FRANCE LIGUE 1
21.08.2026 18:45
CEPAC Vélodrome
Referee: Ruddy Buquet, France
Marseille
Match Timeline
Strasbourg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
46'
A. Gouiri · Assist: A. Gomes
Marseille
🟨
48'
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
Strasbourg
VAR
58'
Samir El Mourabet
Strasbourg
🟥
59'
Samir El Mourabet
Strasbourg
🟨
61'
Sékou Mara
Strasbourg
VAR
65'
Igor Paixão
Marseille
68'
A. Gouiri
Marseille
🔄
69'
S. Amo-Ameyaw ↔ G. Reyna
Strasbourg
🔄
69'
D. Sousa ↔ P. Demba
Strasbourg
🔄
69'
S. Mara ↔ J. Ortega
Strasbourg
🔄
75'
C. Egan-Riley ↔ N. Aguerd
Marseille
🟨
79'
Nayef Aguerd
Marseille
🔄
79'
G. Antwi ↔ M. Del Blanco
Strasbourg
🔄
79'
S. Nanasi ↔ F. Balde
Strasbourg
🔄
83'
G. Kondogbia ↔ D. Cornelius
Marseille
🔄
83'
H. Abdelli ↔ T. Nnadi
Marseille
🔄
83'
A. Harit ↔ K. Abdallah
Marseille
89'
K. Abdallah
Marseille
🔄
90+1'
A. Gomes ↔ N. Maupay
Marseille
90'
P. Hojbjerg
Marseille

Marseille vs Strasbourg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 72%
Draw 5.9%
Strasbourg Win 22%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille2.3
Strasbourg1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
6 GF / 7 GA
Strasbourg Strasbourg
WLDWL
6 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
3.5
3
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 4 matches
Strasbourg Strasbourg 6 matches
Marseille Statistic Strasbourg
2 Wins 0
0 Draws 1
2 Losses 5
6 Goals For 6
7 Goals Against 21
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 3.5
3 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 6 times, Strasbourg won 1 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:13 from Marseille's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.79 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: Marseille 4-2-3-1 / Strasbourg 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Marseille 3, Strasbourg 4
H2H summary: Marseille wins 6, draws 7, Strasbourg wins 1

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 5:1 4 9
W W W
2 3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
W D W
3 3 2 1 0 5:2 3 7
W D W
4 2 1 1 0 3:0 3 4
W D
5 2 1 1 0 5:4 1 4
W D
6 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
W D
7 2 1 0 1 6:4 2 3
L W
8 2 1 0 1 4:2 2 3
L W
9 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
W L
10 2 1 0 1 2:5 -3 3
W L
11 2 0 2 0 4:4 0 2
D D
12 3 0 2 1 5:6 -1 2
L D D
13 2 0 1 1 4:5 -1 1
L D
14 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
L D
15 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
D L
16 3 0 1 2 2:5 -3 1
L D L
17 2 0 1 1 0:3 -3 1
L D
18 3 0 0 3 4:11 -7 0
L L L
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Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
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Relegation