03.05.2026 14:00
Arab Contractors Stadium
Referee: M. El Sayed
Masr
Match Timeline
El Gouna FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Omar El Gazar
El Gouna FC
🟥
23'
Omar El Gazar
El Gouna FC
🔄
27'
M. Emad ↔ H. Ibrahim
El Gouna FC
⚽
30'
A. Gamal · Assist: M. Mohsen
El Gouna FC
⚽
33'
A. Khaled
El Gouna FC
🟨
38'
Abdel Gawad Taalab
El Gouna FC
🟨
41'
Marwan Mohsen
El Gouna FC
🟨
45+6'
Abdallah Bakri
Masr
🟨
45+1'
Ahmed Gamal
El Gouna FC
⚽
45'
M. Saber
Masr
🔄
46'
A. Bakri ↔ S. Ibrahim
Masr
🔄
46'
T. Alaa ↔ A. Atef
Masr
🔄
46'
M. Mahmoud ↔ A. El Said
El Gouna FC
🔄
62'
A. Gamal ↔ T. Ojo
El Gouna FC
⚽
65'
M. Saber · Assist: Kabaka
Masr
🔄
73'
M. Mohsen ↔ A. Turay
El Gouna FC
🔄
73'
A. Taalab ↔ M. Metawea
El Gouna FC
🔄
74'
S. Hussein ↔ M. Yasser
Masr
🟨
86'
Ahmed Tarek
Masr
🔄
89'
M. Magassa ↔ Z. El Sayed
Masr
🟨
90+3'
Alpha Turay
El Gouna FC

Masr vs El Gouna FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
40%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Masr Win 47.5%
Draw 17.8%
El Gouna FC Win 34.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Masr0.89
El Gouna FC0.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Masr Masr
WWDLW
29 GF / 23 GA
El Gouna FC El Gouna FC
WLDWL
19 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
0.7
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
0.63
14
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
3
4.07
Shots on Goal
3.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Masr Masr 27 matches
El Gouna FC El Gouna FC 27 matches
Masr Statistic El Gouna FC
10 Wins 8
9 Draws 14
8 Losses 5
29 Goals For 19
23 Goals Against 17
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 0.7
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 0.63
14 BTTS Yes 10
17 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 0
10 Clean Sheets 13
6 Failed To Score 10
4.07 Shots On Goal 3.04
10.85 Total Shots 9.85
4.19 Corners 3.48
51.4% Ball Possession 45.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Masr have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring El Gouna FC.

Masr Analysis

Masr sit 10 with 39 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 8:7 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Mohsen (7 goals), M. Temine (5 goals), O. El Saaiy (5 goals), with creative support from M. Saber (6 assists), A. Deghmoum (4 assists), Ahmed Adel (4 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

El Gouna FC Analysis

El Gouna FC are currently 11 in the standings with 38 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 3:2 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Emad (3 goals), Marwan Mohsen (3 goals), M. El Nahas (2 goals), with creative support from M. El Nahas (2 assists), A. Gamal (2 assists), Marwan Mohsen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Masr won 3 times, El Gouna FC won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Masr's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.3%)
Predicted formations: Masr 4-4-2 / El Gouna FC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Masr wins 3, draws 6, El Gouna FC wins 1

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9
Masr Home
20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)