Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
71.3%
|
1.95 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
1.84 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
2.15 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
10.00 |
Meshakhte
Gagra
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Meshakhte
20 matches
Gagra
22 matches
| Meshakhte | Statistic | Gagra |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 11 | Losses | 9 |
| 14 | Goals For | 24 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 0.7 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gagra. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gagra having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Meshakhte have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 10 points from 16 games and a place of 10, Meshakhte still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 11:30, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through I. Sikharulidze (4 goals), Eric Pimentel (2 goals), T. Patsatsia (2 goals), with creative support from B. Shubitidze (3 assists), T. Patsatsia (1 assists), D. Ghurtskaia (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 16 matches, Gagra have collected 17 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 15:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Andreychuk (3 goals), D. Mujiri (3 goals), I. Skrypnyk (3 goals), with creative support from Wanderson (5 assists), A. Andreychuk (2 assists), S. Zoidze (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Meshakhte won 3 times, Gagra won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:23 from Meshakhte's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Meshakhte
3
4
0
0
0
0
Meshakhte
Rustavi
Meshakhte
Dinamo Tbilisi
Meshakhte
Spaeri
Meshakhte
Torpedo Kutaisi
Meshakhte
Dinamo Batumi
Meshakhte
Dila
Meshakhte
Samgurali
Meshakhte
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
Gagra
Meshakhte
Rustavi
Meshakhte
Dinamo Tbilisi
Meshakhte
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
Spaeri
Meshakhte
Torpedo Kutaisi
Meshakhte
Dinamo Batumi
Meshakhte
Dila
Meshakhte
Samgurali
Meshakhte
Zhetysu
Meshakhte
Ulytau
Meshakhte
Kokand-1912
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
Dila
Gagra
Saburtalo
Gagra
Rustavi
Gagra
Spaeri
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
Samgurali
Gagra
Meshakhte
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
Dila
Gagra
Saburtalo
Gagra
Rustavi
Gagra
Spaeri
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
Samgurali
Gagra
Bunyodkor
Gagra
Muras United
Gagra
Zorya Luhansk
Meshakhte
Dinamo Tbilisi
Meshakhte
Torpedo Kutaisi
Meshakhte
Dila
Meshakhte
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
Rustavi
Meshakhte
Spaeri
Meshakhte
Dinamo Batumi
Meshakhte
Samgurali
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
Saburtalo
Gagra
Spaeri
Gagra
Samgurali
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
Dila
Gagra
Rustavi
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
Bunyodkor
Gagra
Muras United
Gagra
Zorya Luhansk
Gagra
Shturmi
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 32 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 31 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 27:28 | -1 | 27 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 30:19 | 11 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:32 | -7 | 24 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 |
Gagra
Away
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
| 10 |
Meshakhte
Home
|
18 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 12:32 | -20 | 11 |
D
L
L
L
L
|