Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
84.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
40.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
MCF
Nzoia Sugar
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
MCF
31 matches
Nzoia Sugar
32 matches
| MCF | Statistic | Nzoia Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 10 |
| 9 | Draws | 14 |
| 16 | Losses | 8 |
| 18 | Goals For | 33 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 0.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 17 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Nzoia Sugar's more proactive style and MCF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nzoia Sugar having the stronger overall control. Nzoia Sugar carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 44 points while MCF sit 19 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Nzoia Sugar. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
MCF approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 24 points from 32 matches. The overall return of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 17 defeats with a 18:36 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Nzoia Sugar are currently 11 in the standings with 44 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 14 draws, and 8 losses, while the 33:30 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, MCF won 2 times, Nzoia Sugar won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from MCF's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.
MCF
Fortune Sacco
MCF
Kibera Black Stars
MCF
Migori Youth
MCF
Nairobi City Stars
MCF
3K
MCF
Soy United
MCF
Darajani Gogo
MCF
Talanta
MCF
MOFA
MCF
Vihiga United FC
MCF
Kabati Youth FC
MCF
Kisumu All Stars
MCF
Mombasa Elite
MCF
Equity Bank
MCF
Naivas
MCF
Gucha Stars
MCF
Luanda Villa
MCF
Kisumu All Stars
MCF
Vihiga United FC
MCF
Talanta
Nzoia Sugar
Kibera Black Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Mombasa Elite
Nzoia Sugar
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
Talanta
Nzoia Sugar
Naivas
Nzoia Sugar
Luanda Villa
Nzoia Sugar
Kabati Youth FC
Nzoia Sugar
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
Darajani Gogo
Nzoia Sugar
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
3K
Nzoia Sugar
Mwatate United
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
Kisumu All Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Vihiga United FC
Nzoia Sugar
Gucha Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
MCF
Fortune Sacco
MCF
Soy United
MCF
Talanta
MCF
Kabati Youth FC
MCF
Kisumu All Stars
MCF
Equity Bank
MCF
Naivas
MCF
Gucha Stars
MCF
Vihiga United FC
MCF
Darajani Gogo
MCF
3K
MCF
Nairobi City Stars
MCF
Luanda Villa
MCF
MOFA
MCF
Kibera Black Stars
MCF
Migori Youth
MCF
Mombasa Elite
Nzoia Sugar
Mombasa Elite
Nzoia Sugar
Talanta
Nzoia Sugar
Kabati Youth FC
Nzoia Sugar
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
3K
Nzoia Sugar
Kisumu All Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Vihiga United FC
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
Darajani Gogo
Nzoia Sugar
Luanda Villa
Nzoia Sugar
Naivas
Nzoia Sugar
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Gucha Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Kibera Black Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
Mwatate United
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | 28 | 81 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | 36 | 77 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | 19 | 76 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 74 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | 21 | 64 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | 20 | 63 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | 17 | 61 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | 12 | 57 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | -1 | 53 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | 4 | 52 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 |
Nzoia Sugar
Away
|
38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 50 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | -6 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | -21 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | -20 | 39 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | -24 | 39 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | -12 | 39 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | -21 | 38 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 18 |
MCF
Home
|
38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | -18 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | -26 | 30 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | -37 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|