Melbourne Victory
Match Timeline
Adelaide United
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Melbourne Victory Win 0%
Draw 0%
Adelaide United Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne Victory1.5
Adelaide United1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne Victory
WWDLW
27 GF / 23 GA
Adelaide United
WLDWL
32 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.78
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
8
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
14
5.56
Shots on Goal
4.94
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Melbourne Victory
18 matches
Adelaide United
18 matches
| Melbourne Victory | Statistic | Adelaide United |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 9 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 27 | Goals For | 32 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.78 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.56 | Shots On Goal | 4.94 |
| 16.89 | Total Shots | 12.72 |
| 6.33 | Corners | 5.28 |
| 51.5% | Ball Possession | 52.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne Victory won 7 times, Adelaide United won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:19 from Melbourne Victory's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1 / Adelaide United 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Melbourne Victory wins 7, draws 5, Adelaide United wins 3
Standings
A-League: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 16 | 48 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Adelaide United
Away
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 3 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 42 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 4 |
Melbourne Victory
Home
|
26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 40 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 8 | 39 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
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