AUSTRALIA VICTORIA NPL
15.08.2026 05:00
Casey Fields
Melbourne City II
Match Timeline
South Melbourne
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
30'
B. Juach
South Melbourne
34'
B. Juach
South Melbourne
89'
A. Skapoulas
South Melbourne

Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.2%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Melbourne City II Win 28.5%
Draw 5.3%
South Melbourne Win 66.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne City II1.63
South Melbourne1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne City II Melbourne City II
WWDLW
39 GF / 27 GA
South Melbourne South Melbourne
WLDWL
35 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
12
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Melbourne City II Melbourne City II 22 matches
South Melbourne South Melbourne 23 matches
Melbourne City II Statistic South Melbourne
8 Wins 12
6 Draws 2
8 Losses 9
39 Goals For 35
27 Goals Against 33
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
12 BTTS Yes 9
18 Over 1.5 19
11 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors South Melbourne. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward South Melbourne having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. South Melbourne look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Melbourne City II Analysis

Melbourne City II approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 30 points from 22 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 39:27, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

South Melbourne Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 38 points from 23 games, South Melbourne bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 12 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a 35:33 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne City II won 1 times, South Melbourne won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Melbourne City II's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
H2H summary: Melbourne City II wins 1, draws 0, South Melbourne wins 1

Standings

Victoria NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 16 6 4 56:24 32 54
W L W W D
2 26 15 6 5 41:19 22 51
L D D W W
3 26 15 4 7 51:36 15 49
L L W W W
4 26 15 2 9 65:34 31 47
W W W W L
5 26 13 2 11 39:36 3 41
L W L L W
6 26 11 7 8 42:34 8 40
L W W L L
7 26 9 11 6 35:34 1 38
W L W D D
8 26 10 7 9 35:31 4 37
W D W W D
9 26 9 7 10 36:43 -7 34
W W D L W
10 26 8 6 12 42:42 0 30
L L L L L
11 26 7 7 12 28:42 -14 28
D L L D W
12 26 6 6 14 27:51 -24 24
L W D D L
13 26 4 6 16 23:52 -29 18
W L L D D
14 26 4 3 19 23:65 -42 15
L L L L L