Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
84.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
40.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
MCF
Nzoia Sugar
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
MCF
31 matches
Nzoia Sugar
32 matches
| MCF | Statistic | Nzoia Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 10 |
| 9 | Draws | 14 |
| 16 | Losses | 8 |
| 18 | Goals For | 33 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 0.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 17 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Nzoia Sugar's more proactive style and MCF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nzoia Sugar having the stronger overall control. Nzoia Sugar carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 44 points while MCF sit 19 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Nzoia Sugar. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
MCF approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 24 points from 32 matches. The overall return of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 17 defeats with a 18:36 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Nzoia Sugar are currently 11 in the standings with 44 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 14 draws, and 8 losses, while the 33:30 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, MCF won 2 times, Nzoia Sugar won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from MCF's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.