Melbourne Victory
Match Timeline
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Melbourne Victory Win 0%
Draw 0%
Wellington Phoenix Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne Victory1.14
Wellington Phoenix1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne Victory
WWDLW
7 GF / 12 GA
Wellington Phoenix
WLDWL
13 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
2
BTTS Yes
8
3
Over 2.5
7
4.89
Shots on Goal
5.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Melbourne Victory
9 matches
Wellington Phoenix
9 matches
| Melbourne Victory | Statistic | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 7 | Goals For | 13 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 0.78 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.89 | Shots On Goal | 5.67 |
| 16.22 | Total Shots | 14.33 |
| 5.33 | Corners | 5.67 |
| 48.9% | Ball Possession | 55.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne Victory won 8 times, Wellington Phoenix won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:15 from Melbourne Victory's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1 / Wellington Phoenix 3-5-2
H2H summary: Melbourne Victory wins 8, draws 3, Wellington Phoenix wins 4
Standings
A-League: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 16 | 48 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 42 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 4 |
Melbourne Victory
Home
|
26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 40 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 8 | 39 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
Wellington Phoenix
Away
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)