Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Paris Saint Germain Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.98
Paris Saint Germain2.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille
WWDLW
21 GF / 8 GA
Paris Saint Germain
WLDWL
25 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.63
Average Goals Scored
3.13
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Marseille
8 matches
Paris Saint Germain
8 matches
| Marseille | Statistic | Paris Saint Germain |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 1 | Losses | 0 |
| 21 | Goals For | 25 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 2.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.13 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 3 times, Paris Saint Germain won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:30 from Marseille's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Marseille 4-2-3-1 / Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
H2H summary: Marseille wins 3, draws 2, Paris Saint Germain wins 10
Last matches: Marseille
21.08.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
4
0
W
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
Last matches: Paris Saint Germain
23.08.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
2
2
D
12.08.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Aston Villa
2
1
W
08.08.26
Fri
Paris Saint Germain
Manchester United
1
1
D
05.08.26
Fri
Paris Saint Germain
Mallorca
0
3
L
30.05.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
1
1
D
17.05.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Paris FC
1
2
L
13.05.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Lens
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Stade Brestois 29
1
0
W
06.05.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Bayern München
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
2
2
D
28.04.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Bayern München
5
4
W
25.04.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Angers
3
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Nantes
3
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
1
2
L
14.04.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
2
0
W
08.04.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
2
0
W
03.04.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Toulouse
3
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Nice
4
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
3
0
W
11.03.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
5
2
W
H2H: Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain
08.02.26
H2H
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
5
0
L
08.01.26
H2H
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
2
2
D
22.09.25
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
1
0
W
16.03.25
H2H
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
3
1
L
27.10.24
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
31.03.24
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
L
24.09.23
H2H
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
4
0
L
26.02.23
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
08.02.23
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
2
1
W
16.10.22
H2H
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
1
0
L
17.04.22
H2H
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
2
1
L
24.10.21
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
0
D
07.02.21
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
L
13.01.21
H2H
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
2
1
L
13.09.20
H2H
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
0
1
W
Last matches: Marseille
21.08.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
4
0
W
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
24.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Lens
3
1
W
21.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Liverpool
0
3
L
04.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
2
L
14.12.25
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
25.11.25
UEF
Marseille
Newcastle
2
1
W
H2H at home: Marseille
22.09.25
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
1
0
W
27.10.24
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
31.03.24
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
L
26.02.23
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
08.02.23
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
2
1
W
24.10.21
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
0
D
07.02.21
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
L
Last matches: Paris Saint Germain
23.08.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
2
2
D
05.08.26
Fri
Paris Saint Germain
Mallorca
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Paris FC
1
2
L
13.05.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Lens
2
0
W
06.05.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Bayern München
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Angers
3
0
W
14.04.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Nice
4
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
3
0
W
28.02.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre
1
0
W
17.02.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
3
2
W
13.02.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
1
3
L
01.02.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Strasbourg
2
1
W
23.01.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Auxerre
1
0
W
20.01.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Sporting CP
1
2
L
20.12.25
Cou
Paris Saint Germain
Vendée Fontenay
4
0
W
13.12.25
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
3
2
W
10.12.25
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Athletic Club
0
0
D
29.11.25
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
0
1
L
09.11.25
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
3
2
W
H2H away: Paris Saint Germain
22.09.25
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
1
0
L
27.10.24
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
W
31.03.24
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
W
26.02.23
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
W
08.02.23
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
2
1
L
24.10.21
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
0
D
07.02.21
H2H
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
W
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Away
|
34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92:35 | 57 | 84 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 2 |
Home
|
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74:47 | 27 | 65 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 |
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63:41 | 22 | 61 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66:41 | 25 | 60 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52:36 | 16 | 60 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 6 |
|
34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65:46 | 19 | 57 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 7 |
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:44 | 12 | 57 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 8 |
|
34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 52 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 9 |
|
34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52:59 | -7 | 50 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 10 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 11 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48:51 | -3 | 42 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 |
|
34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51:50 | 1 | 41 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 13 |
|
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39:52 | -13 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
| 14 |
|
34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32:53 | -21 | 36 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 15 |
|
34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40:71 | -31 | 34 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 16 |
|
34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 17 |
|
34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39:77 | -38 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 18 |
|
34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23:79 | -56 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation