Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
76%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Mbarara City
SC Villa
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mbarara City
27 matches
SC Villa
26 matches
| Mbarara City | Statistic | SC Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 14 |
| 9 | Draws | 7 |
| 13 | Losses | 5 |
| 22 | Goals For | 35 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.54 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by SC Villa's more proactive style and Mbarara City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. SC Villa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 52 points while Mbarara City sit 12 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward SC Villa having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring SC Villa. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
From their first 27 matches, Mbarara City have collected 24 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 22:39 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. Kamugisha (6 goals), M. Kanyike (5 goals), H. Kitegenyi (2 goals), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
SC Villa arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 52 points after 27 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 38:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Ssebuufu (8 goals), N. Yiga (7 goals), A. Ssemakula (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Mbarara City won 3 times, SC Villa won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:30 from Mbarara City's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.
Mbarara City
KCCA
Mbarara City
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Lugazi
Mbarara City
Express
Mbarara City
NEC
Mbarara City
Maroons
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Police
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UPDF
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BUL
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Kitara
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Vipers
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URA
Mbarara City
Entebbe UPPC
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Calvary
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Maroons
Mbarara City
SC Villa
Mbarara City
Lugazi
Mbarara City
Vipers
Mbarara City
URA
Mbarara City
Calvary
SC Villa
UPDF
SC Villa
NEC
SC Villa
BUL
SC Villa
Kitara
SC Villa
Buhimba Saints
SC Villa
Lugazi
SC Villa
Vipers
SC Villa
KCCA
SC Villa
Entebbe UPPC
SC Villa
Police
SC Villa
Express
SC Villa
Maroons
SC Villa
URA
SC Villa
Lugazi
SC Villa
Mbarara City
SC Villa
BUL
SC Villa
Express
SC Villa
Calvary
SC Villa
URA
SC Villa
Maroons
Mbarara City
Buhimba Saints
Mbarara City
Express
Mbarara City
Maroons
Mbarara City
Police
Mbarara City
Kitara
Mbarara City
Vipers
Mbarara City
Calvary
Mbarara City
Lugazi
Mbarara City
URA
Mbarara City
Entebbe UPPC
Mbarara City
KCCA
Mbarara City
NEC
Mbarara City
BUL
Mbarara City
UPDF
SC Villa
NEC
SC Villa
Kitara
SC Villa
Lugazi
SC Villa
Entebbe UPPC
SC Villa
Police
SC Villa
URA
SC Villa
BUL
SC Villa
Express
SC Villa
Maroons
SC Villa
Vipers
SC Villa
UPDF
SC Villa
Buhimba Saints
SC Villa
KCCA