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--.--.---- --:--
Melbourne Victory
FT
5 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
AAMI Park
Referee: S. Evans
Melbourne Victory
Match Timeline
Wellington Phoenix
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
N. Vergos · Assist: N. Velupillay
Melbourne Victory
⚽
29'
R. Najjarine
Wellington Phoenix
⚽
42'
N. Vergos · Assist: J. Rawlins
Melbourne Victory
🟨
45+2'
Manjrekar James
Wellington Phoenix
⚽
47'
N. Vergos
Melbourne Victory
⚽
55'
Clarismario · Assist: J. Mata
Melbourne Victory
🔄
57'
N. Velupillay ↔ M. Grimaldi
Melbourne Victory
🔄
57'
C. Armiento ↔ F. Conchie
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
57'
K. Nagasawa ↔ L. Brooke-Smith
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
64'
A. Rufer ↔ P. Retre
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
67'
L. D'Arrigo ↔ D. Genreau
Melbourne Victory
🔄
67'
J. Mata ↔ K. Jelacic
Melbourne Victory
VAR
68'
Clarismario
Melbourne Victory
🔄
82'
J. Davidson ↔ A. Traore
Melbourne Victory
🔄
82'
Clarismario ↔ J. Reec
Melbourne Victory
🟨
90+4'
Adama Traoré
Melbourne Victory
⚽
90'
K. Jelacic · Assist: J. Reec
Melbourne Victory

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Melbourne Victory Win 0%
Draw 0%
Wellington Phoenix Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne Victory1.14
Wellington Phoenix1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
WWDLW
7 GF / 12 GA
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
WLDWL
13 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
2
BTTS Yes
8
3
Over 2.5
7
4.89
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 9 matches
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 9 matches
Melbourne Victory Statistic Wellington Phoenix
3 Wins 3
2 Draws 2
4 Losses 4
7 Goals For 13
12 Goals Against 15
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
2 BTTS Yes 8
5 Over 1.5 8
3 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 0
5 Failed To Score 1
4.89 Shots On Goal 5.67
16.22 Total Shots 14.33
5.33 Corners 5.67
48.9% Ball Possession 55.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne Victory won 8 times, Wellington Phoenix won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:15 from Melbourne Victory's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1 / Wellington Phoenix 3-5-2
H2H summary: Melbourne Victory wins 8, draws 3, Wellington Phoenix wins 4
Stats
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 2
12 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 0
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked Shots 1
9 Shots insidebox 6
8 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
504 Total passes 364
414 Passes accurate 283
2.17 expected_goals 0.63
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Melbourne Victory
Formation
Wellington Phoenix
J. Duncan
J. Duncan
J. Rawlins
🎯
J. Rawlins
S. Esposito
S. Esposito
Roderick
Roderick
J. Davidson
↓
J. Davidson
L. D'Arrigo
↓
L. D'Arrigo
J. Valadon
J. Valadon
N. Velupillay
🎯 ↓
N. Velupillay
J. Mata
🎯 ↓
J. Mata
Clarismario
⚽ ↓
Clarismario
N. Vergos
⚽ 3
N. Vergos
E. McCarron
E. McCarron
I. Hughes
I. Hughes
M. James
M. James
L. Kelly-Heald
L. Kelly-Heald
M. Sheridan
M. Sheridan
R. Najjarine
⚽
R. Najjarine
A. Rufer
↓
A. Rufer
K. Nagasawa
↓
K. Nagasawa
C. Armiento
↓
C. Armiento
C. Piper
C. Piper
I. Eze
I. Eze
Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
J. Duncan
G
22
J. Rawlins
🎯 42'
D
15
S. Esposito
D
21
Roderick
D
2
J. Davidson
↓ 82'
D
27
L. D'Arrigo
↓ 67'
M
8
J. Valadon
M
17
N. Velupillay
🎯 7' ↓ 57'
M
64
J. Mata
🎯 55' ↓ 67'
M
11
Clarismario
⚽ 55' ↓ 82'
M
9
N. Vergos
⚽ 7' ⚽ 42' ⚽ 47'
F
Substitutes
3
A. Traore
↑ 82' 🟨 90+4'
D
10
D. Genreau
↑ 67'
M
14
M. Grimaldi
↑ 57'
F
16
J. Inserra
D
19
J. Reec
🎯 90' ↑ 82'
F
23
K. Jelacic
⚽ 90' ↑ 67'
F
40
J. Warshawsky
G
Wellington Phoenix 3-5-2
Starting XI
40
E. McCarron
G
15
I. Hughes
D
4
M. James
🟨 45+2'
D
18
L. Kelly-Heald
D
27
M. Sheridan
M
20
R. Najjarine
⚽ 29'
M
14
A. Rufer
↓ 64'
M
25
K. Nagasawa
↓ 57'
M
11
C. Armiento
↓ 57'
M
3
C. Piper
F
7
I. Eze
F
Substitutes
30
A. Kelly-Heald
5
F. Conchie
↑ 57'
M
8
P. Retre
↑ 64'
M
24
T. Loke
F
29
L. Brooke-Smith
↑ 57'
F
31
R. Lee
D
37
A. Cassidy
M
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
02.05.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
25.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
0
W
17.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
11.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
2
2
D
05.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
21.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
07.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
2
D
27.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
21.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
3
1
W
14.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
06.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
2
W
01.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
17.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
2
L
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
20.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
1
0
W
13.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
05.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
0
0
D
Last matches: Wellington Phoenix
24.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
0
4
L
18.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
0
2
L
05.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
21.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
14.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Perth Glory
2
0
W
06.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
1
D
01.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
0
1
L
21.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
0
5
L
13.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D
06.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
L
30.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
2
2
D
23.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
4
L
18.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
2
0
W
11.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
2
D
03.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
3
0
W
21.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
3
1
W
14.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
3
L
06.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
1
3
L
29.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
1
W
H2H: Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix
05.04.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
06.02.26
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
W
29.12.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
12.04.25
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
W
14.02.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
1
0
W
24.11.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
L
18.05.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
2
W
12.05.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
0
D
12.04.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
L
19.01.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
10.11.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
01.04.23
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
2
W
03.02.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
W
29.04.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
W
09.02.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
L
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
02.05.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
17.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
05.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
21.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
27.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
14.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
13.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
08.11.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
0
2
L
18.10.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
0
0
D
H2H at home: Melbourne Victory
05.04.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
29.12.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
14.02.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
1
0
W
12.05.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
0
D
10.11.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
03.02.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
W
29.04.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
W
Last matches: Wellington Phoenix
24.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
0
4
L
12.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
0
2
L
05.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
21.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
06.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
1
D
13.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D
23.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
4
L
18.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
2
0
W
03.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
3
0
W
06.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
1
3
L
02.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
1
1
D
18.10.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Perth Glory
2
2
D
H2H away: Wellington Phoenix
05.04.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
W
29.12.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
L
14.02.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
1
0
L
12.05.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
0
D
10.11.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
03.02.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
L
29.04.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
L

Standings

A-League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Newcastle Jets
26 15 3 8 55:39 16 48
W D D L W
2
Adelaide United
26 12 7 7 46:36 10 43
W W D D W
3
Auckland
26 11 9 6 42:29 13 42
D L D D L
4
Melbourne Victory Home
26 11 7 8 44:33 11 40
W D D L W
5
Sydney
26 11 6 9 33:25 8 39
D D W D L
6
Melbourne City
26 10 8 8 33:33 0 38
L W W W W
7
Macarthur
26 9 7 10 37:44 -7 34
W L L W W
8
Wellington Phoenix Away
26 9 6 11 36:48 -12 33
L W L W W
9
Central Coast Mariners
26 8 8 10 35:42 -7 32
L W D L D
10
Perth Glory
26 8 7 11 32:39 -7 31
W D W D D
11
Brisbane Roar
26 6 8 12 27:36 -9 26
L L D D L
12
Western Sydney Wanderers
26 5 6 15 27:43 -16 21
L L L L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)