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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Marseille
FT
2 - 2
Toulouse
Orange Vélodrome
Referee: Eric Wattellier, France
Marseille
Match Timeline
Toulouse
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
Emersonn · Assist: D. Sidibe
Toulouse
🟨
42'
Angel Gomes
Marseille
🔄
46'
A. Gomes ↔ R. Vaz
Marseille
⚽
66'
I. Paixao · Assist: B. Nadir
Marseille
⚽
74'
P. Hojbjerg · Assist: P. Aubameyang
Marseille
🟨
75'
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
Marseille
🔄
76'
N. Aguerd ↔ L. Balerdi
Marseille
🔄
76'
A. Vossah ↔ R. Messali
Toulouse
🔄
77'
B. Nadir ↔ G. Kondogbia
Marseille
🔄
78'
D. Methalie ↔ W. Kamanzi
Toulouse
🟨
81'
Mark McKenzie
Toulouse
🔄
85'
Emersonn ↔ N. Edjouma
Toulouse
🔄
85'
D. Sidibe ↔ J. Vignolo
Toulouse
🔄
89'
F. Magri ↔ S. Hidalgo
Toulouse
🔄
90'
Emerson ↔ C. Egan-Riley
Marseille
🔄
90'
I. Paixao ↔ M. O'Riley
Marseille
⚽
90'
S. Hidalgo · Assist: M. McKenzie
Toulouse

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toulouse Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.89
Toulouse1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
41 GF / 18 GA
Toulouse Toulouse
WLDWL
18 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2.28
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
9
BTTS Yes
6
13
Over 2.5
6
5.72
Shots on Goal
3.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 18 matches
Toulouse Toulouse 13 matches
Marseille Statistic Toulouse
11 Wins 4
1 Draws 4
6 Losses 5
41 Goals For 18
18 Goals Against 17
2.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
9 BTTS Yes 6
13 Over 1.5 8
13 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 4
5.72 Shots On Goal 3.92
14 Total Shots 13.54
5.11 Corners 5.23
57.1% Ball Possession 43.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 11 times, Toulouse won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:15 from Marseille's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Marseille 4-2-3-1 / Toulouse 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Marseille wins 11, draws 4, Toulouse wins 0
Stats
Marseille Marseille
Toulouse Toulouse
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
1
9 Corner Kicks 1
7 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
77% Ball Possession 23%
20 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots off Goal 1
7 Blocked Shots 1
11 Shots insidebox 4
9 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
714 Total passes 217
660 Passes accurate 157
1.80 expected_goals 0.70
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Marseille
Formation
Toulouse
G. Rulli
G. Rulli
T. Weah
T. Weah
B. Pavard
B. Pavard
N. Aguerd
↓
N. Aguerd
Emerson
↓
Emerson
B. Nadir
🎯 ↓
B. Nadir
P. Hojbjerg
⚽
P. Hojbjerg
M. Greenwood
M. Greenwood
A. Gomes
↓
A. Gomes
I. Paixao
⚽ ↓
I. Paixao
P. Aubameyang
🎯
P. Aubameyang
G. Restes
G. Restes
M. McKenzie
🎯
M. McKenzie
C. Cresswell
C. Cresswell
R. Nicolaisen
R. Nicolaisen
D. Sidibe
🎯 ↓
D. Sidibe
A. Vossah
↓
A. Vossah
C. Casseres
C. Casseres
D. Methalie
↓
D. Methalie
A. Donnum
A. Donnum
F. Magri
↓
F. Magri
Emersonn
⚽ ↓
Emersonn
Marseille 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
G. Rulli
G
22
T. Weah
D
28
B. Pavard
D
21
N. Aguerd
↓ 76'
D
33
Emerson
↓ 90'
D
26
B. Nadir
🎯 66' ↓ 77'
M
23
P. Hojbjerg
⚽ 74' 🟨 75'
M
10
M. Greenwood
M
8
A. Gomes
↓ 46' 🟨 42'
M
14
I. Paixao
⚽ 66' ↓ 90'
M
97
P. Aubameyang
🎯 74'
F
Substitutes
12
J. De Lange
G
4
C. Egan-Riley
↑ 90'
D
5
L. Balerdi
↑ 76'
D
6
U. Garcia
D
18
A. Vermeeren
M
17
M. O'Riley
↑ 90'
M
19
G. Kondogbia
↑ 77'
M
76
T. Mmadi
M
34
R. Vaz
↑ 46'
F
Toulouse 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
G. Restes
G
3
M. McKenzie
🎯 90' 🟨 81'
D
4
C. Cresswell
D
2
R. Nicolaisen
D
19
D. Sidibe
🎯 14' ↓ 85'
M
45
A. Vossah
↓ 76'
M
23
C. Casseres
M
24
D. Methalie
↓ 78'
M
15
A. Donnum
F
9
F. Magri
↓ 89'
F
20
Emersonn
⚽ 14' ↓ 85'
F
Substitutes
16
K. Haug
G
30
A. Dominguez
G
12
W. Kamanzi
↑ 78'
D
35
S. Koumbassa
D
22
R. Messali
↑ 76'
M
34
N. Lahmadi
M
31
N. Edjouma
↑ 85'
F
7
J. Vignolo
↑ 85'
F
11
S. Hidalgo
⚽ 90' ↑ 89'
F
Last matches: Marseille
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
Last matches: Toulouse
15.08.26
Fri
Toulouse
Hamburger SV
1
2
L
31.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Real Sociedad
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Rodez
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
03.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Strasbourg
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cou
Toulouse
Lens
1
4
L
17.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
2
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
0
4
L
03.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
1
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
3
W
07.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
L
04.03.26
Cou
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
04.02.26
Cou
Toulouse
Amiens
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Auxerre
0
0
D
H2H: Marseille vs Toulouse
07.03.26
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
W
04.03.26
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
29.11.25
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
06.04.25
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
3
2
W
31.08.24
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
1
3
W
21.04.24
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
17.09.23
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
0
0
D
19.02.23
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
2
3
W
29.12.22
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
6
1
W
08.02.20
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
24.11.19
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
0
2
W
18.05.19
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
2
5
W
10.08.18
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
4
0
W
11.03.18
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
1
2
W
24.09.17
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
0
W
Last matches: Marseille
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
24.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Lens
3
1
W
21.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Liverpool
0
3
L
04.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
2
L
14.12.25
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
0
W
25.11.25
UEF
Marseille
Newcastle
2
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
3
0
W
05.11.25
UEF
Marseille
Atalanta
0
1
L
H2H at home: Marseille
04.03.26
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
29.11.25
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
06.04.25
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
3
2
W
17.09.23
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
0
0
D
29.12.22
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
6
1
W
08.02.20
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
10.08.18
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
4
0
W
24.09.17
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
0
W
Last matches: Toulouse
03.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Strasbourg
2
1
W
21.04.26
Cou
Toulouse
Lens
1
4
L
17.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
2
3
L
03.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
1
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
3
W
04.03.26
Cou
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
0
1
L
15.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
25.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
W
10.01.26
Cou
Toulouse
Angers
1
1
D
20.12.25
Cou
Toulouse
Lyon Duchere
2
1
W
13.12.25
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
3
0
W
09.11.25
Lig
Toulouse
Lorient
1
1
D
25.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
0
1
L
05.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
21.09.25
Lig
Toulouse
Auxerre
0
1
L
14.09.25
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
1
2
L
16.08.25
Lig
Toulouse
Nice
1
0
W
17.05.25
Lig
Toulouse
Saint Etienne
3
2
W
H2H away: Toulouse
04.03.26
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
29.11.25
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
06.04.25
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
3
2
L
17.09.23
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
0
0
D
29.12.22
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
6
1
L
08.02.20
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
L
10.08.18
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
4
0
L
24.09.17
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
0
L

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Paris Saint Germain
34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2
Lens
34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3
Lille
34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4
Lyon
34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5
Marseille Home
34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6
Rennes
34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7
Monaco
34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8
Strasbourg
34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9
Lorient
34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10
Toulouse Away
33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11
Paris FC
34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12
Stade Brestois 29
34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13
Angers
34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14
Le Havre
34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15
Auxerre
34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16
Nice
34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17
Nantes
33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18
Metz
34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation