattle Sounders
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
CF Montreal
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Pardubice
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Kolos Kovalivka
Karpaty
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Karpaty
Bravo
Karpaty
CFR 1907 Cluj
Karpaty
Kryvbas KR
Karpaty
Ruh Lviv
Karpaty
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
Dynamo Kyiv
Karpaty
SK Poltava
Karpaty
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
Polessya
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
Veres Rivne
Karpaty
LNZ Cherkasy
Karpaty
Oleksandria
Karpaty
Obolon'-Brovar
Karpaty
Kudrivka
Karpaty
Kolos Kovalivka
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 71:21 | 50 | 72 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 39:17 | 22 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 51:21 | 30 | 59 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:36 | 30 | 57 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 36:19 | 17 | 51 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 49 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 53:46 | 7 | 48 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 46 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Karpaty
Away
|
30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
| 10 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 36:45 | -9 | 32 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 26:40 | -14 | 31 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 28:49 | -21 | 31 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 32:48 | -16 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 20:51 | -31 | 21 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 24:58 | -34 | 17 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 23:74 | -51 | 13 |
D
L
L
L
D
|