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12.12.2026 08:40
AAMI Park

Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Melbourne Victory Win 0%
Draw 0%
Newcastle Jets Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne Victory2.1
Newcastle Jets1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
D D D L
5 GF / 6 GA
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets
L L L L D
6 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
3.38
4
BTTS Yes
7
2
Over 2.5
7
3.25
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 4 matches
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 8 matches
Melbourne Victory Statistic Newcastle Jets
0 Wins 0
3 Draws 2
1 Losses 6
5 Goals For 10
6 Goals Against 27
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 3.38
4 BTTS Yes 7
4 Over 1.5 8
2 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 5
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 1
3.25 Shots On Goal 3.5
8.25 Total Shots 11.63
4.75 Corners 6
48.5% Ball Possession 54.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne Victory won 5 times, Newcastle Jets won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:25 from Melbourne Victory's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1 / Newcastle Jets 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Melbourne Victory wins 5, draws 5, Newcastle Jets wins 5

Standings

A-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 7:1 6 10
D W W W
2 4 2 1 1 7:4 3 7
W L W D
3 3 2 1 0 5:3 2 7
W D W
4 4 2 1 1 6:6 0 7
W W D L
5 4 2 0 2 8:5 3 6
W W L L
6 4 1 2 1 6:4 2 5
L D W D
7 4 1 2 1 4:4 0 5
L D D W
8 4 1 2 1 6:7 -1 5
D D L W
9 4 0 3 1 5:6 -1 3
D D D L
10 4 0 2 2 4:8 -4 2
L L D D
11 4 0 2 2 4:9 -5 2
L D L D
12 3 0 1 2 3:8 -5 1
D L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)