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03.01.2027 06:00
AAMI Park

Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Melbourne Victory Win 0%
Draw 0%
Perth Glory Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne Victory1.3
Perth Glory1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
D L
2 GF / 3 GA
Perth Glory Perth Glory
L L L W
5 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
2
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
3
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 2 matches
Perth Glory Perth Glory 4 matches
Melbourne Victory Statistic Perth Glory
0 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
1 Losses 3
2 Goals For 5
3 Goals Against 7
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
2 BTTS Yes 3
2 Over 1.5 4
1 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
3.5 Shots On Goal 3.5
9 Total Shots 8
5.5 Corners 2
55.5% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne Victory won 10 times, Perth Glory won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:15 from Melbourne Victory's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1 / Perth Glory 4-4-2
H2H summary: Melbourne Victory wins 10, draws 2, Perth Glory wins 3

Standings

A-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 4:1 3 6
W W
2 2 1 1 0 5:2 3 4
W D
3 2 1 1 0 3:2 1 4
D W
4 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
W D
5 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
6 2 1 0 1 5:6 -1 3
L W
7 2 0 2 0 3:3 0 2
D D
8 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
D L
9 2 0 1 1 2:4 -2 1
L D
10 2 0 1 1 2:4 -2 1
D L
11 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
12 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)