GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
18.06.2026 13:30
Agrano Vachadze Stadium
Referee: B. Bregadze
Meshakhte
Match Timeline
Gagra
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
V. Arsic
Gagra
🟨
17'
B. Gabiskiria
Meshakhte
🟨
45+1'
Eric Pimentel
Meshakhte
🔄
46'
V. Arsic ↔ P. Borges
Gagra
51'
P. Borges · Assist: A. Peikrishvili
Gagra
🔄
57'
M. Pyrogov ↔ T. Shonia
Meshakhte
🔄
57'
L. Ugrekhelidze ↔ I. Dgebuadze
Meshakhte
🔄
57'
M. Kvirkvia ↔ L. Chikhradze
Meshakhte
61'
T. Sikalo
Meshakhte
🔄
66'
G. Burduli ↔ G. Gegia
Meshakhte
🔄
68'
A. Peikrishvili ↔ G. Darsania
Gagra
🔄
72'
T. Sikalo ↔ L. Kvelaidze
Meshakhte
🔄
79'
A. Andreychuk ↔ G. Sadghobelashvili
Gagra
🟨
82'
G. Sadghobelashvili
Gagra
🔄
87'
I. Skrypnyk ↔ I. Katsiashvili
Gagra
🟨
90'
S. Zoidze
Gagra
🟨
90+4'
G. Sadghobelashvili
Gagra
🟥
90+4'
G. Sadghobelashvili
Gagra

Meshakhte vs Gagra Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.3%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Meshakhte Win 10.3%
Draw 18.4%
Gagra Win 71.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Meshakhte1
Gagra1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Meshakhte Meshakhte
WWDLW
14 GF / 36 GA
Gagra Gagra
WLDWL
24 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
0.7
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
10
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Meshakhte Meshakhte 20 matches
Gagra Gagra 22 matches
Meshakhte Statistic Gagra
2 Wins 6
7 Draws 7
11 Losses 9
14 Goals For 24
36 Goals Against 32
0.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
10 BTTS Yes 13
12 Over 1.5 18
9 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 3
8 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gagra. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gagra having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Meshakhte have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Meshakhte Analysis

With 10 points from 16 games and a place of 10, Meshakhte still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 11:30, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through I. Sikharulidze (4 goals), Eric Pimentel (2 goals), T. Patsatsia (2 goals), with creative support from B. Shubitidze (3 assists), T. Patsatsia (1 assists), D. Ghurtskaia (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gagra Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Gagra have collected 17 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 15:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Andreychuk (3 goals), D. Mujiri (3 goals), I. Skrypnyk (3 goals), with creative support from Wanderson (5 assists), A. Andreychuk (2 assists), S. Zoidze (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Meshakhte won 3 times, Gagra won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:23 from Meshakhte's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (89.8%)
Predicted formations: Meshakhte 5-4-1 / Gagra 4-4-2
H2H summary: Meshakhte wins 3, draws 3, Gagra wins 9

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 7 6 32:21 11 46
W D L D W
2 26 12 8 6 43:34 9 44
D W W W W
3 25 11 9 5 40:27 13 42
W D D W L
4 24 12 4 8 33:27 6 40
W L W L L
5 25 11 4 10 33:27 6 37
D W W L D
6 26 9 9 8 41:31 10 36
W D D L D
7 26 9 5 12 36:49 -13 32
L L L D W
8
Gagra Away
26 6 10 10 24:36 -12 28
L D L W L
9 26 5 10 11 33:39 -6 25
L D D L L
10 26 2 10 14 19:43 -24 16
L D D W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2