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AUSTRALIA › A-LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Melbourne Victory
FT
2 - 1
Adelaide United
AAMI Park
Referee: S. Evans
Melbourne Victory
Match Timeline
Adelaide United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
9'
B. Vriends ↔ J. Barnett
Adelaide United
⚽
24'
N. Vergos · Assist: J. Valadon
Melbourne Victory
⚽
46'
N. Vergos · Assist: J. Mata
Melbourne Victory
🟨
48'
Nikos Vergos
Melbourne Victory
🔄
59'
J. Muniz ↔ J. Yull
Adelaide United
🔄
59'
Y. Dukuly ↔ B. Folami
Adelaide United
🔄
59'
L. Jovanovic ↔ Anselmo
Adelaide United
🔄
66'
N. Velupillay ↔ M. Grimaldi
Melbourne Victory
🟨
73'
Luke Duzel
Adelaide United
🔄
78'
L. Duzel ↔ R. White
Adelaide United
🔄
79'
N. Vergos ↔ J. Reec
Melbourne Victory
🔄
79'
J. Mata ↔ K. Jelacic
Melbourne Victory
🔄
79'
Clarismario ↔ O. Dragicevic
Melbourne Victory
⚽
86'
D. Pierias · Assist: B. Folami
Adelaide United
🔄
90+4'
L. D'Arrigo ↔ L. Jackson
Melbourne Victory

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Melbourne Victory Win 0%
Draw 0%
Adelaide United Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne Victory0.86
Adelaide United1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
WWDLW
4 GF / 11 GA
Adelaide United Adelaide United
WLDWL
11 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.57
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
1
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
5
4.29
Shots on Goal
5.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 7 matches
Adelaide United Adelaide United 7 matches
Melbourne Victory Statistic Adelaide United
1 Wins 3
2 Draws 0
4 Losses 4
4 Goals For 11
11 Goals Against 9
0.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
1 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 6
2 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 1
4.29 Shots On Goal 5.14
15.43 Total Shots 12.43
5 Corners 5.86
51% Ball Possession 51.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne Victory won 7 times, Adelaide United won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:19 from Melbourne Victory's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1 / Adelaide United 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Melbourne Victory wins 7, draws 5, Adelaide United wins 3
Stats
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United Adelaide United
Shots on Goal
10
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
4
5 Corner Kicks 5
11 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 0
42% Ball Possession 58%
24 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Goal 2
8 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 4
16 Shots insidebox 7
8 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 8
385 Total passes 541
310 Passes accurate 459
2.76 expected_goals 0.99
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Melbourne Victory
Formation
Adelaide United
J. Duncan
J. Duncan
J. Rawlins
J. Rawlins
S. Esposito
S. Esposito
Roderick
Roderick
J. Davidson
J. Davidson
L. D'Arrigo
↓
L. D'Arrigo
J. Valadon
🎯
J. Valadon
N. Velupillay
↓
N. Velupillay
J. Mata
🎯 ↓
J. Mata
Clarismario
↓
Clarismario
N. Vergos
⚽ 2 ↓
N. Vergos
J. Smits
J. Smits
D. Pierias
⚽
D. Pierias
B. Vriends
↓
B. Vriends
P. Kikianis
P. Kikianis
R. Kitto
R. Kitto
Y. Dukuly
↓
Y. Dukuly
E. Alagich
E. Alagich
L. Duzel
↓
L. Duzel
C. Goodwin
C. Goodwin
J. Muniz
↓
J. Muniz
L. Jovanovic
↓
L. Jovanovic
Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
J. Duncan
G
22
J. Rawlins
D
15
S. Esposito
D
21
Roderick
D
2
J. Davidson
D
27
L. D'Arrigo
↓ 90+4'
M
8
J. Valadon
🎯 24'
M
17
N. Velupillay
↓ 66'
M
64
J. Mata
🎯 46' ↓ 79'
M
11
Clarismario
↓ 79'
M
9
N. Vergos
⚽ 24' ⚽ 46' ↓ 79' 🟨 48'
F
Substitutes
4
L. Jackson
↑ 90+4'
D
14
M. Grimaldi
↑ 66'
F
16
J. Inserra
D
19
J. Reec
↑ 79'
F
23
K. Jelacic
↑ 79'
F
29
O. Dragicevic
↑ 79'
M
40
J. Warshawsky
G
Adelaide United 4-4-1-1
Starting XI
22
J. Smits
G
20
D. Pierias
⚽ 86'
D
3
B. Vriends
↓ 9'
D
4
P. Kikianis
D
7
R. Kitto
D
19
Y. Dukuly
↓ 59'
M
55
E. Alagich
M
23
L. Duzel
↓ 78' 🟨 73'
M
11
C. Goodwin
M
10
J. Muniz
↓ 59'
F
9
L. Jovanovic
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
40
E. Cox
G
12
J. Yull
↑ 59'
M
17
B. Folami
🎯 86' ↑ 59'
F
14
J. Barnett
↑ 9'
M
36
P. Madanha
F
44
R. White
↑ 78'
87
Anselmo
↑ 59'
M
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
02.05.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
25.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
0
W
17.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
11.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
2
2
D
05.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
21.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
07.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
2
D
27.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
21.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
3
1
W
14.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
06.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
2
W
01.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
17.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
2
L
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
29.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
20.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
1
0
W
05.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
0
0
D
Last matches: Adelaide United
20.07.26
Fri
Adelaide United
Playford City Patriots
2
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Adelaide United
The Cove
5
0
W
15.05.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
0
3
L
09.05.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
1
D
26.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
2
1
W
19.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Macarthur
3
1
W
11.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
1
1
D
03.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
1
D
20.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
4
2
W
14.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
1
1
D
06.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
27.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
20.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
4
0
W
14.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Sydney
2
1
W
08.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
2
3
L
30.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Macarthur
1
1
D
24.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
3
2
W
17.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
2
1
W
11.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
2
2
D
04.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
0
4
L
H2H: Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United
27.02.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
17.01.26
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
2
1
L
13.12.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
29.03.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
5
3
W
18.01.25
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
3
2
L
21.09.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
0
W
09.03.24
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
2
W
30.12.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
0
W
04.11.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
26.02.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
14.01.23
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
11.11.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
3
0
L
02.04.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
0
1
W
08.01.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
05.01.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
2
W
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
02.05.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
17.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
05.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
21.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
27.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
14.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
29.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
08.11.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
0
2
L
18.10.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
0
0
D
H2H at home: Melbourne Victory
27.02.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
13.12.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
29.03.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
5
3
W
21.09.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
0
W
30.12.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
0
W
04.11.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
26.02.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
08.01.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
Last matches: Adelaide United
20.07.26
Fri
Adelaide United
Playford City Patriots
2
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Adelaide United
The Cove
5
0
W
09.05.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
1
D
26.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
2
1
W
11.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
1
1
D
20.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
4
2
W
14.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
1
1
D
27.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
14.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Sydney
2
1
W
24.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
3
2
W
11.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
2
2
D
20.12.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
1
0
W
29.11.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
1
2
L
01.11.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
2
L
27.10.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Macarthur
1
2
L
H2H away: Adelaide United
27.02.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
13.12.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
L
29.03.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
5
3
L
21.09.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
0
L
30.12.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
0
L
04.11.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
26.02.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
08.01.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D

Standings

A-League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Newcastle Jets
26 15 3 8 55:39 16 48
W D D L W
2
Adelaide United Away
26 12 7 7 46:36 10 43
W W D D W
3
Auckland
26 11 9 6 42:29 13 42
D L D D L
4
Melbourne Victory Home
26 11 7 8 44:33 11 40
W D D L W
5
Sydney
26 11 6 9 33:25 8 39
D D W D L
6
Melbourne City
26 10 8 8 33:33 0 38
L W W W W
7
Macarthur
26 9 7 10 37:44 -7 34
W L L W W
8
Wellington Phoenix
26 9 6 11 36:48 -12 33
L W L W W
9
Central Coast Mariners
26 8 8 10 35:42 -7 32
L W D L D
10
Perth Glory
26 8 7 11 32:39 -7 31
W D W D D
11
Brisbane Roar
26 6 8 12 27:36 -9 26
L L D D L
12
Western Sydney Wanderers
26 5 6 15 27:43 -16 21
L L L L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)