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AUSTRALIA › A-LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Melbourne Victory
FT
1 - 1
Adelaide United
AAMI Park
Referee: A. King
Melbourne Victory
Match Timeline
Adelaide United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
26'
K. Jelacic · Assist: J. Mata
Melbourne Victory
⚽
35'
Y. Dukuly
Adelaide United
🟨
42'
Roderick Miranda
Melbourne Victory
🔄
55'
D. Genreau ↔ X. Stella
Melbourne Victory
🟨
61'
Charles Nduka
Melbourne Victory
🟨
63'
Keegan Jelacic
Melbourne Victory
🔄
66'
K. Jelacic ↔ M. Grimaldi
Melbourne Victory
🔄
66'
C. Nduka ↔ N. Vergos
Melbourne Victory
🔄
66'
J. Mata ↔ Clarismario
Melbourne Victory
🟨
67'
Ethan Alagich
Adelaide United
🔄
71'
J. Muniz ↔ L. Duzel
Adelaide United
🔄
77'
L. Jovanovic ↔ B. Burkitt
Adelaide United
🔄
79'
N. Velupillay ↔ R. Piscopo
Melbourne Victory
🔄
85'
J. Yull ↔ B. Folami
Adelaide United
🔄
86'
Y. Dukuly ↔ P. Madanha
Adelaide United
🟨
89'
Nikos Vergos
Melbourne Victory

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Melbourne Victory Win 0%
Draw 0%
Adelaide United Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne Victory1.5
Adelaide United1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
WWDLW
27 GF / 23 GA
Adelaide United Adelaide United
WLDWL
32 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.78
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
8
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
14
5.56
Shots on Goal
4.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 18 matches
Adelaide United Adelaide United 18 matches
Melbourne Victory Statistic Adelaide United
8 Wins 9
3 Draws 2
7 Losses 7
27 Goals For 32
23 Goals Against 27
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
8 BTTS Yes 13
12 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 2
5.56 Shots On Goal 4.94
16.89 Total Shots 12.72
6.33 Corners 5.28
51.5% Ball Possession 52.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne Victory won 7 times, Adelaide United won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:19 from Melbourne Victory's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1 / Adelaide United 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Melbourne Victory wins 7, draws 5, Adelaide United wins 3
Stats
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United Adelaide United
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 2
7 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 3
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Goal 6
7 Shots off Goal 5
5 Blocked Shots 1
12 Shots insidebox 6
7 Shots outsidebox 6
5 Goalkeeper Saves 6
355 Total passes 446
275 Passes accurate 360
2.15 expected_goals 1.58
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Melbourne Victory
Formation
Adelaide United
J. Warshawsky
J. Warshawsky
J. Rawlins
J. Rawlins
S. Esposito
S. Esposito
Roderick
Roderick
J. Davidson
J. Davidson
D. Genreau
↓
D. Genreau
J. Valadon
J. Valadon
K. Jelacic
⚽ ↓
K. Jelacic
J. Mata
🎯 ↓
J. Mata
N. Velupillay
↓
N. Velupillay
C. Nduka
↓
C. Nduka
J. Smits
J. Smits
J. Barnett
J. Barnett
B. Vriends
B. Vriends
P. Kikianis
P. Kikianis
R. Kitto
R. Kitto
E. Alagich
E. Alagich
Y. Dukuly
⚽ ↓
Y. Dukuly
J. Muniz
↓
J. Muniz
R. White
R. White
J. Yull
↓
J. Yull
L. Jovanovic
↓
L. Jovanovic
Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
40
J. Warshawsky
G
22
J. Rawlins
D
15
S. Esposito
D
21
Roderick
🟨 42'
D
2
J. Davidson
D
10
D. Genreau
↓ 55'
M
8
J. Valadon
M
23
K. Jelacic
⚽ 26' ↓ 66' 🟨 63'
M
64
J. Mata
🎯 26' ↓ 66'
M
17
N. Velupillay
↓ 79'
M
44
C. Nduka
↓ 66' 🟨 61'
F
Substitutes
25
J. Duncan
G
16
J. Inserra
D
14
M. Grimaldi
↑ 66'
F
34
X. Stella
↑ 55'
D
9
N. Vergos
↑ 66' 🟨 89'
F
7
R. Piscopo
↑ 79'
F
11
Clarismario
↑ 66'
F
Adelaide United 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
22
J. Smits
G
14
J. Barnett
D
3
B. Vriends
D
4
P. Kikianis
D
7
R. Kitto
D
55
E. Alagich
🟨 67'
M
19
Y. Dukuly
⚽ 35' ↓ 86'
M
10
J. Muniz
↓ 71'
M
44
R. White
12
J. Yull
↓ 85'
M
9
L. Jovanovic
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
40
E. Cox
G
17
B. Folami
↑ 85'
F
23
L. Duzel
↑ 71'
M
36
P. Madanha
↑ 86'
F
52
S. Phillis
D
65
J. Garuccio
M
35
B. Burkitt
↑ 77'
F
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
02.05.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
25.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
0
W
17.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
11.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
2
2
D
05.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
21.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
07.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
2
D
21.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
3
1
W
14.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
06.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
2
W
01.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
17.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
2
L
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
29.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
20.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
1
0
W
13.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
05.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
0
0
D
Last matches: Adelaide United
14.07.26
Fri
Adelaide United
The Cove
5
0
W
15.05.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
0
3
L
09.05.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
1
D
26.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
2
1
W
19.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Macarthur
3
1
W
11.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
1
1
D
03.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
1
D
20.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
4
2
W
14.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
1
1
D
06.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
20.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
4
0
W
14.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Sydney
2
1
W
08.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
2
3
L
30.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Macarthur
1
1
D
24.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
3
2
W
17.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
2
1
W
11.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
2
2
D
04.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
0
4
L
27.12.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
3
2
W
20.12.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
1
0
W
H2H: Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United
27.02.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
17.01.26
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
2
1
L
13.12.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
29.03.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
5
3
W
18.01.25
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
3
2
L
21.09.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
0
W
09.03.24
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
2
W
30.12.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
0
W
04.11.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
26.02.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
14.01.23
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
11.11.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
3
0
L
02.04.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
0
1
W
08.01.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
05.01.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
2
W
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
02.05.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
17.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
05.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
21.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
14.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
29.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
13.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
08.11.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
0
2
L
18.10.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
0
0
D
H2H at home: Melbourne Victory
27.02.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
13.12.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
29.03.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
5
3
W
21.09.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
0
W
30.12.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
0
W
04.11.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
26.02.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
08.01.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
Last matches: Adelaide United
14.07.26
Fri
Adelaide United
The Cove
5
0
W
09.05.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
1
D
26.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
2
1
W
11.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
1
1
D
20.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
4
2
W
14.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
1
1
D
14.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Sydney
2
1
W
24.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
3
2
W
11.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
2
2
D
20.12.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
1
0
W
13.12.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
2
L
29.11.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
1
2
L
01.11.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
2
L
27.10.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Macarthur
1
2
L
H2H away: Adelaide United
27.02.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
13.12.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
L
29.03.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
5
3
L
21.09.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
0
L
30.12.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
0
L
04.11.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
26.02.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
08.01.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D

Standings

A-League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Newcastle Jets
26 15 3 8 55:39 16 48
W D D L W
2
Adelaide United Away
26 12 7 7 46:36 10 43
W W D D W
3
Auckland
26 11 9 6 42:29 13 42
D L D D L
4
Melbourne Victory Home
26 11 7 8 44:33 11 40
W D D L W
5
Sydney
26 11 6 9 33:25 8 39
D D W D L
6
Melbourne City
26 10 8 8 33:33 0 38
L W W W W
7
Macarthur
26 9 7 10 37:44 -7 34
W L L W W
8
Wellington Phoenix
26 9 6 11 36:48 -12 33
L W L W W
9
Central Coast Mariners
26 8 8 10 35:42 -7 32
L W D L D
10
Perth Glory
26 8 7 11 32:39 -7 31
W D W D D
11
Brisbane Roar
26 6 8 12 27:36 -9 26
L L D D L
12
Western Sydney Wanderers
26 5 6 15 27:43 -16 21
L L L L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)