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--.--.---- --:--
Melbourne Victory
FT
4 - 1
Central Coast Mariners
AAMI Park
Referee: A. King
Melbourne Victory
Match Timeline
Central Coast Mariners
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
S. James Ngor
Central Coast Mariners
🟨
29'
Haine Eames
Central Coast Mariners
🔄
46'
Clarismario ↔ M. Grimaldi
Melbourne Victory
⚽
50'
N. Velupillay · Assist: Roderick
Melbourne Victory
⚽
54'
J. Mata
Melbourne Victory
🔄
62'
N. Blair ↔ O. Lavale
Central Coast Mariners
🔄
62'
C. Donnell ↔ B. Brandtman
Central Coast Mariners
🔄
68'
C. Nduka ↔ N. Vergos
Melbourne Victory
🔄
76'
H. Eames ↔ K. Taniguchi
Central Coast Mariners
🔄
76'
S. Roux ↔ J. Nasso
Central Coast Mariners
🔄
78'
N. Velupillay ↔ K. Jelacic
Melbourne Victory
🔄
90+3'
F. Lino ↔ J. Davidson
Melbourne Victory
🔄
90+3'
J. Mata ↔ R. Piscopo
Melbourne Victory
⚽
90'
N. Vergos · Assist: J. Mata
Melbourne Victory
⚽
90'
J. Davidson · Assist: D. Genreau
Melbourne Victory

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Melbourne Victory Win 0%
Draw 0%
Central Coast Mariners Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne Victory1.53
Central Coast Mariners1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
WWDLW
34 GF / 27 GA
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners
WLDWL
28 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
11
BTTS Yes
13
11
Over 2.5
12
5.76
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 21 matches
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 20 matches
Melbourne Victory Statistic Central Coast Mariners
9 Wins 7
5 Draws 6
7 Losses 7
34 Goals For 28
27 Goals Against 28
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
11 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 4
5.76 Shots On Goal 3
17.14 Total Shots 9.5
6.1 Corners 3.8
50.8% Ball Possession 42.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne Victory won 5 times, Central Coast Mariners won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:15 from Melbourne Victory's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1 / Central Coast Mariners 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Melbourne Victory wins 5, draws 6, Central Coast Mariners wins 4
Stats
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners
Shots on Goal
12
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
13
Blocked Shots
3
8 Corner Kicks 4
5 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 3
57% Ball Possession 43%
34 Total Shots 13
12 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots off Goal 5
13 Blocked Shots 3
22 Shots insidebox 8
12 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
482 Total passes 371
399 Passes accurate 300
4.37 expected_goals 0.71
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Melbourne Victory
Formation
Central Coast Mariners
J. Warshawsky
J. Warshawsky
J. Rawlins
J. Rawlins
S. Esposito
S. Esposito
Roderick
🎯
Roderick
F. Lino
↓
F. Lino
D. Genreau
🎯
D. Genreau
J. Valadon
J. Valadon
Clarismario
↓
Clarismario
J. Mata
⚽ 🎯 ↓
J. Mata
N. Velupillay
⚽ ↓
N. Velupillay
C. Nduka
↓
C. Nduka
A. Redmayne
A. Redmayne
S. Roux
↓
S. Roux
J. Donachie
J. Donachie
B. Tapp
B. Tapp
L. Mauragis
L. Mauragis
H. Eames
↓
H. Eames
S. James Ngor
⚽
S. James Ngor
C. Donnell
↓
C. Donnell
A. McCalmont
A. McCalmont
A. Auglah
A. Auglah
N. Blair
↓
N. Blair
Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
40
J. Warshawsky
G
22
J. Rawlins
D
15
S. Esposito
D
21
Roderick
🎯 50'
D
18
F. Lino
↓ 90+3'
D
10
D. Genreau
🎯 90'
M
8
J. Valadon
M
11
Clarismario
↓ 46'
M
64
J. Mata
⚽ 54' 🎯 90' ↓ 90+3'
M
17
N. Velupillay
⚽ 50' ↓ 78'
M
44
C. Nduka
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
25
J. Duncan
G
2
J. Davidson
⚽ 90' ↑ 90+3'
D
14
M. Grimaldi
↑ 46'
F
34
X. Stella
D
9
N. Vergos
⚽ 90' ↑ 68'
F
7
R. Piscopo
↑ 90+3'
F
23
K. Jelacic
↑ 78'
F
Central Coast Mariners 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
30
A. Redmayne
G
15
S. Roux
↓ 76'
D
2
J. Donachie
D
26
B. Tapp
D
5
L. Mauragis
D
6
H. Eames
↓ 76' 🟨 29'
M
11
S. James Ngor
⚽ 7'
M
48
C. Donnell
↓ 62'
M
8
A. McCalmont
M
72
A. Auglah
M
18
N. Blair
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
40
D. Peraic-Cullen
G
16
H. Steele
M
23
O. Lavale
↑ 62'
F
3
N. Paull
D
17
K. Taniguchi
↑ 76'
F
43
J. Nasso
↑ 76'
D
37
B. Brandtman
↑ 62'
F
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
02.05.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
25.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
0
W
17.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
11.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
2
2
D
05.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
07.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
2
D
27.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
21.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
3
1
W
14.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
06.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
2
W
01.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
17.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
2
L
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
29.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
20.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
1
0
W
13.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
05.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
0
0
D
Last matches: Central Coast Mariners
25.04.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
0
4
L
19.04.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
1
0
W
10.04.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar
2
2
D
07.04.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne City
1
2
L
04.04.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
2
2
D
14.03.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Adelaide United
1
1
D
04.03.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
3
1
W
28.02.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
0
0
D
22.02.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Western Sydney Wanderers
3
2
W
07.02.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
01.02.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
24.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
2
2
D
18.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
1
1
D
10.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
0
3
L
04.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Adelaide United
4
0
W
31.12.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar
1
2
L
21.12.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Wellington Phoenix
1
3
L
12.12.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
1
2
L
06.12.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Sydney
1
2
L
29.11.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne City
0
0
D
H2H: Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners
21.03.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
01.02.26
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory
1
0
L
08.03.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
3
0
W
18.10.24
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory
0
0
D
25.05.24
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory
3
1
L
25.02.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
13.01.24
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
03.12.23
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory
2
2
D
19.03.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
2
0
W
31.12.22
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory
2
1
L
09.03.22
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
19.02.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
1
0
W
05.02.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
2
1
W
02.05.21
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
1
1
D
27.03.21
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
02.05.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
17.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
05.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
27.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
14.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
29.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
13.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
08.11.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
0
2
L
18.10.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
0
0
D
H2H at home: Melbourne Victory
21.03.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
08.03.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
3
0
W
25.02.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
19.03.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
2
0
W
19.02.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
1
0
W
05.02.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
2
1
W
02.05.21
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
1
1
D
Last matches: Central Coast Mariners
25.04.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
0
4
L
19.04.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
1
0
W
07.04.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne City
1
2
L
04.03.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
3
1
W
07.02.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
24.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
2
2
D
10.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
0
3
L
04.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Adelaide United
4
0
W
21.12.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Wellington Phoenix
1
3
L
22.11.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
3
L
07.11.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
1
0
W
25.10.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Sydney
0
2
L
H2H away: Central Coast Mariners
21.03.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
L
08.03.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
3
0
L
25.02.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
W
19.03.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
2
0
L
19.02.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
1
0
L
05.02.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
2
1
L
02.05.21
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
1
1
D

Standings

A-League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Newcastle Jets
26 15 3 8 55:39 16 48
W D D L W
2
Adelaide United
26 12 7 7 46:36 10 43
W W D D W
3
Auckland
26 11 9 6 42:29 13 42
D L D D L
4
Melbourne Victory Home
26 11 7 8 44:33 11 40
W D D L W
5
Sydney
26 11 6 9 33:25 8 39
D D W D L
6
Melbourne City
26 10 8 8 33:33 0 38
L W W W W
7
Macarthur
26 9 7 10 37:44 -7 34
W L L W W
8
Wellington Phoenix
26 9 6 11 36:48 -12 33
L W L W W
9
Central Coast Mariners Away
26 8 8 10 35:42 -7 32
L W D L D
10
Perth Glory
26 8 7 11 32:39 -7 31
W D W D D
11
Brisbane Roar
26 6 8 12 27:36 -9 26
L L D D L
12
Western Sydney Wanderers
26 5 6 15 27:43 -16 21
L L L L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)