Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toulouse Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.69
Toulouse1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille
WWDLW
54 GF / 36 GA
Toulouse
WLDWL
35 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
17
BTTS Yes
14
17
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Marseille
27 matches
Toulouse
27 matches
| Marseille | Statistic | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 9 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 11 |
| 54 | Goals For | 35 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 11 times, Toulouse won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:15 from Marseille's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Marseille 4-2-3-1 / Toulouse 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Marseille wins 11, draws 4, Toulouse wins 0
Last matches: Marseille
21.08.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
4
0
W
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
Last matches: Toulouse
15.08.26
Fri
Toulouse
Hamburger SV
1
2
L
31.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Real Sociedad
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Rodez
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
03.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Strasbourg
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cou
Toulouse
Lens
1
4
L
17.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
2
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
0
4
L
03.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
1
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
3
W
07.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
L
04.03.26
Cou
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
04.02.26
Cou
Toulouse
Amiens
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Auxerre
0
0
D
H2H: Marseille vs Toulouse
07.03.26
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
W
04.03.26
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
29.11.25
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
06.04.25
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
3
2
W
31.08.24
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
1
3
W
21.04.24
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
17.09.23
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
0
0
D
19.02.23
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
2
3
W
29.12.22
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
6
1
W
08.02.20
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
24.11.19
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
0
2
W
18.05.19
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
2
5
W
10.08.18
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
4
0
W
11.03.18
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
1
2
W
24.09.17
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
0
W
Last matches: Marseille
21.08.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
4
0
W
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
24.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Lens
3
1
W
21.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Liverpool
0
3
L
04.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
2
L
14.12.25
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
25.11.25
UEF
Marseille
Newcastle
2
1
W
H2H at home: Marseille
04.03.26
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
29.11.25
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
06.04.25
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
3
2
W
17.09.23
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
0
0
D
29.12.22
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
6
1
W
08.02.20
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
10.08.18
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
4
0
W
24.09.17
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
0
W
Last matches: Toulouse
03.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Strasbourg
2
1
W
21.04.26
Cou
Toulouse
Lens
1
4
L
17.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
2
3
L
03.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
1
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
3
W
04.03.26
Cou
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
0
1
L
15.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
25.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
W
10.01.26
Cou
Toulouse
Angers
1
1
D
20.12.25
Cou
Toulouse
Lyon Duchere
2
1
W
13.12.25
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
3
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
09.11.25
Lig
Toulouse
Lorient
1
1
D
25.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
0
1
L
05.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
21.09.25
Lig
Toulouse
Auxerre
0
1
L
14.09.25
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
1
2
L
16.08.25
Lig
Toulouse
Nice
1
0
W
H2H away: Toulouse
04.03.26
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
29.11.25
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
06.04.25
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
3
2
L
17.09.23
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
0
0
D
29.12.22
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
6
1
L
08.02.20
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
L
10.08.18
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
4
0
L
24.09.17
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
0
L
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92:35 | 57 | 84 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 2 |
Home
|
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74:47 | 27 | 65 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 |
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63:41 | 22 | 61 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66:41 | 25 | 60 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52:36 | 16 | 60 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 6 |
|
34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65:46 | 19 | 57 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 7 |
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:44 | 12 | 57 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 8 |
|
34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 52 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 9 |
|
34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52:59 | -7 | 50 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 10 |
Away
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 11 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48:51 | -3 | 42 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 |
|
34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51:50 | 1 | 41 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 13 |
|
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39:52 | -13 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
| 14 |
|
34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32:53 | -21 | 36 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 15 |
|
34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40:71 | -31 | 34 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 16 |
|
34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 17 |
|
34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39:77 | -38 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 18 |
|
34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23:79 | -56 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation