Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
60%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
18.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Marseille
Rennes
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Marseille
45 matches
Rennes
36 matches
| Marseille | Statistic | Rennes |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wins | 19 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 16 | Losses | 9 |
| 91 | Goals For | 64 |
| 60 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 2.02 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.78 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.42 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 35 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 31 | Over 2.5 | 26 |
| 18 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 5.71 | Shots On Goal | 5.17 |
| 14.67 | Total Shots | 14.81 |
| 5.27 | Corners | 6.17 |
| 57.6% | Ball Possession | 54.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rennes. Rennes look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Marseille expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Rennes in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rennes having the stronger overall control.
Marseille sit 6 with 56 points after 33 league matches. The record of 17 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 60:44 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Greenwood (16 goals), P. Aubameyang (9 goals), A. Gouiri (7 goals), with creative support from M. Greenwood (6 assists), P. Aubameyang (5 assists), Igor Paixão (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Operating from 5 place with 59 points from 33 games, Rennes bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 17 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 58:47, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Embolo (9 goals), Mousa Tamari (6 goals), L. Blas (5 goals), with creative support from Mousa Tamari (6 assists), Valentin Rongier (5 assists), Q. Merlin (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 9 times, Rennes won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:13 from Marseille's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Marseille
11
6
9
14
7
7
Lineups
Marseille
Le Havre
Marseille
Nantes
Marseille
Nice
Marseille
Lorient
Marseille
Metz
Marseille
Monaco
Marseille
Lille
Marseille
Auxerre
Marseille
Toulouse
Marseille
Toulouse
Marseille
Lyon
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
Marseille
Strasbourg
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
Rennes
Marseille
Paris FC
Marseille
Club Brugge KV
Marseille
Lens
Marseille
Liverpool
Marseille
Angers
Rennes
Guingamp
Rennes
Caen
Rennes
Paris FC
Rennes
Lyon
Rennes
Nantes
Rennes
Strasbourg
Rennes
Angers
Rennes
Stade Brestois 29
Rennes
Metz
Rennes
Lille
Rennes
Nice
Rennes
Toulouse
Rennes
Auxerre
Rennes
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
Lens
Rennes
Marseille
Rennes
Monaco
Rennes
Lorient
Rennes
Le Havre
Rennes
Chantilly
Marseille
Nice
Marseille
Metz
Marseille
Lille
Marseille
Auxerre
Marseille
Toulouse
Marseille
Lyon
Marseille
Strasbourg
Marseille
Rennes
Marseille
Lens
Marseille
Liverpool
Marseille
Nantes
Marseille
Monaco
Marseille
Toulouse
Marseille
Newcastle
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
Marseille
Atalanta
Marseille
Angers
Marseille
Le Havre
Marseille
Ajax
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
Lyon
Rennes
Strasbourg
Rennes
Stade Brestois 29
Rennes
Nice
Rennes
Auxerre
Rennes
Lens
Rennes
Marseille
Rennes
Monaco
Rennes
Chantilly
Rennes
Lille
Rennes
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
Metz
Rennes
Paris FC
Rennes
Toulouse
Rennes
Le Havre
Rennes
Nantes
Rennes
Angers
Rennes
Lorient
Rennes
Marseille
Rennes
Toulouse
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Marseille
Home
|
34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 6 |
Rennes
Away
|
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|