AUSTRALIA › A-LEAGUE
13.12.2025 08:35
AAMI Park
Referee: S. Evans
Melbourne Victory
Match Timeline
Adelaide United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
9'
B. Vriends ↔ J. Barnett
Adelaide United
⚽
24'
N. Vergos · Assist: J. Valadon
Melbourne Victory
⚽
46'
N. Vergos · Assist: J. Mata
Melbourne Victory
🟨
48'
Nikos Vergos
Melbourne Victory
🔄
59'
J. Muniz ↔ J. Yull
Adelaide United
🔄
59'
Y. Dukuly ↔ B. Folami
Adelaide United
🔄
59'
L. Jovanovic ↔ Anselmo
Adelaide United
🔄
66'
N. Velupillay ↔ M. Grimaldi
Melbourne Victory
🟨
73'
Luke Duzel
Adelaide United
🔄
78'
L. Duzel ↔ R. White
Adelaide United
🔄
79'
N. Vergos ↔ J. Reec
Melbourne Victory
🔄
79'
J. Mata ↔ K. Jelacic
Melbourne Victory
🔄
79'
Clarismario ↔ O. Dragicevic
Melbourne Victory
⚽
86'
D. Pierias · Assist: B. Folami
Adelaide United
🔄
90+4'
L. D'Arrigo ↔ L. Jackson
Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Melbourne Victory Win 0%
Draw 0%
Adelaide United Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne Victory0.86
Adelaide United1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
WWDLW
4 GF / 11 GA
Adelaide United Adelaide United
WLDWL
11 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.57
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
1
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
5
4.29
Shots on Goal
5.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 7 matches
Adelaide United Adelaide United 7 matches
Melbourne Victory Statistic Adelaide United
1 Wins 3
2 Draws 0
4 Losses 4
4 Goals For 11
11 Goals Against 9
0.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
1 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 6
2 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 1
4.29 Shots On Goal 5.14
15.43 Total Shots 12.43
5 Corners 5.86
51% Ball Possession 51.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne Victory won 7 times, Adelaide United won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:19 from Melbourne Victory's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1 / Adelaide United 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Melbourne Victory wins 7, draws 5, Adelaide United wins 3

Standings

A-League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 3 8 55:39 16 48
W D D L W
2 26 12 7 7 46:36 10 43
W W D D W
3 26 11 9 6 42:29 13 42
D L D D L
4 26 11 7 8 44:33 11 40
W D D L W
5 26 11 6 9 33:25 8 39
D D W D L
6 26 10 8 8 33:33 0 38
L W W W W
7 26 9 7 10 37:44 -7 34
W L L W W
8 26 9 6 11 36:48 -12 33
L W L W W
9 26 8 8 10 35:42 -7 32
L W D L D
10 26 8 7 11 32:39 -7 31
W D W D D
11 26 6 8 12 27:36 -9 26
L L D D L
12 26 5 6 15 27:43 -16 21
L L L L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)