Melbourne City
Match Timeline
Adelaide United
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
88.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
76.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
54.5%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Melbourne City Win 42%
Draw 11.2%
Adelaide United Win 46.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne City1.33
Adelaide United1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne City
WWDLW
32 GF / 31 GA
Adelaide United
WLDWL
44 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
12
BTTS Yes
20
11
Over 2.5
16
4.32
Shots on Goal
5.72
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Melbourne City
25 matches
Adelaide United
25 matches
| Melbourne City | Statistic | Adelaide United |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 11 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 32 | Goals For | 44 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.32 | Shots On Goal | 5.72 |
| 13.12 | Total Shots | 14.44 |
| 5.76 | Corners | 5.6 |
| 55.5% | Ball Possession | 52.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne City won 3 times, Adelaide United won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:30 from Melbourne City's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.8%)
Predicted formations: Melbourne City 4-1-4-1 / Adelaide United 4-3-3
Missing players: Melbourne City 3, Adelaide United 2
H2H summary: Melbourne City wins 3, draws 5, Adelaide United wins 7
Stats
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
6
6
Blocked Shots
2
2
Blocked Shots
6
6
Lineups
Melbourne City
Formation
Adelaide United
P. Beach
H. Shillington
G. Ferreyra
S. Souprayen
A. Behich
Z. Schreiber
M. Younis
A. Kuen
E. Durakovic
E. Rashani
M. Caputo
J. Smits
J. Barnett
P. Kikianis
B. Vriends
Y. Dukuly
R. White
L. Duzel
E. Alagich
H. Crawford
Anselmo
J. Yull
Melbourne City
4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
P. Beach
G
36
H. Shillington
D
🎯 17'
22
G. Ferreyra
D
🟨 90+6'
26
S. Souprayen
D
↓ 40'
16
A. Behich
D
🟨 90+6'
19
Z. Schreiber
M
↓ 63'
28
M. Younis
M
⚽ 17'
30
A. Kuen
M
↓ 75'
39
E. Durakovic
M
↓ 63'
11
E. Rashani
M
17
M. Caputo
F
↓ 75'
🟨 70'
Substitutes
40
J. Nieuwenhuizen
G
35
M. Memeti
F
↑ 75'
44
B. Kutleshi
D
↑ 63'
🟨 85'
7
M. Leckie
F
↑ 63'
10
T. Kanamori
F
2
H. Delbridge
D
↑ 40'
🟨 89'
41
L. Wong
M
↑ 75'
Adelaide United
4-3-3
Starting XI
22
J. Smits
G
14
J. Barnett
D
🟨 90+2'
4
P. Kikianis
D
3
B. Vriends
D
19
Y. Dukuly
D
↓ 63'
🟨 -5'
44
R. White
🎯 90'
23
L. Duzel
M
↓ 63'
55
E. Alagich
M
58
H. Crawford
F
↓ 89'
87
Anselmo
F
↓ 78'
🟨 -5'
12
J. Yull
F
Substitutes
40
E. Cox
G
10
J. Muniz
M
↑ 63'
42
A. Ayoubi
M
↑ 89'
9
L. Jovanovic
F
⚽ 79'
⚽ 90'
↑ 63'
🟨 90+9'
🟨 90+6'
🟥 90+9'
62
F. Talladira
M
52
S. Phillis
D
11
C. Goodwin
F
🎯 79'
↑ 78'
Last matches: Melbourne City
02.05.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Auckland
1
1
D
18.04.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Brisbane Roar
3
2
W
12.04.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix
2
0
W
07.04.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Central Coast Mariners
2
1
W
04.04.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Western Sydney Wanderers
3
0
W
22.03.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Perth Glory
1
1
D
17.03.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Sydney
1
0
W
28.02.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Auckland
0
3
L
21.02.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
1
3
L
07.02.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Western Sydney Wanderers
1
1
D
30.01.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix
2
2
D
24.01.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Macarthur
2
6
L
16.01.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Auckland
2
1
W
11.01.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Newcastle Jets
0
1
L
06.01.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Brisbane Roar
1
0
W
03.01.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Sydney
0
0
D
28.12.25
A-L
Melbourne City
Perth Glory
1
3
L
23.12.25
A-L
Melbourne City
Macarthur
1
1
D
20.12.25
A-L
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
0
1
L
06.12.25
A-L
Melbourne City
Newcastle Jets
1
0
W
Last matches: Adelaide United
15.05.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
0
3
L
09.05.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
1
D
19.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Macarthur
3
1
W
11.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
1
1
D
03.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
1
D
20.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
4
2
W
14.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
1
1
D
06.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
27.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
20.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
4
0
W
14.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Sydney
2
1
W
08.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
2
3
L
30.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Macarthur
1
1
D
24.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
3
2
W
17.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
2
1
W
11.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
2
2
D
04.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
0
4
L
27.12.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
3
2
W
20.12.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
1
0
W
13.12.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
2
L
H2H: Melbourne City vs Adelaide United
26.04.26
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
1
2
L
21.11.25
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
4
1
L
26.04.25
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
0
0
D
07.02.25
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
1
0
L
25.01.24
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
1
0
W
29.10.23
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
6
0
L
03.03.23
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
4
2
L
29.01.23
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
3
3
D
22.05.22
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
2
1
W
18.05.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
0
0
D
15.02.22
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
1
2
L
15.01.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
2
2
D
27.11.21
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
2
2
D
13.05.21
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
4
1
W
03.01.21
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
2
0
L
Last matches: Melbourne City
12.04.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix
2
0
W
07.04.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Central Coast Mariners
2
1
W
04.04.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Western Sydney Wanderers
3
0
W
21.02.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
1
3
L
16.01.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Auckland
2
1
W
11.01.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Newcastle Jets
0
1
L
06.01.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Brisbane Roar
1
0
W
03.01.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Sydney
0
0
D
28.12.25
A-L
Melbourne City
Perth Glory
1
3
L
23.12.25
A-L
Melbourne City
Macarthur
1
1
D
20.12.25
A-L
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
0
1
L
25.10.25
A-L
Melbourne City
Perth Glory
4
0
W
H2H at home: Melbourne City
26.04.26
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
1
2
L
26.04.25
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
0
0
D
25.01.24
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
1
0
W
29.01.23
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
3
3
D
22.05.22
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
2
1
W
15.02.22
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
1
2
L
13.05.21
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
4
1
W
Last matches: Adelaide United
09.05.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
1
D
11.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
1
1
D
20.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
4
2
W
14.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
1
1
D
27.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
14.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Sydney
2
1
W
24.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
3
2
W
11.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
2
2
D
20.12.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
1
0
W
13.12.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
2
L
29.11.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
1
2
L
01.11.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
2
L
27.10.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Macarthur
1
2
L
H2H away: Adelaide United
26.04.26
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
1
2
W
26.04.25
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
0
0
D
25.01.24
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
1
0
L
29.01.23
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
3
3
D
22.05.22
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
2
1
L
15.02.22
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
1
2
W
13.05.21
H2H
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
4
1
L
Standings
A-League: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 16 | 48 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Adelaide United
Away
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 3 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 42 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 40 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 8 | 39 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 |
Melbourne City
Home
|
26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Missing Players
Melbourne City
3 missing
-
A. Lopane
OUT
Missing Fixture
Muscle Injury
-
R. Teague
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive
-
D. Arzani
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive
Adelaide United
2 missing
-
D. Pierias
OUT
Missing Fixture
Knee Injury
-
A. Riak
OUT
Missing Fixture
Injury