MEXICO LIGA MX
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio El Encanto
Referee: G. Pacheco Larios
Mazatlán
Match Timeline
Club Queretaro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Mauro Zaleta
Mazatlán
🟨
24'
Lucas Abascia
Club Queretaro
VAR
25'
Dudu
Mazatlán
30'
B. Rubio
Mazatlán
41'
A. Avila
Club Queretaro
🔄
46'
S. Godinez ↔ G. Lopez
Mazatlán
🔄
55'
B. Rubio ↔ Fabio Gomes
Mazatlán
🔄
55'
M. Zaleta ↔ M. Lainez
Mazatlán
🔄
65'
J. Unjanque ↔ L. Rodriguez
Club Queretaro
🔄
78'
Y. Barcenas ↔ J. Esquivel
Mazatlán
🔄
78'
J. Ovalle ↔ O. F. Moreno Villegas
Mazatlán
VAR
81'
Facundo Almada
Mazatlán
🟨
82'
Facundo Almada
Mazatlán
🔄
88'
B. Duarte ↔ J. Robles
Club Queretaro
🔄
88'
F. Venegas ↔ J. Cazares
Club Queretaro

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 61%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
61%
-
Probability Distribution
Mazatlán Win 53.3%
Draw 8%
Club Queretaro Win 38.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mazatlán1.3
Club Queretaro1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mazatlán Mazatlán
WWDLW
36 GF / 57 GA
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
WLDWL
32 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.84
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
23
BTTS Yes
14
19
Over 2.5
16
3.55
Shots on Goal
3.61

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mazatlán Mazatlán 31 matches
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 31 matches
Mazatlán Statistic Club Queretaro
5 Wins 9
10 Draws 8
16 Losses 14
36 Goals For 32
57 Goals Against 47
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.84 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
23 BTTS Yes 14
25 Over 1.5 22
19 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 10
2 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 12
3.55 Shots On Goal 3.61
9.77 Total Shots 10.32
3.77 Corners 3.9
41.5% Ball Possession 35.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Club Queretaro. Mazatlán have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mazatlán expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Club Queretaro in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Queretaro having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Mazatlán Analysis

With 11 points from 14 games and a place of 17, Mazatlán still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats with a 16:28 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Almada (6 goals), Josué Ovalle (5 goals), Fábio Gomes (4 goals), with creative support from Mauro Laínez (3 assists), F. Almada (2 assists), Nicolás Benedetti (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Club Queretaro Analysis

Club Queretaro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 15 points from 14 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 13:18, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Ali Ávila (10 goals), Santiago Homenchenko (6 goals), Mateo Coronel (5 goals), with creative support from Lucas Rodríguez (5 assists), Jhojan Julio (2 assists), Pablo Barrera (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Mazatlán won 4 times, Club Queretaro won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:11 from Mazatlán's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
Predicted formations: Mazatlán 5-3-2 / Club Queretaro 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Mazatlán wins 4, draws 5, Club Queretaro wins 3
Stats
Mazatlán Mazatlán
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
14
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
6
7 Corner Kicks 9
12 Fouls 4
1 Offsides 5
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots off Goal 14
3 Blocked Shots 6
9 Shots insidebox 11
5 Shots outsidebox 13
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
448 Total passes 295
382 Passes accurate 226
1.66 expected_goals 2.03
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Mazatlán
Formation
Club Queretaro
R. Rodriguez
R. Rodriguez
S. Santos
S. Santos
F. Almada
F. Almada
L. Merolla
L. Merolla
J. Diaz
J. Diaz
M. Zaleta
M. Zaleta
Y. Barcenas
Y. Barcenas
S. Godinez
S. Godinez
J. Ovalle
J. Ovalle
Dudu
Dudu
B. Rubio
B. Rubio
J. Hernandez
J. Hernandez
B. Duarte
B. Duarte
D. Reyes
D. Reyes
L. Abascia
L. Abascia
D. Parra
D. Parra
C. Garcia
C. Garcia
S. Homenchenko
S. Homenchenko
J. Unjanque
J. Unjanque
M. Coronel
M. Coronel
F. Venegas
F. Venegas
A. Avila
A. Avila
Mazatlán 5-3-2
Starting XI
33
R. Rodriguez
G
21
S. Santos
D
5
F. Almada
🟨 82'
D
19
L. Merolla
D
4
J. Diaz
D
14
M. Zaleta
↓ 55' 🟨 24'
D
11
Y. Barcenas
↓ 78'
M
25
S. Godinez
↓ 46'
17
J. Ovalle
↓ 78'
M
7
Dudu
F
15
B. Rubio
⚽ 30' ↓ 55'
F
Substitutes
13
V. A. Alcaraz Diaz
9
B. Arce
M
16
J. Esquivel
↑ 78'
D
90
Fabio Gomes
↑ 55'
F
193
G. Lopez
↑ 46'
F
31
A. A. Saavedra Nevarez
20
M. Lainez
↑ 55'
M
28
D. Hernandez
F
188
L. Carrillo
10
O. F. Moreno Villegas
↑ 78'
F
Club Queretaro 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Hernandez
G
22
B. Duarte
↓ 88'
D
9
D. Reyes
D
2
L. Abascia
🟨 24'
D
27
D. Parra
D
4
C. Garcia
M
6
S. Homenchenko
M
14
J. Unjanque
↓ 65'
M
37
M. Coronel
M
17
F. Venegas
↓ 88'
M
31
A. Avila
⚽ 41'
F
Substitutes
25
G. Allison
G
10
L. Rodriguez
↑ 65'
M
29
W. Madrid
M
12
J. Gomez
D
15
C. Villanueva
26
E. Perez
F
23
J. Robles
↑ 88'
M
21
F. Pena
M
8
B. Parra
M
190
J. Cazares
↑ 88'
M
Last matches: Mazatlán
25.04.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Tigres UANL
1
5
L
23.04.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Toluca
4
3
W
12.04.26
Lig
Mazatlán
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Necaxa
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
16.03.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Club America
0
2
L
07.03.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Leon
4
2
W
04.03.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Atletico San Luis
1
4
L
28.02.26
Lig
Mazatlán
CF Pachuca
1
0
W
22.02.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Club Tijuana
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Guadalajara Chivas
1
2
L
31.01.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Atlas
0
1
L
17.01.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Monterrey
1
5
L
13.01.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Puebla
1
2
L
10.01.26
Lig
Mazatlán
FC Juarez
1
2
L
08.11.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Necaxa
1
1
D
02.11.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
25.10.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Club America
2
2
D
22.10.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Santos Laguna
2
2
D
Last matches: Club Queretaro
19.07.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Club America
0
1
L
03.07.26
Fri
Club Queretaro
Austin
1
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Club Queretaro
Atletico San Luis
2
2
D
20.06.26
Fri
Club Queretaro
Reboceros La Piedad
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Puebla
2
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Necaxa
3
1
W
08.04.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
FC Juarez
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Toluca
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Atlas
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Club America
1
2
L
05.03.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Monterrey
0
4
L
28.02.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Santos Laguna
2
2
D
14.02.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Atletico San Luis
0
3
L
07.02.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Leon
2
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
CF Pachuca
0
0
D
17.01.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Guadalajara Chivas
1
2
L
15.01.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Club Tijuana
1
2
L
11.01.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
H2H: Mazatlán vs Club Queretaro
18.04.26
H2H
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
1
1
D
02.11.25
H2H
Club Queretaro
Mazatlán
1
0
L
15.03.25
H2H
Club Queretaro
Mazatlán
1
0
L
05.10.24
H2H
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
2
2
D
13.04.24
H2H
Club Queretaro
Mazatlán
0
2
W
28.10.23
H2H
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
3
0
W
19.02.23
H2H
Club Queretaro
Mazatlán
1
1
D
17.08.22
H2H
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
1
1
D
19.02.22
H2H
Club Queretaro
Mazatlán
2
0
L
23.10.21
H2H
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
2
1
W
27.02.21
H2H
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
3
0
W
03.08.20
H2H
Club Queretaro
Mazatlán
1
1
D
Last matches: Mazatlán
23.04.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Toluca
4
3
W
21.03.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Leon
4
2
W
28.02.26
Lig
Mazatlán
CF Pachuca
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Guadalajara Chivas
1
2
L
17.01.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Monterrey
1
5
L
10.01.26
Lig
Mazatlán
FC Juarez
1
2
L
08.11.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Necaxa
1
1
D
25.10.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Club America
2
2
D
22.10.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Santos Laguna
2
2
D
04.10.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Atletico San Luis
2
1
W
20.09.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Atlas
1
1
D
13.09.25
Lig
Mazatlán
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
4
L
24.08.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Tigres UANL
2
2
D
10.08.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Club Tijuana
2
2
D
19.07.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Puebla
2
1
W
17.04.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Club Tijuana
0
2
L
12.04.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
29.03.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Atlas
3
2
W
01.03.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
H2H at home: Mazatlán
18.04.26
H2H
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
2
2
D
28.10.23
H2H
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
3
0
W
17.08.22
H2H
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
1
1
D
23.10.21
H2H
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
2
1
W
27.02.21
H2H
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
3
0
W
Last matches: Club Queretaro
03.07.26
Fri
Club Queretaro
Austin
1
0
W
20.06.26
Fri
Club Queretaro
Reboceros La Piedad
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Puebla
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Atlas
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
05.03.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Monterrey
0
4
L
14.02.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Atletico San Luis
0
3
L
17.01.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Guadalajara Chivas
1
2
L
11.01.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
08.11.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
FC Juarez
2
1
W
26.10.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Santos Laguna
1
3
L
18.10.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Toluca
0
4
L
25.09.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
2
2
D
20.09.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
CF Pachuca
2
0
W
30.08.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Leon
0
3
L
10.08.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Club America
0
1
L
19.07.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Necaxa
1
3
L
12.07.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Club Tijuana
0
1
L
21.04.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
FC Juarez
2
0
W
13.04.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
H2H away: Club Queretaro
18.04.26
H2H
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
2
2
D
28.10.23
H2H
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
3
0
L
17.08.22
H2H
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
1
1
D
23.10.21
H2H
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
2
1
L
27.02.21
H2H
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
3
0
L

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2 17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3 17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6 17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7 17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8 17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9 17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10 17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11 17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12 17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13 17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14 17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15 17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16 17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17 17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18 17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs