AUSTRALIA VICTORIA NPL
--.--.---- --:--
Melbourne City II
Match Timeline
South Melbourne
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
30'
B. Juach
South Melbourne
34'
B. Juach
South Melbourne
89'
A. Skapoulas
South Melbourne

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.48
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.49
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.2%
1.48
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
1.49
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.24
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Melbourne City II Win 28.5%
Draw 5.3%
South Melbourne Win 66.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne City II1.63
South Melbourne1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne City II Melbourne City II
WWDLW
39 GF / 27 GA
South Melbourne South Melbourne
WLDWL
35 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
12
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Melbourne City II Melbourne City II 22 matches
South Melbourne South Melbourne 23 matches
Melbourne City II Statistic South Melbourne
8 Wins 12
6 Draws 2
8 Losses 9
39 Goals For 35
27 Goals Against 33
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
12 BTTS Yes 9
18 Over 1.5 19
11 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors South Melbourne. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward South Melbourne having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. South Melbourne look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Melbourne City II Analysis

Melbourne City II approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 30 points from 22 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 39:27, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

South Melbourne Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 38 points from 23 games, South Melbourne bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 12 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a 35:33 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne City II won 1 times, South Melbourne won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Melbourne City II's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
H2H summary: Melbourne City II wins 1, draws 0, South Melbourne wins 0
Last matches: Melbourne City II
19.08.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Preston Lions
0
4
L
01.08.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Hume City
0
1
L
25.07.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Avondale
2
3
L
18.07.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Sunshine Georgies
0
1
L
11.07.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Heidelberg United
2
2
D
04.07.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Altona Magic
3
0
W
26.06.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
St. Albans Saints
2
0
W
19.06.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Oakleigh Cannons
1
3
L
30.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Dandenong City
0
1
L
24.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Dandenong Thunder
2
0
W
15.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Green Gully
3
1
W
08.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Bentleigh Greens
7
0
W
01.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
South Melbourne
2
1
W
26.04.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Hume City
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Avondale
1
3
L
12.04.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Sunshine Georgies
1
1
D
27.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Heidelberg United
1
1
D
22.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Altona Magic
1
1
D
14.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
St. Albans Saints
5
0
W
08.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Oakleigh Cannons
1
1
D
Last matches: South Melbourne
02.08.26
Vic
South Melbourne
St. Albans Saints
2
0
W
24.07.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Oakleigh Cannons
2
1
W
18.07.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Preston Lions
0
0
D
10.07.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Dandenong City
2
0
W
05.07.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Dandenong Thunder
1
0
W
28.06.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Green Gully
1
2
L
19.06.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Bentleigh Greens
5
1
W
07.06.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Altona Magic
2
3
L
30.05.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Hume City
1
1
D
25.05.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Avondale
0
4
L
18.05.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Sunshine Georgies
0
4
L
08.05.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Heidelberg United
0
4
L
01.05.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Melbourne City II
1
2
L
24.04.26
Vic
South Melbourne
St. Albans Saints
4
0
W
19.04.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Oakleigh Cannons
0
3
L
11.04.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Preston Lions
3
0
W
31.03.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Dandenong City
4
2
W
21.03.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Dandenong Thunder
0
3
L
13.03.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Green Gully
1
0
W
07.03.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Bentleigh Greens
1
0
W
H2H: Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne
01.05.26
H2H
South Melbourne
Melbourne City II
1
2
W
Last matches: Melbourne City II
25.07.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Avondale
2
3
L
11.07.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Heidelberg United
2
2
D
30.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Dandenong City
0
1
L
24.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Dandenong Thunder
2
0
W
26.04.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Hume City
0
1
L
12.04.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Sunshine Georgies
1
1
D
22.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Altona Magic
1
1
D
14.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
St. Albans Saints
5
0
W
08.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Oakleigh Cannons
1
1
D
01.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Preston Lions
0
3
L
14.09.25
Vic
Melbourne City II
Brunswick City
2
2
D
06.09.25
Vic
Melbourne City II
Melbourne Srbija
4
3
W
17.08.25
Vic
Melbourne City II
Kingston City
6
0
W
26.07.25
Vic
Melbourne City II
Sunshine Georgies
1
2
L
12.07.25
Vic
Melbourne City II
Northcote City
3
1
W
05.07.25
Vic
Melbourne City II
Western United II
2
3
L
18.05.25
Vic
Melbourne City II
Manningham United Blues
1
1
D
11.05.25
Vic
Melbourne City II
Brunswick City
4
0
W
27.04.25
Vic
Melbourne City II
Bulleen Lions
1
1
D
06.04.25
Vic
Melbourne City II
Langwarrin
3
1
W
Last matches: South Melbourne
24.07.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Oakleigh Cannons
2
1
W
10.07.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Dandenong City
2
0
W
19.06.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Bentleigh Greens
5
1
W
30.05.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Hume City
1
1
D
08.05.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Heidelberg United
0
4
L
24.04.26
Vic
South Melbourne
St. Albans Saints
4
0
W
11.04.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Preston Lions
3
0
W
21.03.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Dandenong Thunder
0
3
L
13.03.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Green Gully
1
0
W
28.02.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Altona Magic
2
1
W
14.02.26
Vic
South Melbourne
Avondale
2
0
W
14.11.25
Aus
South Melbourne
Moreton City Excelsior
3
3
D
01.11.25
Aus
South Melbourne
Sydney Olympic
2
1
W
26.10.25
Aus
South Melbourne
Broadmeadow Magic
1
0
W
23.08.25
Vic
South Melbourne
Oakleigh Cannons
0
3
L
26.07.25
Vic
South Melbourne
Heidelberg United
1
1
D
04.07.25
Vic
South Melbourne
Dandenong City
3
3
D
06.06.25
Vic
South Melbourne
St. Albans Saints
2
2
D
23.05.25
Vic
South Melbourne
Melbourne Knights
2
0
W
03.05.25
Vic
South Melbourne
Avondale
0
4
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.48
Draw 5.18
Home 4.44
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.25 1.35
Over 2.5 1.49
Over 2.75 1.61
Over 3.0 1.80
Over 3.25 2.04
Over 3.5 2.26
Over 3.75 2.59
Over 4.0 3.10
Under 2.25 2.99
Under 2.5 2.49
Under 2.75 2.25
Under 3.0 1.99
Under 3.25 1.74
Under 3.5 1.58
Under 3.75 1.45
Under 4.0 1.33
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.45
Draw 4.20
Home 5.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.91
Draw 2.50
Home 5.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.80
Draw 2.88
Home 4.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.53
Over 3.5 2.25
Over 4.5 4.00
Over 5.5 7.00
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 17.00
Under 1.5 4.50
Under 2.5 2.38
Under 3.5 1.57
Under 4.5 1.22
Under 5.5 1.08
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.42
Draw 4.95
Home 5.11
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.85
Draw 2.72
Home 4.93
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.77
Draw 2.91
Home 4.96
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.09
Over 1.75 1.11
Over 2.0 1.14
Over 2.25 1.28
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 2.75 1.53
Over 3.0 1.69
Over 3.25 1.97
Over 3.5 2.21
Over 3.75 2.52
Over 4.0 3.08
Over 4.25 3.42
Over 4.5 3.76
Over 4.75 4.70
Over 5.0 6.55
Over 5.25 6.94
Over 5.5 7.30
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.0 11.00
Under 1.5 5.35
Under 1.75 4.89
Under 2.0 4.40
Under 2.25 3.08
Under 2.5 2.49
Under 2.75 2.21
Under 3.0 1.95
Under 3.25 1.73
Under 3.5 1.58
Under 3.75 1.41
Under 4.0 1.28
Under 4.25 1.23
Under 4.5 1.19
Under 4.75 1.12
Under 5.0 1.05
Under 5.25 1.04
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.66
Draw 3.80
Home 3.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.14
Draw 2.55
Home 3.90
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 3.5 2.06
Over 4.5 3.30
Under 2.5 2.50
Under 3.5 1.62
Under 4.5 1.25

Standings

Victoria NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 15 6 3 49:21 28 51
W D L W W
2 24 15 4 5 40:18 22 49
W W D W D
3 24 14 4 6 48:32 16 46
W W L L L
4 24 13 2 9 61:34 27 41
L W W D L
5 24 13 2 9 38:33 5 41
W W W D W
6 24 8 11 5 32:31 1 35
W D D W D
7 24 9 7 8 38:33 5 34
L L D D D
8 24 9 6 9 32:29 3 33
W W D L L
9 24 8 6 10 39:34 5 30
L L L L L
10 24 7 7 10 28:42 -14 28
D L W D D
11 24 7 6 11 27:39 -12 27
L D W D W
12 24 5 6 13 21:47 -26 21
D D L W L
13 24 3 6 15 20:49 -29 15
L D D W L
14 24 4 3 17 23:54 -31 15
L L L L W