KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 72.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 80%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 73.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
72.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
80%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
73.7%
-
Probability Distribution
MCF Win 23%
Draw 4.4%
Talanta Win 72.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
MCF0.72
Talanta1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
MCF MCF
WWDLW
17 GF / 31 GA
Talanta Talanta
WLDWL
28 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.63
Average Goals Scored
1
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
8
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MCF MCF 27 matches
Talanta Talanta 28 matches
MCF Statistic Talanta
6 Wins 11
6 Draws 7
15 Losses 10
17 Goals For 28
31 Goals Against 24
0.63 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
8 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 4
9 Clean Sheets 12
14 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Talanta's more proactive style and MCF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Talanta having the stronger overall control. Talanta carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 40 points while MCF sit 18 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Talanta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Talanta arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

MCF Analysis

With 21 points from 28 games and a place of 18, MCF still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 16 defeats with a 17:30 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Talanta Analysis

Talanta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 40 points from 28 matches. Their record of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 28:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, MCF won 0 times, Talanta won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from MCF's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
H2H summary: MCF wins 0, draws 1, Talanta wins 1