GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Agrano Vachadze Stadium
Referee: I. Shengelia
Meshakhte
Match Timeline
Samgurali
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
G. Kantaria · Assist: E. Jijavadze
Meshakhte
23'
L. Shergelashvili · Assist: L. Gegetchkori
Samgurali
🟨
40'
I. Bidzinashvili
Samgurali
🟨
49'
B. Gabiskiria
Meshakhte
🔄
58'
J. Carlos ↔ D. Krasovski
Samgurali
🔄
58'
T. Gaprindashvili ↔ N. Tsetskhladze
Samgurali
🔄
59'
G. Kantaria ↔ G. Papuashvili
Meshakhte
🔄
66'
M. Pyrogov ↔ G. Jamarauli
Meshakhte
🔄
66'
I. Sikharulidze ↔ G. Gogolashvili
Meshakhte
🔄
71'
I. Bidzinashvili ↔ L. Gilmore
Samgurali
🔄
71'
Claudio Cebolinha ↔ I. Siradze
Samgurali
🔄
80'
L. Gegetchkori ↔ G. Gogia
Samgurali
🟥
82'
L. Ugrekhelidze
Meshakhte
🟨
85'
G. Gogia
Samgurali
🔄
87'
G. Burduli ↔ L. Shashiashvili
Meshakhte
🔄
87'
B. Gabiskiria ↔ M. Kvirkvia
Meshakhte
88'
I. Siradze
Samgurali

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 83.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
83.4%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Meshakhte Win 8.3%
Draw 8.3%
Samgurali Win 83.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Meshakhte1.05
Samgurali1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Meshakhte Meshakhte
WWDLW
18 GF / 43 GA
Samgurali Samgurali
WLDWL
42 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
13
BTTS Yes
18
11
Over 2.5
16
1.33
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Meshakhte Meshakhte 23 matches
Samgurali Samgurali 28 matches
Meshakhte Statistic Samgurali
2 Wins 11
8 Draws 7
13 Losses 10
18 Goals For 42
43 Goals Against 41
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
13 BTTS Yes 18
15 Over 1.5 21
11 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 5
1.33 Shots On Goal 0
1.67 Total Shots 0
1.67 Corners 0
27.7% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Samgurali. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Samgurali having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Samgurali carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 25 points while Meshakhte sit 10 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Meshakhte have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Meshakhte Analysis

With 11 points from 19 games and a place of 10, Meshakhte still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 13:34 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Samgurali Analysis

Samgurali are currently 7 in the standings with 25 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, while the 25:32 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Meshakhte won 1 times, Samgurali won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:20 from Meshakhte's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (91.7%)
H2H summary: Meshakhte wins 1, draws 2, Samgurali wins 9

Lineups

Meshakhte
Formation
Samgurali
L. Shovnadze
L. Shovnadze
G. Kvirkvelia
G. Kvirkvelia
Eric Pimentel
Eric Pimentel
L. Ugrekhelidze
L. Ugrekhelidze
G. Gegia
G. Gegia
G. Kantaria
G. Kantaria
E. Jijavadze
🎯
E. Jijavadze
B. Gabiskiria
B. Gabiskiria
M. Pyrogov
M. Pyrogov
G. Burduli
G. Burduli
I. Sikharulidze
I. Sikharulidze
A. Siukaev
A. Siukaev
L. Gegetchkori
🎯
L. Gegetchkori
O. Patarkatsishvili
O. Patarkatsishvili
Ryan
Ryan
L. Shergelashvili
L. Shergelashvili
I. Janjgava
I. Janjgava
Vinicius Vianna
Vinicius Vianna
T. Gaprindashvili
T. Gaprindashvili
I. Bidzinashvili
I. Bidzinashvili
J. Carlos
J. Carlos
Claudio Cebolinha
Claudio Cebolinha
Meshakhte 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
29
L. Shovnadze
21
G. Kvirkvelia
31
Eric Pimentel
40
L. Ugrekhelidze
🟥 82'
16
G. Gegia
27
G. Kantaria
⚽ 6' ↓ 59'
7
E. Jijavadze
🎯 6'
26
B. Gabiskiria
↓ 87' 🟨 49'
30
M. Pyrogov
↓ 66'
13
G. Burduli
↓ 87'
9
I. Sikharulidze
↓ 66'
Substitutes
1
L. Tkeshelashvili
2
S. Nikoloz
5
L. Shashiashvili
↑ 87'
6
G. Papuashvili
↑ 59'
8
G. Jamarauli
↑ 66'
10
G. Gogolashvili
↑ 66'
11
M. Kvirkvia
↑ 87'
25
R. Novruzov
36
L. Kvelaidze
Samgurali 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
21
A. Siukaev
13
L. Gegetchkori
🎯 23' ↓ 80'
4
O. Patarkatsishvili
39
Ryan
27
L. Shergelashvili
⚽ 23'
5
I. Janjgava
20
Vinicius Vianna
9
T. Gaprindashvili
↓ 58'
8
I. Bidzinashvili
↓ 71' 🟨 40'
15
J. Carlos
↓ 58'
28
Claudio Cebolinha
↓ 71'
Substitutes
12
A. Kasradze
10
L. Gilmore
↑ 71'
11
D. Krasovski
↑ 58'
17
N. Tsetskhladze
↑ 58'
19
I. Siradze
⚽ 88' ↑ 71'
25
M. Shatirishvili
26
Z. Iashvili
22
G. Gogia
↑ 80' 🟨 85'
33
Isac Martins
Last matches: Meshakhte
21.08.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Dinamo Batumi
0
1
L
16.08.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Dila
1
3
L
14.07.26
Fri
Meshakhte
FC Urartu
2
4
L
23.06.26
Ero
Meshakhte
FC Iberia 1999
1
2
L
18.06.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Gagra
1
1
D
13.06.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Rustavi
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
6
L
25.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Spaeri
1
2
L
20.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
4
L
16.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Dinamo Batumi
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Dila
0
2
L
06.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Samgurali
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
FC Iberia 1999
1
4
L
27.04.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Gagra
1
1
D
22.04.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Rustavi
0
0
D
17.04.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Meshakhte
FC Iberia 1999
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Spaeri
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
3
L
16.03.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Dinamo Batumi
0
0
D
Last matches: Samgurali
22.08.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
4
3
W
16.08.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
0
4
L
20.07.26
Fri
Samgurali
Spaeri
1
0
W
24.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
0
0
D
18.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
3
5
L
13.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
29.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
3
2
W
25.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
FC Iberia 1999
3
2
W
21.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
3
L
06.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
21.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
6
L
17.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
0
1
L
07.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
FC Iberia 1999
1
2
L
03.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
1
4
L
12.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
H2H: Meshakhte vs Samgurali
09.08.26
H2H
Meshakhte
Samgurali
1
2
L
01.08.26
H2H
Samgurali
Meshakhte
1
0
L
06.05.26
H2H
Samgurali
Meshakhte
3
1
L
08.03.26
H2H
Meshakhte
Samgurali
0
0
D
19.10.17
H2H
Samgurali
Meshakhte
5
0
L
11.08.17
H2H
Meshakhte
Samgurali
1
1
D
19.05.17
H2H
Samgurali
Meshakhte
2
0
L
31.03.17
H2H
Meshakhte
Samgurali
0
1
L
13.11.16
H2H
Meshakhte
Samgurali
0
1
L
26.09.16
H2H
Samgurali
Meshakhte
1
0
L
16.04.16
H2H
Samgurali
Meshakhte
1
2
W
06.11.15
H2H
Meshakhte
Samgurali
1
2
L
Last matches: Meshakhte
21.08.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Dinamo Batumi
0
1
L
14.07.26
Fri
Meshakhte
FC Urartu
2
4
L
18.06.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Gagra
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
6
L
20.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
4
L
10.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Dila
0
2
L
02.05.26
Ero
Meshakhte
FC Iberia 1999
1
4
L
22.04.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Rustavi
0
0
D
07.04.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Spaeri
0
0
D
16.03.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Dinamo Batumi
0
0
D
08.03.26
Ero
Meshakhte
Samgurali
0
0
D
H2H at home: Meshakhte
09.08.26
H2H
Meshakhte
Samgurali
1
2
L
08.03.26
H2H
Meshakhte
Samgurali
0
0
D
11.08.17
H2H
Meshakhte
Samgurali
1
1
D
31.03.17
H2H
Meshakhte
Samgurali
0
1
L
13.11.16
H2H
Meshakhte
Samgurali
0
1
L
06.11.15
H2H
Meshakhte
Samgurali
1
2
L
Last matches: Samgurali
22.08.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
4
3
W
20.07.26
Fri
Samgurali
Spaeri
1
0
W
24.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
0
0
D
18.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
3
5
L
29.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
3
2
W
21.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
3
L
21.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
6
L
07.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
FC Iberia 1999
1
2
L
16.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
1
4
L
08.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
0
0
D
02.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Ulytau
2
2
D
16.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Petrocub
1
1
D
12.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Lokomotiv
2
0
W
02.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
2
L
H2H away: Samgurali
09.08.26
H2H
Meshakhte
Samgurali
1
2
W
08.03.26
H2H
Meshakhte
Samgurali
0
0
D
11.08.17
H2H
Meshakhte
Samgurali
1
1
D
31.03.17
H2H
Meshakhte
Samgurali
0
1
W
13.11.16
H2H
Meshakhte
Samgurali
0
1
W
06.11.15
H2H
Meshakhte
Samgurali
1
2
W

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 11 5 5 26:18 8 38
W W L W W
2 21 9 7 5 33:25 8 34
L W W W L
3 20 10 4 6 30:22 8 34
L W L D W
4 22 9 7 6 35:32 3 34
W W D L W
5 21 8 6 7 34:23 11 30
W L D L L
6 20 9 2 9 24:20 4 29
W W W L L
7 21 8 4 9 27:37 -10 28
L W D L W
8 21 5 9 7 21:27 -6 24
D D D D W
9 21 5 8 8 27:28 -1 23
D L D L D
10 22 1 8 13 15:40 -25 11
L L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2