AUSTRALIA VICTORIA NPL
29.08.2026 05:00
Casey Fields
Melbourne City II
Match Timeline
Green Gully
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
Y. Payendeh
Melbourne City II
86'
Green Gully
Green Gully
90+4'
Green Gully
Green Gully

Melbourne City II vs Green Gully Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.6%
Odds 1.60
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.38
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.6%
1.60
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.38
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.19
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Melbourne City II Win 45.2%
Draw 23.4%
Green Gully Win 31.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne City II1.8
Green Gully1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne City II Melbourne City II
WWDLW
41 GF / 40 GA
Green Gully Green Gully
WLDWL
21 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
0.84
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
2.04
13
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Melbourne City II Melbourne City II 25 matches
Green Gully Green Gully 25 matches
Melbourne City II Statistic Green Gully
8 Wins 3
6 Draws 6
11 Losses 16
41 Goals For 21
40 Goals Against 51
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 0.84
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 2.04
13 BTTS Yes 13
21 Over 1.5 20
14 Over 2.5 15
10 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Melbourne City II's more proactive style and Green Gully's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Green Gully. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Green Gully having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Melbourne City II have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Melbourne City II arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 30 points compared to Green Gully in 13 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Melbourne City II Analysis

Melbourne City II sit 10 with 30 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 39:34 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Green Gully Analysis

So far, Green Gully have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 15 points from 25 matches. The record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 16 defeats, together with a 21:51 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne City II won 1 times, Green Gully won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Melbourne City II's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.6%)
H2H summary: Melbourne City II wins 1, draws 0, Green Gully wins 1

Standings

Victoria NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 16 6 4 56:24 32 54
W L W W D
2 26 15 6 5 41:19 22 51
L D D W W
3 26 15 4 7 51:36 15 49
L L W W W
4 26 15 2 9 65:34 31 47
W W W W L
5 26 13 2 11 39:36 3 41
L W L L W
6 26 11 7 8 42:34 8 40
L W W L L
7 26 9 11 6 35:34 1 38
W L W D D
8 26 10 7 9 35:31 4 37
W D W W D
9 26 9 7 10 36:43 -7 34
W W D L W
10 26 8 6 12 42:42 0 30
L L L L L
11 26 7 7 12 28:42 -14 28
D L L D W
12 26 6 6 14 27:51 -24 24
L W D D L
13 26 4 6 16 23:52 -29 18
W L L D D
14 26 4 3 19 23:65 -42 15
L L L L L