EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Al Salam Stadium
Referee: E. S. Shaban
Masr
Match Timeline
Ghazl El Mehalla
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Sameh Ibrahim
Masr
26'
Armoosha · Assist: M. Salah
Ghazl El Mehalla
34'
A. Atef · Assist: A. Bakri
Masr
VAR
45+4'
Ahmed Shousha
Ghazl El Mehalla
VAR
54'
Ahmed Shousha
Ghazl El Mehalla
55'
A. Shousha
Ghazl El Mehalla
59'
A. Atef · Assist: A. Emad
Masr
🟨
71'
Mohamed Ashraf
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
71'
A. Emad ↔ M. Yasser
Masr
🔄
72'
Y. Osama Nabih ↔ R. Khalil
Masr
🔄
75'
M. Salah ↔ A. Etman
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
75'
M. Bolbol ↔ M. Toure
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
83'
Armoosha ↔ A. Ineza
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
86'
R. Arfaoui ↔ A. Magdy
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
86'
M. Ashraf ↔ M. Oufa
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
89'
S. Ibrahim ↔ A. Fathy
Masr
🔄
90+4'
A. Atef ↔ Messi
Masr
90'
R. Khalil
Masr

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 32.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71%
-
BTTS BTTS No
32.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Masr Win 71%
Draw 8.7%
Ghazl El Mehalla Win 20.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Masr0.97
Ghazl El Mehalla0.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Masr Masr
WWDLW
33 GF / 26 GA
Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla
WLDWL
20 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
0.69
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.72
16
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
6
3.93
Shots on Goal
2.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Masr Masr 29 matches
Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 29 matches
Masr Statistic Ghazl El Mehalla
11 Wins 4
10 Draws 19
8 Losses 6
33 Goals For 20
26 Goals Against 21
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 0.69
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.72
16 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 4
10 Clean Sheets 16
6 Failed To Score 15
3.93 Shots On Goal 2.24
10.86 Total Shots 8.62
4.03 Corners 3.45
51.2% Ball Possession 46.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Masr arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 43 points compared to Ghazl El Mehalla in 16 on 31, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Masr expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Ghazl El Mehalla in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ghazl El Mehalla having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Ghazl El Mehalla. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Masr Analysis

So far, Masr have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 43 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 12:10 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on S. Mohsen (7 goals), O. El Saaiy (6 goals), M. Saber (5 goals), with creative support from M. Saber (6 assists), A. Deghmoum (4 assists), Ahmed Adel (4 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Ghazl El Mehalla Analysis

Ghazl El Mehalla approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 31 points from 9 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, together with goals at 8:6, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Shousha (5 goals), M. Salah (4 goals), Abdelrahim Amoory (2 goals), with creative support from K. Saidi (3 assists), R. Arfaoui (2 assists), A. Shousha (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Masr won 3 times, Ghazl El Mehalla won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Masr's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.3%)
Predicted formations: Masr 4-3-3 / Ghazl El Mehalla 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Masr wins 3, draws 1, Ghazl El Mehalla wins 1
Stats
Masr Masr
Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
5
2 Corner Kicks 5
7 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 2
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 5
6 Shots insidebox 4
6 Shots outsidebox 7
1 Goalkeeper Saves 0
289 Total passes 335
234 Passes accurate 265
0.93 expected_goals 1.13
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Masr
Formation
Ghazl El Mehalla
M. Mazzika
M. Mazzika
A. Gamal
A. Gamal
A. Bakri
🎯
A. Bakri
A. Bostangy
A. Bostangy
Z. El Sayed
Z. El Sayed
H. Alaa
H. Alaa
S. Ibrahim
S. Ibrahim
P. Mutumosi Zilu
P. Mutumosi Zilu
A. Emad
🎯
A. Emad
Y. Osama Nabih
Y. Osama Nabih
A. Atef
⚽ 2
A. Atef
M. Amer
M. Amer
M. Abdelsalam
M. Abdelsalam
A. El Aash
A. El Aash
A. Shousha
A. Shousha
Y. Zakaria
Y. Zakaria
M. Bolbol
M. Bolbol
Armoosha
Armoosha
M. Ashraf
M. Ashraf
R. Arfaoui
R. Arfaoui
K. Saidi
K. Saidi
M. Salah
🎯
M. Salah
Masr 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
16
M. Mazzika
G
30
A. Gamal
D
3
A. Bakri
🎯 34'
D
32
A. Bostangy
D
25
Z. El Sayed
20
H. Alaa
15
S. Ibrahim
↓ 89'
26
P. Mutumosi Zilu
M
19
A. Emad
🎯 59' ↓ 71'
M
12
Y. Osama Nabih
↓ 72'
M
9
A. Atef
⚽ 34' ⚽ 59' ↓ 90+4'
F
Substitutes
33
A. El Sayed
35
M. Sawaneh
M
90
M. Yasser
↑ 71'
45
M. Mahmoud
14
Messi
↑ 90+4'
F
7
R. Khalil
⚽ 90' ↑ 72'
F
13
A. Keita
M
4
A. Fathy
↑ 89'
18
Ahmed El Sageery
M
Ghazl El Mehalla 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
M. Amer
G
39
M. Abdelsalam
D
3
A. El Aash
D
4
A. Shousha
⚽ 55'
D
12
Y. Zakaria
D
17
M. Bolbol
↓ 75'
M
19
Armoosha
⚽ 26' ↓ 83'
M
7
M. Ashraf
↓ 86'
9
R. Arfaoui
↓ 86'
M
41
K. Saidi
M
42
M. Salah
🎯 26' ↓ 75'
F
Substitutes
1
A. El Nafarawy
11
A. Magdy
↑ 86'
M
28
A. Ineza
↑ 83'
F
22
A. Etman
↑ 75'
M
5
S. Emam
D
20
M. Toure
↑ 75'
M
21
M. Awadalla Ahmed
37
M. El Moghzi
M
13
M. Oufa
↑ 86'
D
Last matches: Masr
29.05.26
Pre
Masr
Kahraba Ismailia
1
1
D
21.05.26
Pre
Masr
Wadi Degla
2
2
D
17.05.26
Pre
Masr
Ismaily SC
0
0
D
07.05.26
Pre
Masr
Haras El Hodood
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pre
Masr
El Gouna FC
2
2
D
28.04.26
Pre
Masr
Pharco
1
0
W
24.04.26
Pre
Masr
National Bank of Egypt
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Masr
Future FC
3
1
W
14.04.26
Pre
Masr
Al Ittihad
1
2
L
09.04.26
Pre
Masr
Petrojet
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Masr
El Mokawloon
0
0
D
22.03.26
Pre
Masr
El Geish
1
0
W
11.03.26
Pre
Masr
Future FC
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Masr
Al Ahly
1
1
D
24.02.26
Pre
Masr
Zamalek SC
1
2
L
20.02.26
Pre
Masr
Ghazl El Mehalla
0
0
D
04.02.26
Pre
Masr
AL Masry
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pre
Masr
Pharco
2
0
W
23.11.25
Pre
Masr
Kahraba Ismailia
2
1
W
04.11.25
Pre
Masr
National Bank of Egypt
1
1
D
Last matches: Ghazl El Mehalla
29.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Haras El Hodood
4
2
W
23.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Future FC
0
0
D
18.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
1
0
W
07.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Geish
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Ismaily SC
0
0
D
28.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Mokawloon
1
1
D
23.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Petrojet
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Kahraba Ismailia
3
1
W
13.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Wadi Degla
0
0
D
08.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Gouna FC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Pharco
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
National Bank of Egypt
1
1
D
07.03.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Pharco
0
0
D
02.03.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
0
2
L
24.02.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Pyramids FC
1
3
L
20.02.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Masr
0
0
D
05.02.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Ceramica Cleopatra
2
3
L
29.01.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Geish
0
0
D
22.01.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Wadi Degla
2
3
L
01.11.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Future FC
0
0
D
H2H: Masr vs Ghazl El Mehalla
13.05.26
H2H
Masr
Ghazl El Mehalla
3
2
W
20.02.26
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Masr
0
0
D
12.03.25
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Masr
0
3
W
23.02.25
H2H
Masr
Ghazl El Mehalla
2
0
W
12.12.24
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Masr
3
1
L
Last matches: Masr
29.05.26
Pre
Masr
Kahraba Ismailia
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pre
Masr
El Gouna FC
2
2
D
28.04.26
Pre
Masr
Pharco
1
0
W
06.04.26
Pre
Masr
El Mokawloon
0
0
D
22.03.26
Pre
Masr
El Geish
1
0
W
11.03.26
Pre
Masr
Future FC
2
0
W
24.02.26
Pre
Masr
Zamalek SC
1
2
L
04.02.26
Pre
Masr
AL Masry
1
1
D
04.11.25
Pre
Masr
National Bank of Egypt
1
1
D
19.10.25
Pre
Masr
Petrojet
2
1
W
27.09.25
Pre
Masr
Haras El Hodood
0
1
L
22.09.25
Pre
Masr
Al Ittihad
1
0
W
12.09.25
Pre
Masr
Ismaily SC
1
0
W
25.08.25
Pre
Masr
Wadi Degla
1
2
L
14.08.25
Pre
Masr
Ceramica Cleopatra
0
0
D
H2H at home: Masr
13.05.26
H2H
Masr
Ghazl El Mehalla
3
2
W
23.02.25
H2H
Masr
Ghazl El Mehalla
2
0
W
Last matches: Ghazl El Mehalla
23.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Future FC
0
0
D
07.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Geish
0
1
L
28.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Mokawloon
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Kahraba Ismailia
3
1
W
04.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Pharco
1
1
D
02.03.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
0
2
L
05.02.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Ceramica Cleopatra
2
3
L
22.01.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Wadi Degla
2
3
L
25.10.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Haras El Hodood
0
0
D
04.10.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Zamalek SC
1
1
D
22.09.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Petrojet
0
0
D
17.09.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
AL Masry
1
2
L
30.08.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Ismaily SC
3
0
W
20.08.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Gouna FC
0
0
D
10.08.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
National Bank of Egypt
0
0
D
H2H away: Ghazl El Mehalla
13.05.26
H2H
Masr
Ghazl El Mehalla
3
2
L
23.02.25
H2H
Masr
Ghazl El Mehalla
2
0
L